Fitting-Summary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$51

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-08 22:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 50% $-3

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 03:55
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-07 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 14:30
Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-07 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	$-0	05-08 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	$-0	05-08 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	$-0	05-08 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	$-0	05-08 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-08 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	$-0	05-08 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	$-1	05-07 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-08 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-07 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Up	$-1	05-08 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-07 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-08 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-08 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Down	$-0	05-07 13:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 22:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x18980a…
05-08 21:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd40c88…
05-08 17:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x73e036…
05-08 17:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0ea4cf…
05-08 16:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xa2bc69…
05-08 16:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9a547a…
05-08 11:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xaf11e5…
05-08 09:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x8dc661…
05-08 09:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xafa3b6…
05-08 09:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x2ad809…
05-08 09:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa7e0c1…
05-08 08:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x680a1c…
05-08 08:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x291fd7…
05-08 08:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb5d656…
05-08 08:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xba6425…
05-08 06:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9bfaf8…
05-08 06:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7c4e0f…
05-08 06:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x64b3b5…
05-08 06:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x42d0b0…
05-08 06:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x361f10…
05-08 05:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x616e27…
05-08 05:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x219fe8…
05-08 04:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0xd9f1c1…
05-08 04:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1096cd…
05-08 03:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xade5b5…
05-08 03:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe4d835…
05-08 03:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x8e8860…
05-08 03:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8bbe08…
05-07 15:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x919d72…
05-07 15:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xeac1c5…
05-07 15:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9efb5f…
05-07 14:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x062ba3…
05-07 14:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3ff7e3…
05-07 14:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x672d0e…
05-07 13:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x321105…
05-07 13:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x52dacf…
05-07 13:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xe66842…
05-07 13:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x03eca6…
05-07 11:57:25	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x66cfe6…
05-07 03:50:01	Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x1280d9…
05-06 14:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x55545b…
05-06 14:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2ba202…
05-06 09:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x9c2a40…
05-06 09:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xafc764…
05-06 09:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x1cd31e…
05-06 09:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x753ff2…
05-06 05:47:02	Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5954ab…
05-06 05:11:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x17fc68…