Granular-Mentor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

Trades

761

lifetime

Volume

$1.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 06-03 11:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773434400	4	$21	26	+26	open	—	03-13 20:44
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$17	22	+22	open	—	05-18 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$15	22	+22	Down	$-15	05-05 05:11
btc updown 5m 1773346200	3	$14	18	+18	open	—	03-12 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$13	22	+22	Up	$-13	05-09 18:14
btc updown 15m 1773351900	3	$11	15	+15	open	—	03-12 21:59
btc updown 5m 1773425400	3	$11	19	+19	open	—	03-13 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$10	15	+15	Down	$-10	05-09 10:29
btc updown 15m 1773424800	5	$10	26	+26	open	—	03-13 18:10
btc updown 5m 1773454200	3	$9	18	+18	open	—	03-14 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$9	15	+15	open	—	05-20 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$9	15	+15	open	—	05-25 13:44
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$9	15	+15	open	—	05-21 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$8	22	+22	open	—	05-02 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$8	15	+15	open	—	05-02 01:44
btc updown 5m 1773490200	3	$8	18	+18	open	—	03-14 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$7	15	+15	open	—	05-20 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$7	8	+8	open	—	05-01 11:44
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$7	8	+8	open	—	05-24 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$7	8	+8	open	—	05-03 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$7	15	+15	open	—	05-20 19:14
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$7	8	+8	open	—	05-21 19:29
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$7	8	+8	open	—	05-20 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$7	8	+8	open	—	05-18 21:13
btc updown 5m 1774290300	1	$7	8	+8	open	—	03-23 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	4	$7	22	+22	Down	+$16	05-05 05:11
btc updown 5m 1775168700	1	$6	8	+8	open	—	04-02 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$6	10	+10	open	—	05-18 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$6	8	+8	Down	+$1	05-05 14:13
btc updown 5m 1773383100	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	03-13 06:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 11:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0xd62308…
06-03 11:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xc23ea8…
06-02 13:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	24¢	$1	0xbfed5b…
06-02 13:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x90e245…
06-02 12:13:06	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3a2c0e…
06-01 15:14:14	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x56b54e…
06-01 13:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc0266e…
06-01 13:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x034f1b…
06-01 07:44:57	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfe51ec…
06-01 03:29:33	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x226e3e…
05-31 21:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x3470af…
05-31 21:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xa99553…
05-31 21:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb9a2f9…
05-31 21:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7a2a19…
05-31 20:44:23	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4eef4e…
05-31 20:44:22	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x8038ad…
05-31 20:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2d5955…
05-31 20:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x4f002d…
05-31 19:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb6a3e4…
05-31 19:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x4ad142…
05-31 19:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd841e0…
05-31 18:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdfdd6d…
05-31 18:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xc9a809…
05-31 07:44:53	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x9f3d52…
05-31 07:44:49	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe9b266…
05-31 04:59:22	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4ac5e8…
05-31 04:59:09	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0xa23cf6…
05-31 04:59:09	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x3dc090…
05-31 04:59:09	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x2c01ae…
05-31 03:14:30	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xee2d2f…
05-31 03:14:30	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xe8a551…
05-31 03:14:30	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0xd78014…
05-31 03:14:29	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xae50c7…
05-30 23:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7dc753…
05-30 23:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb52a37…
05-30 21:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xf46593…
05-30 21:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd46875…
05-30 21:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe8f728…
05-30 21:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x77e531…
05-30 16:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa52bbb…
05-30 15:14:04	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x889c0e…
05-30 15:12:20	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x767076…
05-30 14:14:49	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x217380…
05-30 14:14:46	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0xe65797…
05-30 14:14:44	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xfc1e33…
05-30 09:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3cfc01…
05-30 08:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2f954e…
05-29 23:25:53	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1ee821…
05-29 22:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x98fbe3…
05-29 16:59:24	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdd0fcf…
05-29 16:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xce4d2a…
05-29 15:28:11	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x86e4bd…
05-29 15:27:54	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x3f7686…
05-29 08:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc26868…
05-29 08:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5b5e28…
05-29 08:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x539b00…
05-28 18:41:42	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd1b837…
05-28 17:58:18	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6bd4a0…
05-28 14:29:52	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xe99c27…
05-28 14:29:52	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x5253fa…
05-28 14:28:26	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x3940ea…
05-28 14:27:53	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0034cc…
05-28 14:12:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x233b65…
05-28 06:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb1ac55…
05-28 06:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0deb0f…
05-27 21:27:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x943d6d…
05-27 21:25:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3b7c50…
05-27 17:56:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xdb5b85…
05-27 07:42:01	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6eb3e9…
05-27 07:41:15	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x0062fe…
05-27 01:13:54	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xeaffcc…
05-26 23:40:32	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x854853…
05-26 22:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe456f6…
05-26 22:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb3e3c7…
05-26 08:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe5d4d5…
05-26 04:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x27ce60…
05-26 04:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x391454…
05-26 03:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x837a8e…
05-25 13:44:39	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x9188cf…
05-25 13:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x012e7e…
05-25 13:44:34	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xd2c614…
05-25 13:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x5da698…
05-25 13:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xf438ea…
05-25 13:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1fe7ff…
05-25 08:27:51	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0xca4e2f…
05-25 01:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x081f30…
05-25 01:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0x9f825e…
05-25 01:14:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x58e3e2…
05-25 01:13:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x6cb231…
05-25 01:13:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0xca08d6…
05-24 15:29:51	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x4a84cc…
05-24 15:29:47	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x6b1c34…
05-24 14:59:45	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xc01be7…
05-24 14:59:43	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xbf701a…
05-24 14:59:43	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x2e9b2c…
05-24 14:59:34	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x5157b7…
05-24 14:59:08	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$4	0x8935cd…
05-24 10:27:20	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xd48a21…
05-24 10:12:31	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x8b31e1…
05-24 10:10:54	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xb463ca…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	535	$254.9K	22,030	06-02 13:12
Whispered-Ambition 0x45ca…3cef	461	$79.5K	10,706	06-02 13:13
(anonymous) 0x7844…28c4	437	$15.6K	2,745	06-03 11:28
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	416	$75.3K	5,663	06-03 11:29
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	410	$26.0K	3,587	06-02 13:12
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	401	$148.4K	30,465	06-03 11:29
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	401	$117.3K	21,115	06-03 11:29
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	399	$162.0K	52,117	06-03 11:29