Accomplished-Experiment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

Trades

482

lifetime

Volume

$1.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-01 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	7	$77	126	45	+81	open	—	06-01 17:17
btc updown 15m 1775860200	14	$50	38	37	+1	open	—	04-10 22:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	6	$40	27	27	+0	open	—	05-19 13:09
btc updown 15m 1775858400	4	$39	27	26	+1	open	—	04-10 22:15
btc updown 15m 1776867300	4	$39	25	24	+1	open	—	04-22 14:30
btc updown 15m 1776078900	4	$38	27	26	+1	open	—	04-13 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	7	$38	87	0	+87	open	—	06-01 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	7	$35	24	24	+0	open	—	05-21 17:44
btc updown 15m 1776089700	5	$34	24	23	+1	open	—	04-13 14:30
btc updown 15m 1775859300	8	$33	24	24	+0	open	—	04-10 22:27
btc updown 15m 1775862000	7	$32	38	10	+27	open	—	04-10 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	5	$26	23	23	+0	open	—	05-31 20:29
btc updown 15m 1776434400	8	$22	15	14	+0	open	—	04-17 14:12
btc updown 15m 1776335400	4	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	04-16 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	3	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	05-01 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	3	$18	5	17	-11	open	—	05-27 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	7	$17	155	0	+155	open	—	06-01 16:57
btc updown 15m 1776695400	4	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	04-20 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	5	$17	11	11	+0	Up	+$5	05-05 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	3	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	05-29 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	4	$16	12	12	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 22:27
btc updown 15m 1775820600	2	$16	11	10	+0	open	—	04-10 11:45
btc updown 15m 1775642400	2	$16	12	11	+1	open	—	04-08 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	4	$16	37	0	+37	open	—	05-31 20:44
btc updown 15m 1776431700	5	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	04-17 13:27
btc updown 15m 1776783600	7	$16	11	10	+0	open	—	04-21 15:14
btc updown 15m 1775747700	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	04-09 15:30
btc updown 15m 1776093300	3	$16	12	11	+1	open	—	04-13 15:30
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 6am et	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 10:51
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 9am et	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 13:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 17:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xd41c0a…
06-01 17:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x5d2b6c…
06-01 17:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x6d81bf…
06-01 17:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	45	34¢	$15	0xbe1843…
06-01 17:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	35¢	$12	0x278cf1…
06-01 17:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xfcd960…
06-01 17:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x60d5ff…
06-01 17:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x29c905…
06-01 17:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xe88c44…
06-01 17:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x352fe5…
06-01 17:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xc3a330…
06-01 17:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x847394…
06-01 17:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x46750f…
06-01 16:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x64fd67…
06-01 16:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5117cf…
06-01 16:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x9327c3…
06-01 16:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x716d05…
06-01 16:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd8e0f3…
06-01 16:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x2f76d8…
06-01 16:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xcfe978…
06-01 16:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0a4df4…
06-01 14:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x52e324…
06-01 14:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xf913a0…
06-01 14:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xc1e5de…
06-01 14:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xbb745c…
06-01 12:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xbac21f…
06-01 12:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x960965…
06-01 12:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9e23b1…
06-01 11:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0xb5e257…
06-01 11:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xacf611…
06-01 11:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x21b31c…
06-01 11:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x9d637a…
06-01 11:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe113ce…
06-01 10:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x229176…
06-01 10:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x6540b2…
06-01 10:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x351c84…
05-31 22:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xf991c3…
05-31 22:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x10a653…
05-31 21:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x8eaccf…
05-31 21:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x553d7b…
05-31 21:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x3cf6d7…
05-31 21:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x674336…
05-31 20:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4d7482…
05-31 20:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x9961c2…
05-31 20:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2d23c8…
05-31 20:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xe56f03…
05-31 20:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	23	81¢	$18	0x7f9da3…
05-31 20:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x1ada5f…
05-31 20:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x77d2e6…
05-31 20:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x86c7bc…
05-31 20:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xbf3654…
05-31 17:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x7340ad…
05-31 17:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1b365f…
05-31 16:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x19d75c…
05-31 16:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x6538fd…
05-31 16:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x554577…
05-29 20:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x43dac5…
05-29 19:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x7dc05a…
05-29 19:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc5a79c…
05-29 17:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe918d2…
05-29 17:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x57562c…
05-29 17:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xec2eee…
05-29 17:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x740598…
05-29 16:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	93¢	$11	0x0a0fd2…
05-29 16:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x9506d5…
05-29 16:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x2a73a0…
05-29 14:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb54d90…
05-29 14:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbe4738…
05-29 14:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xfc3dcf…
05-29 13:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xfa9461…
05-29 11:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x957931…
05-29 11:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x633c01…
05-29 11:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xaa0682…
05-28 21:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xdf437f…
05-28 21:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x059065…
05-28 21:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe149e3…
05-28 19:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2e3b84…
05-28 19:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xac57b6…
05-28 19:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf8d686…
05-28 19:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xda4305…
05-27 12:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x79555e…
05-27 12:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xa8fb91…
05-27 12:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x33f23e…
05-27 12:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x40015d…
05-27 12:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0a0180…
05-27 11:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6141f6…
05-27 11:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5af11f…
05-27 11:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe6a646…
05-27 11:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x908c26…
05-27 09:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1b50fa…
05-27 08:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x43a941…
05-27 08:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x94fc0f…
05-27 08:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x3e9d2b…
05-27 08:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x062d0d…
05-27 08:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xc744e9…
05-27 08:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xaec2eb…
05-27 08:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x74feee…
05-27 08:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x068602…
05-27 07:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5ac1e0…
05-27 07:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x47dcfb…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	166	$67.7K	10,455	06-01 17:29
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	163	$90.3K	24,743	06-01 17:29
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	163	$76.7K	22,784	06-01 17:29
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	163	$51.1K	7,147	06-01 17:29
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	162	$41.6K	3,416	06-01 17:29
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	161	$31.8K	11,759	06-01 17:28
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	159	$376.5K	24,768	06-01 17:29
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	159	$107.2K	31,164	06-01 17:29