Amused-Pavement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.6%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$360

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-26 00:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 57% +$6

Other

7% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	2	$45	33	33	+0	open	—	05-16 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	04-28 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	4	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	04-28 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 13:07
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	2	$12	8	7	+0	open	—	04-28 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	6	$11	14	14	+0	open	—	04-28 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$10	13	11	+2	open	—	04-28 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$10	14	4	+10	open	—	04-28 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	04-28 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	04-28 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$9	8	6	+2	open	—	04-28 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1	$8	16	0	+16	open	—	05-15 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$8	16	0	+16	Down	+$8	05-06 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	5	$6	10	4	+6	open	—	04-28 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-23 15:25
Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-28 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-26 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-28 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-16 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-28 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-28 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	5	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	04-28 13:49
Will Trump say "Shakespeare" during King Charles visit?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	04-28 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Down	+$4	05-08 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Down	+$4	05-05 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	$-4	05-07 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Down	+$4	05-07 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	$-4	05-09 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	$-4	05-08 08:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 00:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf638d9…
05-23 15:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x64b6f7…
05-17 20:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1c1ac3…
05-17 14:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x77da4f…
05-17 14:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x088af7…
05-17 00:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe2b4ed…
05-16 07:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf8814a…
05-16 07:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	33	86¢	$29	0xfaf1cc…
05-15 09:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0xe83e31…
05-15 01:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xe0c631…
05-13 12:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0d13cd…
05-13 12:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x801ea3…
05-13 12:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfb0f96…
05-13 12:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x09a742…
05-12 14:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdc7602…
05-12 14:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2b3290…
05-12 14:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc9de23…
05-12 02:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x960b38…
05-11 06:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfc5141…
05-10 16:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3a3ef8…
05-10 16:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xec3653…
05-10 00:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1fe38c…
05-09 07:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9fdcd1…
05-09 07:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x5207da…
05-09 07:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb4eb2e…
05-09 02:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x420114…
05-09 02:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0xab587a…
05-09 02:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x206f6c…
05-08 08:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x938ae2…
05-08 08:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8d5207…
05-08 08:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1d6e2e…
05-08 08:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0a3453…
05-08 08:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xbee2fe…
05-08 06:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x6ccdea…
05-07 23:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x03b257…
05-07 23:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xe9d02a…
05-07 16:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x673058…
05-07 16:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x192557…
05-06 09:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xb54569…
05-05 05:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xf05fae…
05-05 01:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5ec3c2…
05-05 01:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x70fbb6…
05-02 16:47:34	LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x8b151e…
05-02 14:16:12	LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x3decbb…
05-02 04:25:12	LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8911e5…
05-01 14:21:04	LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc70271…
05-01 14:19:30	LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6145ee…
05-01 14:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1174d4…
05-01 09:48:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x39f5f0…
05-01 09:46:46	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Weibo Gaming	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7cf194…
05-01 09:46:36	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa7b320…
04-29 14:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf35d71…
04-29 13:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3c78c2…
04-29 13:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0x10fafd…
04-29 13:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa24fe6…
04-29 13:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0xa6cdc2…
04-29 13:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8c1bd6…
04-29 13:39:08	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb3133e…
04-29 08:46:48	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8c30b4…
04-29 08:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x3c3633…
04-29 08:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x244dfd…
04-29 08:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4ba19e…
04-29 08:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xf46dac…
04-29 08:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x11c41c…
04-29 08:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0xdfb724…
04-29 08:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf1061d…
04-29 08:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x13d85e…
04-29 08:18:00	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xe16a74…
04-29 08:17:54	Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x768f50…
04-28 14:30:10	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xc8701f…
04-28 14:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9225f2…
04-28 14:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3107bc…
04-28 14:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x88f876…
04-28 14:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc99423…
04-28 14:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xa4dd07…
04-28 13:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x18890c…
04-28 13:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x8c92fb…
04-28 13:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x1d0d2f…
04-28 13:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc24863…
04-28 13:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xba9f32…
04-28 13:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x33aaf3…
04-28 13:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0d5ab9…
04-28 13:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe1368b…
04-28 13:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xc8ccfc…
04-28 13:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x1c5156…
04-28 13:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd94276…
04-28 13:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbc9b23…
04-28 13:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x488321…
04-28 13:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x904d47…
04-28 13:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x79db46…
04-28 13:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xcab6c6…
04-28 13:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9d9f04…
04-28 13:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd238da…
04-28 13:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x3cd8b6…
04-28 13:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x54a0e5…
04-28 13:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x582162…
04-28 13:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb494b0…
04-28 13:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1a77ff…
04-28 13:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2e9435…
04-28 13:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x884a50…