Repulsive-Senior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,817

lifetime

Volume

$5.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 05-27 20:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

78% 0% $-2

Politics

14% — —

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

2% 100% +$2

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 496 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No		-3	$-2	66¢	$-2	$-0	05-27 20:23
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No		-5	$-1	8¢	$-0	+$1	05-27 20:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	8	$226	166	191	-25	open	—	04-12 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	13	$118	182	176	+6	open	—	04-28 04:14
will voter turnout be 7174 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	6	$107	168	198	-30	open	—	04-12 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 28?	18	$102	135	131	+4	open	—	04-28 02:55
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	37	$100	145	142	+3	open	—	04-27 16:17
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 28?	17	$88	151	31	+121	open	—	04-28 01:59
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 28?	8	$87	104	101	+3	open	—	04-27 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?	28	$84	230	249	-20	open	—	04-28 03:43
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	17	$79	139	110	+29	open	—	04-28 03:57
highest temperature in tokyo on april 7 2026 19c	19	$78	769	756	+13	open	—	04-07 07:59
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	8	$73	294	294	+0	open	—	04-10 14:52
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?	11	$73	253	572	-319	open	—	04-12 20:05
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	6	$70	323	323	+0	open	—	04-10 05:39
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 28?	16	$64	79	77	+1	open	—	04-27 12:56
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on April 26?	13	$61	79	98	-19	open	—	04-26 16:56
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 28?	8	$61	99	51	+48	open	—	04-28 05:05
highest temperature in london on april 17 2026 17c	8	$59	162	118	+44	open	—	04-17 11:21
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 28?	8	$55	110	106	+4	open	—	04-27 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 28?	11	$53	145	71	+74	open	—	04-27 17:01
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$50	422	422	+0	open	—	04-10 05:39
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	9	$41	202	135	+67	open	—	04-11 00:35
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on April 28?	7	$40	103	51	+53	open	—	04-28 06:43
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 11 2026 25c	2	$40	29	28	+1	open	—	04-12 03:08
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 28?	15	$40	267	129	+137	open	—	04-27 00:36
highest temperature in atlanta on april 11 2026 82 83f	7	$38	108	0	+108	open	—	04-11 09:34
highest temperature in chengdu on april 9 2026 32corhigher	5	$38	108	0	+108	open	—	04-08 07:59
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	5	$36	107	107	+0	open	—	04-12 11:25
highest temperature in hong kong on april 11 2026 27c	6	$36	120	26	+93	open	—	04-12 03:11
highest temperature in nyc on april 11 2026 64 65f	10	$35	213	0	+213	open	—	04-11 09:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 7 2026 19c	3	$35	42	0	+42	open	—	04-07 03:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 20:23:21	Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x8361eb…
05-27 20:22:16	Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?	No	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x6319c2…
05-27 20:22:06	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xf19775…
05-24 18:57:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x13ed44…
05-24 09:15:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xc61fc0…
05-05 00:33:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$3	0xcc6bdb…
05-05 00:33:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x8f765f…
05-03 22:49:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 4?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x669471…
05-03 02:51:50	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0xa8da30…
04-28 06:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	51	27¢	$14	0x4d79f6…
04-28 05:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	16	46¢	$7	0xd8cbc3…
04-28 04:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	35	46¢	$16	0x996033…
04-28 04:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x585b27…
04-28 04:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xb98ced…
04-28 03:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xacf38f…
04-28 03:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	83	22¢	$18	0xe314e6…
04-28 03:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x87daf7…
04-28 03:11:44	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	4	59¢	$3	0x648f33…
04-28 02:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 28?	No	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0xba4148…
04-28 01:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 28?	No	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x630e8d…
04-28 01:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 28?	No	SELL	3	82¢	$3	0x5c1f94…
04-28 01:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 28?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x8236ae…
04-28 01:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 28?	No	SELL	3	82¢	$3	0x6504e5…
04-28 01:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 28?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x4fc5fa…
04-28 01:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	32	20¢	$6	0x41ee05…
04-28 01:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x1a1ecb…
04-28 00:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xa29d4e…
04-27 23:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x262121…
04-27 22:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x1ece48…
04-27 22:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x50ca2b…
04-27 22:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x74fb91…
04-27 22:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xed253e…
04-27 22:28:50	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xee36a2…
04-27 21:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xe6d092…
04-27 20:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	28	37¢	$10	0x6b5a8c…
04-27 20:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 28?	No	SELL	13	69¢	$9	0xfff34d…
04-27 19:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xa0764b…
04-27 18:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 28?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x9f5b16…
04-27 18:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 28?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x1c5dea…
04-27 17:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x7ebf79…
04-27 17:50:44	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0x39b413…
04-27 17:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x370c18…
04-27 16:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x6ea5d5…
04-27 16:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x524770…
04-27 16:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x569b38…
04-27 16:16:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xef409b…
04-27 16:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xaa8ecc…
04-27 16:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x85c6e0…
04-27 16:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x4a6709…
04-27 16:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x4e61e7…
04-27 16:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x23f56a…
04-27 16:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x236110…
04-27 16:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x251ab4…
04-27 16:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x56fafc…
04-27 16:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x07cb0c…
04-27 16:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xafe5d9…
04-27 16:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x966a1c…
04-27 16:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x5c3cd2…
04-27 16:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x459f79…
04-27 16:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x9c2911…
04-27 16:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xb306df…
04-27 16:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x3eee9d…
04-27 16:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x508a77…
04-27 16:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x217386…
04-27 16:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x297418…
04-27 16:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0xf0369e…
04-27 14:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x6ccd6d…
04-27 12:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0xeafa39…
04-27 12:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	33	32¢	$11	0x7592cd…
04-27 11:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xa1b9a6…
04-27 10:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x1952d5…
04-27 10:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	31	32¢	$10	0x60af15…
04-27 10:17:44	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x0ed59a…
04-27 09:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	60	41¢	$25	0x52bd3a…
04-27 09:04:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xa0b3fc…
04-27 08:52:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0x4b78d0…
04-27 08:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	72	24¢	$17	0xee47fd…
04-27 08:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0xc477fc…
04-27 07:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	68	29¢	$20	0x1989bf…
04-27 07:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0x554e14…
04-27 07:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	4	41¢	$1	0x7c3347…
04-27 06:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0x6a975c…
04-27 06:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	68	44¢	$30	0xf3e9cb…
04-27 04:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xc652d9…
04-27 04:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x96bd85…
04-27 04:19:48	Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xc22ecf…
04-27 04:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	95	36¢	$34	0x34230c…
04-27 03:40:44	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $155 in April?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xb8cf72…
04-27 03:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	62	32¢	$20	0x004a46…
04-27 00:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xdf1461…
04-26 20:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x5f89b5…
04-26 20:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	108	7¢	$8	0x2867e2…
04-26 18:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xec6d54…
04-26 18:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x98cf90…
04-26 18:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0xe13740…
04-26 17:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xbfb1d4…
04-26 17:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0x9512ac…
04-26 17:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x8ceea1…
04-26 17:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	18	30¢	$6	0x21a0e1…
04-26 17:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x5e281c…