Sarcastic-Thread — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$656

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-17 12:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

39% — —

Other

36% 0% $-0

Sports

25% 100% +$10

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$119	60	60	+0	No	$-0	04-21 16:48
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$114	57	57	+0	open	—	04-19 10:02
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$110	55	55	+0	open	—	04-21 08:18
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	03-11 16:38
will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	1	$54	54	0	+54	open	—	02-14 04:53
will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	06-17 12:32
nhl edm dal 2026 03 12	1	$39	83	0	+83	open	—	03-12 08:36
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	05-19 09:26
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	03-12 08:39
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$21	2,414	2,414	+0	open	—	03-14 07:49
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	05-26 14:16
sea ver gen 2026 03 15 ver	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	03-15 05:53
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$6	16	0	+16	San Francisco Giants	+$10	05-11 01:36
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	05-21 02:59
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-27 23:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 12:32:37	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x79db13…
05-26 14:16:05	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x78c9c3…
05-21 02:59:59	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xe6a848…
05-19 09:26:14	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd5e860…
05-11 01:36:32	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	San Francisco Giants	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x639524…
04-21 16:48:00	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xc859f9…
04-21 15:29:40	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x1eee77…
04-21 08:18:34	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x54fa25…
04-21 06:45:14	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xeb109d…
04-19 10:02:36	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x98c477…
04-19 08:55:42	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x743dc8…
03-15 05:53:39	sea ver gen 2026 03 15 ver	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x2ffbf7…
03-14 07:49:17	Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2,414	0¢	$5	0x6e9256…
03-14 07:48:45	Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,414	1¢	$16	0x506b8e…
03-12 08:39:41	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xddc45b…
03-12 08:36:07	nhl edm dal 2026 03 12	Oilers	BUY	83	47¢	$39	0xceda81…
03-11 16:38:21	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0xb66c79…
03-08 03:29:29	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x3844a9…
03-07 03:29:43	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x7aaf7f…
02-27 23:48:41	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x61de8a…
02-14 04:53:21	will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x8547bb…