Exhausted-Philosopher-Sanction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.4%

Resolved

Trades

120

lifetime

Volume

$410

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-12 21:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 83% $-2

Politics

13% — —

Other

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776960000	1	$96	119	0	+119	open	—	04-23 16:04
btc updown 5m 1776959100	2	$46	28	27	+1	open	—	04-23 15:46
donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 160 179	3	$27	393	375	+19	open	—	04-23 13:38
btc updown 5m 1776950100	2	$14	10	9	+0	open	—	04-23 13:21
btc updown 5m 1776951000	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-23 13:35
btc updown 5m 1776960300	1	$11	159	0	+159	open	—	04-23 16:07
btc updown 5m 1776957000	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-23 15:14
btc updown 5m 1776958200	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-23 15:33
btc updown 5m 1776956400	1	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	04-23 15:02
btc updown 5m 1776956100	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-23 14:54
btc updown 5m 1776959400	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-23 15:52
btc updown 5m 1776958800	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-23 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	8	$10	14	13	+1	open	—	04-26 18:10
btc updown 5m 1776916200	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-23 03:56
btc updown 5m 1776948000	1	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	04-23 12:44
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	4	$7	9	9	+0	open	—	04-27 22:23
btc updown 5m 1776915300	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-23 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	3	$5	12	11	+1	open	—	04-26 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-29 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-29 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	3	$4	7	6	+0	open	—	04-26 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	3	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	04-29 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-29 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 21:37
btc updown 5m 1776913200	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-23 03:05
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	4	$4	11	10	+0	open	—	04-27 22:15
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	3	$3	17	16	+1	open	—	04-21 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	04-26 04:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-29 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-3	05-09 20:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 21:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xcb11c6…
05-12 21:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xb0a86b…
05-12 21:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9be3a6…
05-12 21:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7bcc05…
05-12 13:02:40	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x820223…
05-10 02:38:20	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9f6a80…
05-09 20:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x45bdbf…
05-09 20:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcb5c59…
05-09 20:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa3a12e…
05-09 20:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc3e194…
05-09 20:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd87559…
05-09 20:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x86b6d8…
05-09 20:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9da1ad…
05-09 20:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xc9c4ae…
05-09 20:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8bb5a4…
05-09 19:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1fbcb1…
05-09 19:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1e126a…
04-29 22:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3c0c35…
04-29 21:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6fca2c…
04-29 21:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x13ac23…
04-29 21:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x27ca1a…
04-29 21:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1c17ab…
04-29 21:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x356de9…
04-29 21:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x3107c0…
04-29 21:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5dcca9…
04-29 21:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x570337…
04-29 21:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x64c02a…
04-29 21:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x87bc5b…
04-29 21:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x82f108…
04-29 21:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x1d2976…
04-29 21:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xa939d2…
04-29 21:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc76aa6…
04-29 20:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xc32791…
04-29 20:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x8cbfa8…
04-29 20:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x294001…
04-29 20:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x0dc9cf…
04-27 22:23:08	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x95470d…
04-27 22:15:26	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x1ae343…
04-27 20:50:36	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x555269…
04-27 20:50:12	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x8e58b4…
04-27 20:44:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xca1645…
04-27 20:43:40	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x539249…
04-27 14:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf92ccf…
04-27 14:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf7bc03…
04-27 13:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xe4a219…
04-27 13:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x67063e…
04-27 13:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x27e457…
04-27 13:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x2fdee0…
04-27 13:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xece023…
04-27 12:59:02	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xd240a5…
04-27 12:42:06	Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x67c600…
04-26 22:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd4eb42…
04-26 22:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x761418…
04-26 22:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf063f4…
04-26 22:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd39568…
04-26 22:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9f3e4e…
04-26 22:19:56	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe40fc5…
04-26 22:17:06	Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc32fcf…
04-26 22:14:20	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x72c792…
04-26 21:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x77f868…
04-26 21:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xed272c…
04-26 20:25:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa58678…
04-26 18:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0xfbb553…
04-26 18:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x71fa31…
04-26 18:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6d9d92…
04-26 18:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x354fa9…
04-26 18:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x56a8af…
04-26 18:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xfea21c…
04-26 18:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5357f0…
04-26 18:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x73eac3…
04-26 18:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x255b2c…
04-26 18:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xd3c75b…
04-26 18:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x261282…
04-26 17:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xb35b56…
04-26 17:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0057d2…
04-26 17:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcade3f…
04-26 04:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xb98689…
04-26 04:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4dc200…
04-23 16:07:50	btc updown 5m 1776960300	Down	BUY	159	7¢	$11	0x64c827…
04-23 16:04:18	btc updown 5m 1776960000	Up	BUY	119	81¢	$96	0xa372e7…
04-23 15:52:20	btc updown 5m 1776959400	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x756d3f…
04-23 15:46:46	btc updown 5m 1776959100	Down	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0x53cdae…
04-23 15:45:44	btc updown 5m 1776959100	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xbe5580…
04-23 15:43:56	btc updown 5m 1776958800	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x4d84ad…
04-23 15:33:30	btc updown 5m 1776958200	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x6bc7c5…
04-23 15:14:14	btc updown 5m 1776957000	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x1b7a8d…
04-23 15:02:00	btc updown 5m 1776956400	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x7552c4…
04-23 14:54:50	btc updown 5m 1776956100	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x11e50c…
04-23 13:38:16	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 160 179	Yes	SELL	94	1¢	$1	0xa02904…
04-23 13:35:20	btc updown 5m 1776951000	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xa9e731…
04-23 13:29:32	btc updown 5m 1776951000	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xdaae8e…
04-23 13:21:10	btc updown 5m 1776950100	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xbba8ec…
04-23 13:14:30	btc updown 5m 1776950100	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd97057…
04-23 12:44:46	btc updown 5m 1776948000	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xe470c4…
04-23 12:30:18	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 160 179	Yes	SELL	281	1¢	$3	0xc8f41f…
04-23 03:56:00	btc updown 5m 1776916200	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xcd5eb5…
04-23 03:52:48	btc updown 5m 1776916200	Up	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x9a4a75…
04-23 03:40:28	btc updown 5m 1776915300	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xdb9e58…
04-23 03:34:54	btc updown 5m 1776915300	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xaa8d3d…
04-23 03:32:54	btc updown 5m 1776915000	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xff1bab…