Dead-Difference — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-10 11:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 100% +$0

Politics

34% 100% +$2

Other

21% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	12	$1.0K	614	614	+0	open	—	04-16 02:02
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$1000	502	502	+0	open	—	05-13 14:57
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$999	502	502	+0	open	—	04-12 12:23
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	2	$994	844	844	+0	open	—	04-07 14:48
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$500	733	0	+733	open	—	05-13 15:07
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	13	$479	811	811	+0	open	—	04-22 02:27
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	1	$400	401	0	+401	open	—	04-19 14:13
will bnb dip to 200 in march	2	$285	143	143	+0	open	—	03-25 04:40
solana above 130 on april 18	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	04-16 18:27
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	2	$172	160	160	+0	open	—	03-27 04:00
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$160	223	0	+223	open	—	05-15 13:58
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on April 25?	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	04-23 14:51
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	1	$120	120	0	+120	Yes	+$0	05-12 10:00
solana above 110 on april 9	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	04-08 08:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$98	98	0	+98	open	—	04-29 13:48
highest temperature in wuhan on april 7 2026 25c	1	$98	98	0	+98	open	—	04-07 10:45
btc updown 5m 1774584600	2	$83	53	52	+1	open	—	03-27 04:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	05-07 10:41
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 4?	1	$80	80	0	+80	open	—	06-02 08:27
will bitcoin reach 74k june 8 14 2026	1	$77	77	0	+77	open	—	06-10 11:27
will solana reach 120 in february 2026	1	$74	74	0	+74	open	—	02-27 09:30
btc updown 5m 1774585200	1	$68	113	0	+113	open	—	03-27 04:23
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-26 14:07
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on May 6?	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	05-05 04:10
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 22?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-21 14:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$39	40	0	+40	No	+$1	05-09 15:01
will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	02-27 09:29
btc updown 5m 1774584900	1	$28	44	0	+44	open	—	03-27 04:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	05-21 14:39
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-27 09:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 11:27:58	will bitcoin reach 74k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xe1d9e4…
06-02 08:27:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 4?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x5e68b8…
05-21 14:44:25	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 22?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x9b6860…
05-21 14:39:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x3bc51d…
05-15 13:58:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	223	72¢	$160	0xa9152d…
05-13 15:07:03	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	733	68¢	$500	0x12f145…
05-13 14:57:07	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	502	100¢	$500	0x16c703…
05-12 10:00:51	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x8fde78…
05-12 10:00:11	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x411816…
05-09 15:01:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x108372…
05-07 10:41:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0xb2b644…
05-05 04:10:38	Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8731ac…
05-05 04:04:46	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0xe5f436…
04-29 13:48:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x5c33ea…
04-26 14:07:30	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x26fae2…
04-26 14:05:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xb2fc82…
04-25 02:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on April 25?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xea56d6…
04-23 14:51:06	Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on April 25?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xf4eb0e…
04-22 02:27:28	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	221	50¢	$111	0xa4cd37…
04-21 10:45:32	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	221	9¢	$20	0x91d559…
04-21 00:46:50	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	447	15¢	$68	0x400f61…
04-21 00:40:42	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xb0a024…
04-21 00:39:38	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	74	15¢	$11	0x342825…
04-21 00:35:28	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xf65353…
04-21 00:29:50	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	48	15¢	$7	0x59c9fe…
04-19 14:13:00	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x23ea2e…
04-19 13:36:26	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	52	30¢	$15	0x583fa3…
04-19 13:35:42	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0xa13ce0…
04-19 13:35:38	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	111	30¢	$33	0xb640a5…
04-19 13:34:34	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	194	48¢	$93	0x0e19d0…
04-19 13:34:32	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf433a1…
04-19 13:33:14	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x068d58…
04-18 11:38:18	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x105a67…
04-16 18:27:52	solana above 130 on april 18	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x5ce95d…
04-16 18:01:20	highest temperature in moscow on april 16 2026 13c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5405c5…
04-16 02:02:10	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	SELL	614	99¢	$608	0x251ec0…
04-13 15:23:51	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xd08878…
04-13 10:46:05	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	33	71¢	$24	0x51f8b5…
04-13 10:46:03	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	16	71¢	$11	0x1a3262…
04-13 10:14:55	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x28d4d9…
04-13 07:23:55	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x603889…
04-12 20:30:53	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0xfe28d2…
04-12 18:49:07	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	24	71¢	$17	0x707e21…
04-12 17:38:55	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	51	71¢	$36	0x4a8cc5…
04-12 17:34:13	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xc834ab…
04-12 16:01:07	highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 10corbelow	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2574af…
04-12 15:03:07	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xa834a2…
04-12 15:02:23	highest temperature in chicago on april 14 2026 58forhigher	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x96b9d4…
04-12 12:24:37	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	277	72¢	$200	0x58c605…
04-12 12:23:37	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	502	100¢	$499	0xd01b34…
04-08 09:00:21	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0xb64fea…
04-08 08:52:47	solana above 110 on april 9	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xfc5651…
04-07 14:48:37	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	844	60¢	$507	0x3ae5a5…
04-07 10:45:29	highest temperature in wuhan on april 7 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x062a27…
04-02 01:48:41	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	844	58¢	$487	0x79cb35…
03-27 04:23:47	btc updown 5m 1774585200	Up	BUY	113	60¢	$68	0xd09f3a…
03-27 04:17:27	btc updown 5m 1774584900	Up	BUY	44	63¢	$28	0xfa772b…
03-27 04:16:23	btc updown 5m 1774584600	Up	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x618e8d…
03-27 04:11:23	btc updown 5m 1774584600	Up	BUY	53	58¢	$31	0xbabff3…
03-27 04:04:29	btc updown 5m 1774584000	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x071e8f…
03-27 04:00:23	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	SELL	160	18¢	$29	0x0631b6…
03-25 04:42:13	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	160	89¢	$143	0xfce35b…
03-25 04:40:59	will bnb dip to 200 in march	No	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0xb0f3c2…
03-16 04:09:43	btc updown 5m 1773633900	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd6cf0c…
03-13 16:34:57	will bnb dip to 200 in march	No	BUY	143	100¢	$142	0x677caa…
03-13 16:33:09	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x471ede…
03-13 16:32:21	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x90cf3c…
02-27 09:30:23	will solana reach 120 in february 2026	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xd8ea67…
02-27 09:30:01	will xrp reach 2 in february 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x077f8c…
02-27 09:29:29	will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb694a6…
02-27 09:29:03	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc3b493…