Muddy-Petitioner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.9%

Resolved

Trades

289

lifetime

Volume

$3.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 05-17 16:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% $-8

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770651000	5	$158	134	132	+2	open	—	02-09 15:35
btc updown 15m 1770831000	8	$150	99	98	+1	open	—	02-11 17:46
btc updown 15m 1770731100	5	$137	155	153	+2	open	—	02-10 13:52
btc updown 15m 1770734700	2	$133	170	167	+3	open	—	02-10 14:48
btc updown 15m 1770813000	4	$101	94	93	+1	open	—	02-11 12:37
btc updown 15m 1770813900	2	$95	61	60	+1	open	—	02-11 12:59
btc updown 15m 1770728400	3	$72	89	88	+1	open	—	02-10 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	7	$68	55	55	+0	Down	$-12	05-12 18:59
btc updown 15m 1770727500	2	$67	88	87	+1	open	—	02-10 12:47
btc updown 15m 1770726600	3	$65	56	55	+1	open	—	02-10 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	6	$55	67	0	+67	open	—	04-27 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	04-26 20:49
btc updown 15m 1770642900	4	$46	35	35	+1	open	—	02-09 13:28
btc updown 15m 1770720300	2	$46	34	33	+0	open	—	02-10 10:54
btc updown 15m 1770713100	2	$43	37	36	+1	open	—	02-10 08:47
btc updown 15m 1770717600	3	$43	34	34	+1	open	—	02-10 10:02
btc updown 15m 1770714900	3	$43	36	36	+1	open	—	02-10 09:18
btc updown 15m 1770716700	2	$43	32	32	+0	open	—	02-10 09:47
btc updown 15m 1770725700	3	$43	41	40	+1	open	—	02-10 12:19
btc updown 15m 1770669900	3	$42	40	39	+1	open	—	02-09 20:48
eth updown 15m 1770669900	6	$42	45	44	+1	open	—	02-09 20:54
solana up or down february 11 7am et	3	$42	61	61	+0	open	—	02-11 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$41	56	0	+56	open	—	04-27 20:54
btc updown 15m 1770733800	1	$40	67	0	+67	open	—	02-10 14:30
eth updown 15m 1770666300	2	$40	35	34	+1	open	—	02-09 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	6	$39	26	26	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$38	41	0	+41	open	—	04-27 20:48
btc updown 15m 1770646500	3	$36	47	28	+19	open	—	02-09 14:22
eth updown 15m 1770665400	4	$34	41	41	+1	open	—	02-09 19:41
btc updown 15m 1770645600	2	$32	32	32	+0	open	—	02-09 14:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 16:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xb2a11f…
05-17 16:43:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x9637c7…
05-17 16:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	89¢	$13	0x890c60…
05-17 16:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x1f792d…
05-12 19:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb5f152…
05-12 19:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x333aff…
05-12 19:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa9d3f3…
05-12 19:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x81399a…
05-12 19:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x358676…
05-12 19:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xfd2d77…
05-12 19:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2b87f4…
05-12 19:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xe9d38a…
05-12 19:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1f7251…
05-12 18:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc09384…
05-12 18:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x71ea7e…
05-12 18:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6ab096…
05-12 18:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xa1c29a…
05-12 18:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6dba28…
05-12 18:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	38	31¢	$12	0x2aa28f…
05-12 18:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x909717…
05-12 14:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0xe3bdf2…
05-12 14:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xfb07ac…
05-12 14:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x023932…
05-12 14:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x564c2d…
05-12 14:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xe88f3e…
05-12 14:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc1c9f1…
05-12 12:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xc7c8c1…
05-12 12:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd9a45d…
05-11 21:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x0f8f15…
05-11 21:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x638784…
05-11 20:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x92343b…
05-11 20:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xff82ea…
05-11 20:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xa77327…
05-11 20:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2d86fd…
04-29 13:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x87cea2…
04-29 13:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x14b657…
04-29 13:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb31813…
04-29 08:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1a8045…
04-29 08:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0xee1965…
04-29 08:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x360e38…
04-29 08:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x10e073…
04-29 08:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x942563…
04-29 07:59:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xaad59e…
04-29 07:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x048c6b…
04-29 07:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x852d77…
04-29 07:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x7daf23…
04-29 07:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x7eb9e3…
04-29 07:09:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x2076e1…
04-28 22:24:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x83b18d…
04-28 21:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xc8640a…
04-28 21:48:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xe89985…
04-28 21:44:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x3b0745…
04-28 21:39:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6972ab…
04-28 21:38:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x4f32ca…
04-28 21:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x213ce8…
04-28 21:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6cfeb8…
04-28 21:23:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x8dfc95…
04-28 21:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3d48d9…
04-28 21:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x570640…
04-28 21:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x048ef9…
04-28 21:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x804b4c…
04-28 21:03:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x44576d…
04-28 20:58:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x39f4e2…
04-28 20:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xbd5d34…
04-28 20:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf88b34…
04-28 20:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x0e6454…
04-28 20:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xadcd15…
04-28 20:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa1f5c3…
04-28 20:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xaa21c0…
04-28 20:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf3b0bb…
04-28 20:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x73e87c…
04-28 20:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x23f044…
04-28 20:14:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x569404…
04-28 20:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x9af4e6…
04-28 19:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfd43de…
04-28 19:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0d218e…
04-28 19:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb55bcf…
04-28 19:49:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x003d70…
04-27 20:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	56	74¢	$41	0x70ba62…
04-27 20:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0x7e5dcd…
04-27 20:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xdfbf88…
04-27 20:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x8dc3df…
04-27 20:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xde4e66…
04-27 20:38:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xa725a0…
04-27 20:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa9fb84…
04-27 20:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x741781…
04-27 20:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xf14c45…
04-27 20:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x09b476…
04-27 20:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x7ce3d1…
04-27 20:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x119f38…
04-27 20:18:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xfc9139…
04-27 20:18:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x3247b1…
04-27 20:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xc40287…
04-27 20:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x8d9f16…
04-27 20:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xd13981…
04-27 20:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x2fc99d…
04-27 19:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x5fe292…
04-27 19:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x72d3a1…
04-27 19:23:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xbf5b12…
04-27 19:18:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x38b10a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	128	$2.11K	261	05-12 19:29
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	112	$2.47K	262	04-29 13:20
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	109	$7.45K	707	05-17 16:54
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	106	$75.1K	11,417	05-17 16:54
(anonymous) 0xdaa9…e31d	103	$1.60K	283	05-17 16:46
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	101	$50.5K	3,746	05-17 16:53
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	100	$52.1K	1,916	05-17 16:55
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	100	$23.2K	4,135	05-17 16:54