Ambitious-Birdwatcher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved

Trades

313

lifetime

Volume

$1.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 05-31 05:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% +$51

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$107	72	72	+0	open	—	05-14 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$81	52	52	+0	open	—	05-14 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$51	55	0	+55	Up	+$4	05-14 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$50	79	0	+79	Up	+$29	05-11 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$30	45	0	+45	Up	+$15	05-14 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$30	39	0	+39	Down	+$9	05-14 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$25	25	25	+0	open	—	05-14 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$24	19	19	+0	Up	+$4	05-14 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$21	17	17	+0	Up	+$11	05-11 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$20	33	0	+33	Down	$-20	05-12 15:26
btc updown 5m 1774142400	6	$17	23	23	+0	open	—	03-22 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$6	05-11 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$6	05-11 18:34
btc updown 5m 1774382400	8	$16	18	18	+0	open	—	03-24 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	3	$16	19	10	+9	Up	+$5	05-12 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$15	25	0	+25	open	—	05-14 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$11	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Up	$-10	05-14 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Down	$-10	05-14 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-14 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-31 05:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	05-14 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$10	17	0	+17	Down	+$7	05-10 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$9	32	7	+25	Down	+$3	05-11 19:04
btc updown 5m 1774382700	4	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	03-24 20:07
btc updown 5m 1774371300	3	$8	17	8	+10	open	—	03-24 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$8	40	0	+40	open	—	05-17 09:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 05:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb20794…
05-17 09:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x434677…
05-17 09:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x198930…
05-17 09:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x55d4e9…
05-17 09:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe9ae51…
05-17 09:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6feb5f…
05-14 08:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x97a702…
05-14 08:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	72	78¢	$57	0x720522…
05-14 08:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x74d99e…
05-14 08:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa44c37…
05-14 08:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	25	61¢	$15	0xbadf68…
05-14 08:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x01eaa8…
05-14 08:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x1aa0df…
05-14 07:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x718b66…
05-14 07:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xc26a68…
05-14 07:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x1cc577…
05-14 07:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x779b76…
05-14 07:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x162267…
05-14 07:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x7c08d2…
05-14 07:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa0d935…
05-14 06:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x70cd1c…
05-14 06:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x5c2be5…
05-14 06:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3ddae6…
05-14 06:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x013f6e…
05-14 06:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc59158…
05-14 06:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0xa939fc…
05-14 06:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x50709e…
05-14 06:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x2d2691…
05-14 06:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xf96e76…
05-14 06:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x4657c8…
05-14 06:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe69df4…
05-14 06:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xdf8cf1…
05-14 05:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xddece3…
05-14 05:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x8651c6…
05-14 05:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xf04129…
05-14 05:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0x931fa1…
05-14 05:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x131092…
05-14 05:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x097533…
05-14 05:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbd8e29…
05-12 15:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xbc3cdf…
05-12 15:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x1cf842…
05-12 03:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xae951f…
05-12 03:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$6	0x29f424…
05-12 03:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcb1bf9…
05-12 03:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x894f4e…
05-12 02:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x22e829…
05-11 19:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf98e83…
05-11 19:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0xa91c2a…
05-11 19:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x06a896…
05-11 18:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x171868…
05-11 18:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0x549e57…
05-11 18:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x2110e3…
05-11 18:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x196d98…
05-11 18:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb04470…
05-11 18:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x011aef…
05-11 18:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x71e3c6…
05-11 18:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x8932be…
05-11 18:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x0e2f6a…
05-11 02:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xa81938…
05-10 18:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xfd4d08…
05-10 18:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xfa5d85…
05-10 18:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xd2a9b2…
05-10 18:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc12ef6…
05-10 18:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xbadc9c…
05-10 18:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe8f817…
05-10 18:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xace50a…
05-10 18:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb601a0…
05-10 18:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe84708…
05-10 18:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa2d262…
04-28 09:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x64c868…
04-28 09:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8ac390…
04-28 09:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xc25e3d…
04-28 09:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0c6c50…
04-28 09:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x3d25d7…
04-28 09:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x97b73f…
04-28 08:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xefcd24…
04-28 08:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xba5011…
04-28 08:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa53622…
04-28 08:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xfaf6ab…
04-28 08:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5b598c…
04-28 08:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x05a179…
04-27 18:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x047193…
04-27 18:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x10777a…
04-27 18:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x78997a…
04-27 14:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8af0c5…
04-26 09:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc05838…
04-26 08:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xb03431…
04-26 08:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x5925ed…
04-26 08:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5b268c…
04-01 21:25:43	btc updown 5m 1775078700	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6a064a…
04-01 14:02:53	bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x049845…
03-24 22:27:03	btc updown 5m 1774391100	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xef4bd4…
03-24 22:25:27	btc updown 5m 1774391100	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8cc83a…
03-24 22:23:49	btc updown 5m 1774390800	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xd0940d…
03-24 22:22:51	btc updown 5m 1774390800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9a9c14…
03-24 22:22:23	btc updown 5m 1774390800	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x1906ac…
03-24 22:22:13	btc updown 5m 1774390800	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x176cdd…
03-24 22:15:45	btc updown 5m 1774390500	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3bd385…
03-24 22:14:27	btc updown 5m 1774390200	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x94f026…
03-24 22:14:15	btc updown 5m 1774390200	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5f5193…