Silent-Fog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 05-26 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

33% — —

Crypto

32% 100% +$0

Other

30% 0% $-0

Sports

5% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	10	$418	211	211	+0	open	—	04-25 06:04
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$378	249	245	+4	open	—	04-11 11:22
trump out as president by march 31	1	$201	202	0	+202	open	—	03-24 19:27
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$107	82	82	+0	open	—	05-26 15:46
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$92	395	395	+0	No	+$0	04-27 08:29
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	5	$91	19,748	18,764	+985	open	—	04-04 18:43
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$82	52	52	+0	open	—	04-14 17:16
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	5	$55	13,715	13,715	+0	open	—	03-24 19:18
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	5	$54	8,994	8,994	+0	open	—	03-24 19:17
Fluent FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-18 07:49
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	3	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	04-23 11:32
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	5	$39	9,855	9,855	+0	No	$-0	04-24 20:39
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in April 2026?	3	$31	8,409	8,409	+0	open	—	04-16 12:52
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?	2	$25	8,195	8,195	+0	open	—	04-16 12:52
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$24	5,933	5,933	+0	No	+$0	04-24 09:57
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-23 20:15
Over $100M committed to the Fluent public sale?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-08 10:58
Will Dreamcash launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-23 20:19
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 500 519	2	$14	1,556	1,478	+77	open	—	04-17 11:54
Will Hylo launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-23 20:20
Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-23 20:18
Will Titan launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-23 20:19
Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-23 20:17
Will Pacifica launch a token by March 31 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-23 20:16
Will EdgeX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-23 20:14
Will USD.AI launch a token on April 8?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-08 10:59
Will Rabby launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-23 20:18
Will Tread launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-23 20:19
Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-23 20:16
Will Ventuals launch a token by March 31 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-23 20:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 15:46:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	82	68¢	$56	0x10f9c4…
05-25 12:51:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	82	62¢	$51	0x0aebdb…
04-27 08:29:02	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	395	12¢	$46	0x226ccc…
04-26 18:07:02	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	395	12¢	$46	0x3c794c…
04-25 06:04:46	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$53	0x78fd7b…
04-25 05:58:30	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa2ee90…
04-25 05:47:20	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x9f260c…
04-25 05:46:44	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x424abc…
04-25 05:21:08	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xae5967…
04-25 05:00:16	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0xf1f3af…
04-25 04:48:00	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x84057f…
04-25 04:00:34	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xd55d5d…
04-24 20:39:46	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x6871f1…
04-24 20:37:02	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,500	0¢	$3	0x4b533b…
04-24 14:49:34	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x2cf037…
04-24 09:57:38	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7,820	0¢	$16	0xa99db1…
04-24 09:57:18	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5,933	0¢	$12	0xd0866d…
04-24 08:47:32	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9,855	0¢	$20	0x2a867d…
04-24 08:47:20	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,933	0¢	$12	0x1c5af8…
04-23 11:32:14	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	95¢	$22	0x629c64…
04-18 07:49:16	Fluent FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x8adcf7…
04-17 11:54:26	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 520 539	Yes	SELL	345	0¢	$1	0xe416d8…
04-17 11:54:14	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 500 519	Yes	SELL	1,478	0¢	$6	0x1e1f75…
04-17 11:53:58	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 560 579	Yes	SELL	1,146	0¢	$1	0xf33671…
04-17 08:43:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 560 579	Yes	BUY	1,206	0¢	$2	0x29760c…
04-17 08:43:28	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 520 539	Yes	BUY	363	0¢	$1	0xab67b0…
04-17 08:43:20	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 500 519	Yes	BUY	1,556	0¢	$8	0xb844ae…
04-16 12:52:58	Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,195	0¢	$8	0x657f4f…
04-16 12:52:48	Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,699	0¢	$3	0x163559…
04-16 12:08:48	Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,710	0¢	$11	0x0c0a57…
04-16 11:45:36	Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,409	0¢	$17	0x5db8ae…
04-16 11:45:28	Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,195	0¢	$16	0x57044f…
04-14 17:16:38	Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	52	60¢	$32	0xee9d34…
04-11 11:23:03	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	184	98¢	$180	0xc39132…
04-11 11:22:37	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	245	75¢	$184	0x034541…
04-10 20:18:53	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x7c64fa…
04-08 11:00:35	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	249	78¢	$194	0x4382d7…
04-08 10:59:31	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x9243aa…
04-08 10:59:13	Will USD.AI launch a token on April 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa6a6f8…
04-08 10:58:53	Over $100M committed to the Fluent public sale?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xea7dd2…
04-08 09:14:13	Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xabeb0f…
04-08 09:13:45	Fluent FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5dd803…
04-04 18:43:35	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	Yes	SELL	13,306	0¢	$13	0x4b4779…
04-04 18:33:13	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	Yes	BUY	14,004	0¢	$28	0x762d5f…
04-04 12:54:17	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	Yes	SELL	5,358	0¢	$27	0xda4cfd…
04-04 10:34:31	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x8e49fb…
04-04 10:33:09	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	Yes	BUY	5,744	0¢	$23	0x7c7b84…
04-04 10:29:25	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0xd457a1…
03-24 19:27:35	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	202	100¢	$201	0xd2f918…
03-24 19:18:03	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	SELL	1,722	0¢	$3	0x9cbb18…
03-24 19:17:47	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	Yes	SELL	1,573	0¢	$5	0xea2872…
03-24 19:14:57	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	Yes	SELL	5,043	0¢	$15	0x158ae5…
03-24 19:14:37	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	SELL	9,985	0¢	$20	0x0adc57…
03-24 19:08:39	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	Yes	BUY	6,617	0¢	$20	0x6d80c1…
03-24 19:07:51	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	BUY	11,707	0¢	$23	0x0ee6fc…
03-24 17:16:49	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	SELL	2,008	0¢	$4	0x5468b8…
03-24 17:16:37	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	Yes	SELL	2,377	0¢	$7	0x9c0c2b…
03-24 17:13:39	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	BUY	2,008	0¢	$4	0x453d4f…
03-24 17:13:19	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	Yes	BUY	2,377	0¢	$7	0x60b58c…
03-23 20:21:03	Will Oro launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x95ddf8…
03-23 20:20:53	Will Hylo launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7c36c1…
03-23 20:20:35	Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8c6679…
03-23 20:20:21	Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa7deb1…
03-23 20:19:59	Will Tread launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc29789…
03-23 20:19:47	Will Titan launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7dce66…
03-23 20:19:27	Will Ventuals launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4d9d9f…
03-23 20:19:01	Will Dreamcash launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x383899…
03-23 20:18:49	Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4e8ad7…
03-23 20:18:31	Will Tempo launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6b38b9…
03-23 20:18:09	Will Rabby launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b4152…
03-23 20:17:11	Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f6b4c…
03-23 20:16:57	Will Exponent launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x33f092…
03-23 20:16:43	Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x210571…
03-23 20:16:27	Will Pacifica launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd412d…
03-23 20:15:31	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0f04ba…
03-23 20:14:01	Will EdgeX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c86bd…