Hollow-Roast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.0%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$3.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 04-26 08:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

47% — —

Other

38% 33% $-0

Crypto

11% — —

Politics

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	6	$194	97	97	+0	open	—	04-24 17:22
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$164	82	82	+0	open	—	03-01 14:47
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$162	81	81	+0	open	—	04-20 04:52
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$152	76	76	+0	No	$-0	04-19 00:10
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$150	75	75	+0	open	—	02-25 09:45
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$148	74	74	+0	open	—	02-21 05:47
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	2	$142	72	72	+0	open	—	04-26 08:18
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	03-02 06:39
Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	02-11 23:12
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$134	67	67	+0	open	—	03-05 07:57
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$134	67	67	+0	open	—	03-06 12:16
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$126	63	63	+0	open	—	02-27 17:44
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$124	62	62	+0	open	—	03-06 05:17
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$122	61	61	+0	open	—	03-01 02:47
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$116	58	58	+0	open	—	02-27 02:42
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$110	55	55	+0	open	—	04-21 02:28
Fabric FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$102	51	51	+0	open	—	02-28 16:27
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	6	$98	49	49	+0	open	—	04-01 01:35
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	04-01 10:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	4	$68	34	34	+0	open	—	04-07 02:37
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$64	64	0	+64	open	—	02-21 05:47
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	4	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	03-21 18:09
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	03-17 15:35
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	03-27 16:24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-06 10:34
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	03-25 02:19
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-04 21:23
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	03-25 14:27
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	$-0	03-21 02:48
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-14 01:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-26 08:18:08	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x70b59c…
04-24 19:07:40	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0xbf5eb2…
04-24 17:22:14	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x447283…
04-24 11:42:52	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x166874…
04-21 02:28:56	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x4e5673…
04-20 21:45:20	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x997506…
04-20 04:52:04	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	81	99¢	$81	0x16609d…
04-19 21:03:30	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xa0c933…
04-19 00:10:26	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xd58d0e…
04-18 21:21:34	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xd792f2…
04-17 13:55:22	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1f48cf…
04-17 10:44:10	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0fc6cb…
04-16 17:52:26	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xde6b0e…
04-16 15:59:36	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xff610a…
04-16 11:56:44	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x4cd33a…
04-16 09:29:34	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x06fc3c…
04-14 07:24:03	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb7c073…
04-14 03:25:09	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x57215e…
04-12 19:19:01	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0b5ec6…
04-12 10:58:59	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5dd00c…
04-07 02:37:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xa9a3e6…
04-06 21:44:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0ab70f…
04-06 21:44:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xce28ff…
04-06 19:36:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1c36d1…
04-06 10:34:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x0608a5…
04-06 04:27:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6768bd…
04-05 19:21:31	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xa6fbde…
04-05 17:37:33	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdb9f64…
04-05 14:14:19	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xfa9fc0…
04-05 09:07:13	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5d6255…
04-05 06:26:21	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x5a09f0…
04-05 00:34:17	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3af345…
04-04 21:23:41	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xf75034…
04-04 13:04:11	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc035c8…
04-04 02:51:41	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x2a7e90…
04-04 01:01:49	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xffb049…
04-03 15:22:57	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x1868a1…
04-03 12:50:45	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd2eb41…
04-01 10:44:37	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x282497…
04-01 06:38:47	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x17e73a…
04-01 01:35:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x55d91f…
03-31 21:45:29	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xad6c8d…
03-30 14:11:27	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x187c3d…
03-27 16:24:29	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xda1e9b…
03-27 10:16:01	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcd8199…
03-26 15:41:17	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1b988f…
03-26 09:23:15	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa89e7d…
03-25 14:27:13	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x14fcd0…
03-25 08:30:47	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1ddd9c…
03-25 02:19:27	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb30be6…
03-24 20:00:35	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8eb74d…
03-24 01:16:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc74d18…
03-23 19:06:49	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x45423e…
03-23 00:37:55	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x2c538d…
03-22 18:28:01	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfbeab1…
03-21 18:09:13	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xfc0c4f…
03-21 10:29:43	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe90abd…
03-21 02:48:41	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc2451f…
03-20 19:02:31	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x78adec…
03-17 15:35:53	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x30e1db…
03-17 08:07:35	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd44f5a…
03-17 08:07:21	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xec2021…
03-16 17:07:25	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb48086…
03-16 09:36:23	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x304f05…
03-16 02:07:49	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe73019…
03-15 11:05:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x46874f…
03-15 03:48:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7831c1…
03-14 01:02:45	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3dac31…
03-13 11:48:13	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbf111d…
03-13 00:12:45	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x5c8197…
03-12 07:36:21	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe47c67…
03-10 20:22:11	nba dal atl 2026 03 10	Mavericks	BUY	43	22¢	$9	0xfd2ed5…
03-10 20:21:41	nba tor hou 2026 03 10	Raptors	BUY	31	37¢	$11	0xf1ad99…
03-08 19:25:49	nba cha phx 2026 03 08	Hornets	BUY	42	63¢	$26	0x1fb18e…
03-08 19:25:19	nba dal tor 2026 03 08	Mavericks	BUY	53	21¢	$11	0x8ae565…
03-06 12:16:53	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xcc1c80…
03-06 05:18:07	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x2e6a90…
03-06 05:17:49	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x594855…
03-05 15:22:05	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x00d61e…
03-05 07:57:49	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x68c2cf…
03-05 00:38:43	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xf3a94a…
03-03 22:14:15	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Kings	BUY	36	24¢	$9	0xa42b1f…
03-03 15:12:47	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Mavericks	BUY	39	16¢	$6	0xa33473…
03-03 15:12:19	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Heat	BUY	32	86¢	$27	0xec591b…
03-03 15:11:47	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Wizards	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0xa86ffd…
03-02 06:39:53	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x56571c…
03-01 14:47:35	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xf55ccf…
03-01 14:47:19	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x658ea6…
03-01 02:47:37	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xefdc7e…
03-01 02:47:23	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x20dde4…
02-28 16:27:53	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xcd933a…
02-28 16:27:29	Fabric FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x698685…
02-28 09:41:53	Fabric FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0x7f02d4…
02-27 17:44:53	Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x3a4c25…
02-27 10:25:55	Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xc05aa2…
02-27 02:42:22	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x01a390…
02-26 23:02:00	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xbe9512…
02-26 13:56:38	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x85eb67…
02-26 13:56:18	ethereum above 2300 on february 26	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x60c015…
02-26 13:55:54	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1a9a98…