Determined-Paragraph — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

Trades

377

lifetime

Volume

$536

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-03 00:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 45% $-13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	20	$23	40	40	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	4	$23	23	23	+0	open	—	06-03 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	3	$18	33	47	-14	open	—	06-03 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	4	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	06-02 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	7	$12	11	11	+0	Down	+$4	05-11 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	9	$10	19	15	+4	Down	+$0	05-11 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-02 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$10	44	0	+44	open	—	06-02 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	06-02 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	8	$10	11	8	+3	Down	$-0	05-12 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	7	$10	13	13	+0	open	—	05-18 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	6	$9	13	8	+5	Up	+$1	05-11 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	10	$9	16	16	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	7	$9	21	21	+0	open	—	05-18 01:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	8	$9	14	14	+0	open	—	05-18 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$9	8	8	+0	Down	+$7	05-11 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	7	$8	11	7	+4	Down	+$0	05-11 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	5	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	7	$8	9	7	+2	Down	$-0	05-11 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	7	$8	93	7	+87	Down	$-2	05-11 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	6	$8	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	5	$7	9	9	+0	open	—	05-18 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	5	$7	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	6	$7	13	4	+9	Down	$-1	05-12 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	6	$6	13	5	+8	Up	$-2	05-12 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	5	$6	9	8	+1	Up	+$1	05-12 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	5	$6	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$6	12	12	+0	open	—	06-02 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	5	$6	7	5	+2	Down	$-0	05-11 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	5	$6	11	11	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 21:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 00:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x49c321…
06-03 00:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	33	20¢	$7	0xf16ce1…
06-03 00:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x619412…
06-03 00:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0xbcf8fd…
06-03 00:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	72¢	$7	0x66b910…
06-03 00:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd82f31…
06-03 00:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0x32b267…
06-03 00:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x8a8500…
06-02 23:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x4bc68e…
06-02 23:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x664676…
06-02 23:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x8412d9…
06-02 22:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8abf73…
06-02 22:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x877003…
06-02 22:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x934bfe…
06-02 22:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x00fdb1…
06-02 22:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xbe2d31…
06-02 22:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x10f0f7…
06-02 22:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$6	0x78a19e…
06-02 22:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb10873…
06-02 22:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x23e96d…
06-02 22:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x36b82f…
06-02 22:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x69828b…
06-02 21:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x19a180…
06-02 21:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x0bed45…
06-02 21:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xff8038…
06-02 21:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9c8dce…
06-02 04:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x54e236…
06-02 04:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xb3ccda…
06-02 04:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd780dd…
06-02 04:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x03442a…
06-02 04:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x343e97…
06-02 04:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0229da…
06-02 04:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xb5a387…
06-02 04:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x703ae7…
06-02 04:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x4c2565…
06-02 04:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1992ec…
06-02 04:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0236ca…
05-28 02:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x633acd…
05-28 02:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xffb5c9…
05-28 02:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x281fca…
05-28 02:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x000d77…
05-28 02:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1374cb…
05-28 02:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x3c8acf…
05-28 02:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x62340b…
05-28 02:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x467bf4…
05-28 02:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xbdf5e8…
05-28 02:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb9f018…
05-18 01:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7117fd…
05-18 01:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf34ed8…
05-18 01:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x751f87…
05-18 01:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xba3a7b…
05-18 01:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3112b4…
05-18 01:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x399928…
05-18 01:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4ce9c9…
05-18 01:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x085a39…
05-18 01:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x74135a…
05-18 01:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa971f3…
05-18 01:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x251939…
05-18 01:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6bdf90…
05-18 01:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x2bba93…
05-18 01:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe1136f…
05-18 01:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xe5e775…
05-18 01:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x32d6bd…
05-18 01:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x47d9c1…
05-18 01:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x95502c…
05-18 01:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xdf580f…
05-18 01:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x57cf90…
05-18 01:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x145d7a…
05-18 01:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb4f3d5…
05-18 00:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xc1a108…
05-18 00:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd233e2…
05-18 00:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x74ea07…
05-18 00:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x45ef15…
05-18 00:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf17fd8…
05-18 00:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x3f1809…
05-18 00:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6d9e2f…
05-18 00:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbe2006…
05-18 00:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	57¢	$1	0xd22c08…
05-18 00:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xeb2c9e…
05-18 00:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x2c7b45…
05-18 00:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbfcfc0…
05-18 00:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x44275b…
05-18 00:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4a986a…
05-13 04:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xc2209b…
05-13 04:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x093f51…
05-13 00:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa47b44…
05-13 00:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe93630…
05-13 00:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xbb0b70…
05-13 00:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf13d60…
05-13 00:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x6aab3d…
05-13 00:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3f999d…
05-12 23:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xe1300b…
05-12 23:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc63e36…
05-12 23:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x63b39f…
05-12 23:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbcd4eb…
05-12 23:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0xdf1de2…
05-12 23:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe3bdcc…
05-12 23:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xb56d3e…
05-12 23:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb26921…
05-12 23:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$1	0x3b65a1…