Fixed-Unemployment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved

Trades

211

lifetime

Volume

$614

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-07 14:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 44% $-0

Other

11% 0% $-0

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$27	38	38	+0	Down	+$17	05-11 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$25	1,037	0	+1,037	Down	$-25	05-11 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	4	$24	28	10	+18	Up	$-6	05-11 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$20	34	0	+34	Up	$-20	05-11 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$20	31	0	+31	Up	+$11	05-11 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$19	42	0	+42	Up	+$9	05-11 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$18	18	18	+0	Up	+$8	05-11 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$17	31	0	+31	Down	$-17	05-11 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$15	11	11	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$14	20	20	+0	Down	$-6	05-11 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$10	31	0	+31	Up	+$21	05-11 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	Up	+$16	05-11 08:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$9	10	10	+0	Down	$-1	05-11 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$7	17	0	+17	Up	+$10	05-11 05:32
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?	2	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	04-20 16:54
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	01-31 21:27
btc updown 15m 1780792200	2	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	06-07 00:44
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	2	$6	10	9	+0	open	—	04-21 14:42
btc updown 15m 1780791300	3	$5	8	4	+4	open	—	06-07 00:29
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$5	8	8	+0	Yes	$-0	04-21 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	$-5	05-11 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-09 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-11 06:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-09 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	3	$5	17	0	+17	Down	$-5	05-11 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-11 05:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	4	$4	12	12	+0	open	—	04-25 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$4	23	0	+23	Up	$-4	05-11 08:32
john daghita arrested by march 31	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-11 20:06
Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?	2	$4	15	14	+1	open	—	04-20 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 14:21:10	sol updown 5m 1780842000	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xadf522…
06-07 14:19:18	will donald trump dance on june 7 2026 20260602150034330	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcdde3f…
06-07 00:53:12	btc updown 5m 1780793400	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x45b5c0…
06-07 00:44:37	btc updown 15m 1780792200	Up	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x6cf6c6…
06-07 00:43:16	btc updown 5m 1780792800	Up	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xb9b391…
06-07 00:41:28	btc updown 5m 1780792800	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbec714…
06-07 00:39:21	btc updown 5m 1780792500	Up	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xae4e96…
06-07 00:36:07	btc updown 5m 1780792500	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x6e7312…
06-07 00:33:57	btc updown 15m 1780792200	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x9cf433…
06-07 00:33:24	btc updown 5m 1780792200	Down	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x336d3c…
06-07 00:31:49	btc updown 5m 1780792200	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2761b4…
06-07 00:29:52	btc updown 15m 1780791300	Up	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xc4b6bf…
06-07 00:28:34	btc updown 15m 1780791300	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x490b5e…
06-07 00:21:45	btc updown 5m 1780791600	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x9be6ae…
06-07 00:16:13	btc updown 15m 1780791300	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x1810d7…
05-24 21:23:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3f969b…
05-24 21:17:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4aef3c…
05-24 21:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3c61e6…
05-24 21:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8c0cde…
05-24 21:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc8473d…
05-11 10:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8ca023…
05-11 09:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfdbb04…
05-11 09:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xd7d5c6…
05-11 08:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfdbed9…
05-11 08:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xa6c2cd…
05-11 08:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xa4d127…
05-11 08:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x571351…
05-11 08:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x2c855f…
05-11 08:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0a217e…
05-11 08:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xc12eab…
05-11 08:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xa2d02d…
05-11 08:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbe1926…
05-11 08:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb0e1e6…
05-11 08:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xf89540…
05-11 08:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5c0879…
05-11 08:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x8dcd74…
05-11 08:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x2bf0b1…
05-11 08:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	38	56¢	$22	0x3b68fa…
05-11 08:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x622b80…
05-11 06:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x36197e…
05-11 06:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x0f670e…
05-11 06:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x49f913…
05-11 06:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x986f60…
05-11 06:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x4e3051…
05-11 06:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x35b63e…
05-11 06:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc4ab9c…
05-11 05:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x8c16bc…
05-11 05:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe06d18…
05-11 05:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x91446c…
05-11 05:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	18	75¢	$13	0xbfb02c…
05-11 05:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf48fde…
05-11 05:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x5f14c3…
05-11 05:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x88b786…
05-11 05:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xbdedfd…
05-11 05:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa4d3c0…
05-11 05:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xddae8d…
05-11 05:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf91301…
05-11 05:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0x1709f7…
05-11 05:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x3ed411…
05-09 11:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x2c8203…
05-09 11:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x2721a6…
05-09 11:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x068ae9…
05-09 10:56:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x2c9b4d…
04-25 13:49:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x6943e0…
04-25 13:49:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xf58d3c…
04-25 13:49:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x0dd3d6…
04-25 13:24:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5dacf7…
04-25 13:09:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb0b2e3…
04-25 12:54:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x39feda…
04-25 12:39:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x71f990…
04-25 12:23:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x61e876…
04-22 18:33:12	btc updown 5m 1776882600	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x28f9d2…
04-22 18:23:12	btc updown 5m 1776882000	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0x17a5c8…
04-22 11:53:06	btc updown 5m 1776858600	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$2	0xcb6d0c…
04-22 11:48:06	btc updown 5m 1776858300	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x2dd39e…
04-22 11:38:06	btc updown 5m 1776857700	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0x536ae2…
04-22 11:33:06	btc updown 5m 1776857400	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0xbdf629…
04-22 11:28:06	btc updown 5m 1776857100	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x07c81d…
04-22 11:18:06	btc updown 5m 1776856500	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x926c42…
04-22 11:13:06	btc updown 5m 1776856200	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0x4efc63…
04-22 11:08:06	btc updown 5m 1776855900	Up	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x9f504a…
04-22 11:03:06	btc updown 5m 1776855600	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0x99c9ee…
04-22 10:43:04	btc updown 5m 1776854400	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xf6b634…
04-22 10:38:06	btc updown 5m 1776854100	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x43a28e…
04-22 10:33:08	btc updown 5m 1776853800	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0x766fe3…
04-22 10:28:06	btc updown 5m 1776853500	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x660e8d…
04-22 10:18:10	btc updown 5m 1776852900	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x19eb94…
04-22 10:13:06	btc updown 5m 1776852600	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0x047224…
04-22 10:08:08	btc updown 5m 1776852300	Up	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x2d431d…
04-22 10:03:06	btc updown 5m 1776852000	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$2	0x7724f0…
04-22 09:58:06	btc updown 5m 1776851700	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x155599…
04-22 09:53:06	btc updown 5m 1776851400	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x0ad550…
04-22 09:48:06	btc updown 5m 1776851100	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0x20c312…
04-22 09:43:06	btc updown 5m 1776850800	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0xcdf828…
04-22 09:28:08	btc updown 5m 1776849900	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x17c352…
04-22 09:18:06	btc updown 5m 1776849300	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x3cb568…
04-22 09:13:08	btc updown 5m 1776849000	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb2af5a…
04-22 09:08:06	btc updown 5m 1776848700	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$2	0xe2ddf7…
04-22 09:03:06	btc updown 5m 1776848400	Down	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x86f590…
04-22 08:48:06	btc updown 5m 1776847500	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0xf4e532…