Decisive-Underwriting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$176

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

365

Trades

1,481

lifetime

Volume

$18.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 05-11 14:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 39% $-168

Other

2% 50% $-8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	10	$235	453	296	+157	Down	+$17	05-06 14:54
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	4	$223	359	359	+0	No	+$108	05-06 09:33
Ethereum Up or Down on May 7?	8	$223	608	325	+282	Down	$-28	05-07 11:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	4	$200	211	211	+0	Down	+$44	05-07 16:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET	8	$198	235	235	+0	Down	+$60	05-06 10:54
ethereum up or down april 1 2026 8am et	4	$174	259	241	+18	open	—	04-01 12:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	3	$165	145	145	+0	Up	+$125	05-06 15:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	7	$163	178	178	+0	Up	+$43	05-05 15:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 8?	8	$150	619	480	+139	No	+$27	05-08 15:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	8	$146	200	200	+0	Up	+$32	05-07 17:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	5	$142	173	173	+0	Down	+$42	05-06 12:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	3	$137	159	159	+0	Up	+$39	05-07 16:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2AM ET	6	$136	194	194	+0	Down	+$50	05-08 06:41
eth updown 15m 1775108700	2	$133	189	179	+10	open	—	04-02 05:56
ethereum above 2400 on april 14	2	$121	207	195	+12	open	—	04-14 09:11
ethereum up or down april 2 2026 7am et	2	$116	179	169	+9	open	—	04-02 11:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$114	109	109	+0	Down	+$44	05-05 15:09
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	4	$108	387	387	+0	open	—	05-01 16:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	4	$108	200	200	+0	Down	+$8	05-10 11:17
eth updown 5m 1775079600	6	$107	224	174	+50	open	—	04-01 21:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6AM ET	3	$105	122	122	+0	open	—	05-01 10:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$105	100	100	+0	Up	+$95	05-10 17:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	5	$103	227	285	-57	Down	+$43	05-07 12:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET	5	$103	205	205	+0	open	—	05-01 13:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	4	$100	284	284	+0	open	—	05-04 13:08
ethereum up or down april 6 2026 1pm et	3	$100	133	127	+6	open	—	04-06 17:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	4	$100	236	236	+0	Down	+$43	05-07 11:58
ethereum up or down april 6 2026 12pm et	2	$98	115	109	+6	open	—	04-06 16:47
eth updown 15m 1775046600	4	$94	92	86	+6	open	—	04-01 12:45
eth updown 15m 1775481300	2	$91	94	90	+4	open	—	04-06 13:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 14:26:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xf8f22a…
05-11 14:23:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x20a1ac…
05-11 14:21:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x2fd85f…
05-11 14:18:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0x0c6509…
05-11 14:18:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x6f2ea4…
05-11 14:17:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x582799…
05-11 14:11:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd9e16a…
05-11 13:56:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x08c735…
05-11 13:48:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x134291…
05-11 13:43:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0x3ab9e4…
05-11 13:43:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	28	40¢	$11	0xae2e95…
05-11 13:42:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xb95495…
05-11 13:38:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0xf36f17…
05-11 13:36:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd45feb…
05-11 13:34:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xc1af8b…
05-11 13:32:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	36	38¢	$14	0x368cd8…
05-11 13:32:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xb51185…
05-11 13:31:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	68	30¢	$20	0x21ba2f…
05-11 13:31:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x417da7…
05-11 13:25:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xe0cb51…
05-11 13:23:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xaac47c…
05-11 13:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x19d1f5…
05-11 13:13:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x4a1271…
05-11 12:48:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xbd5b42…
05-11 12:38:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xba3b26…
05-11 12:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9760b9…
05-11 12:32:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x179bca…
05-11 12:30:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x45ab91…
05-11 12:25:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd32efc…
05-11 12:17:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	70	28¢	$20	0xa1b070…
05-11 12:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	67	13¢	$9	0xcc500a…
05-11 12:12:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x2a7c83…
05-11 12:11:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	70	20¢	$14	0x826693…
05-11 12:08:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	111	4¢	$5	0x8ad7db…
05-11 10:57:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	37	24¢	$9	0x2e9477…
05-11 10:48:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	23	42¢	$10	0xdfd25d…
05-11 10:46:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0x206059…
05-11 10:43:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xb2a585…
05-11 10:39:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xb99257…
05-11 10:38:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	52	23¢	$12	0x16a1a2…
05-11 10:38:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0xe58ed6…
05-11 10:31:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	29	34¢	$10	0x06937c…
05-11 10:30:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x95121d…
05-11 10:27:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xfda409…
05-11 10:24:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0x355f87…
05-11 10:24:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x1d8367…
05-11 10:21:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x69400e…
05-11 09:57:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	58¢	$11	0x7a93cc…
05-11 09:56:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x615508…
05-11 09:51:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x6c31f2…
05-11 08:58:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x514b52…
05-11 08:54:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xc07e9a…
05-11 08:54:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	46	7¢	$3	0xbed88a…
05-11 08:04:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	19	55¢	$11	0xa5a64c…
05-11 08:03:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0x2b1136…
05-11 08:03:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x9d1a11…
05-11 08:02:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x454473…
05-11 07:58:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	29¢	$6	0x6d5455…
05-11 07:58:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x70c754…
05-11 07:57:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x3d5511…
05-11 07:53:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0x8d5c8c…
05-11 07:42:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x7ada64…
05-11 07:37:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	96	19¢	$18	0xa6e81c…
05-11 07:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0xd1204a…
05-11 07:16:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x6046f8…
05-11 07:14:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x2b46a5…
05-11 07:13:16	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	46	20¢	$9	0x2f3878…
05-11 07:07:51	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0x822e4b…
05-11 06:39:05	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x62f5ed…
05-11 06:38:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	18	67¢	$12	0x042139…
05-11 06:37:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x0c83ef…
05-11 06:04:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x5b375c…
05-11 06:04:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xbdf9ab…
05-11 06:02:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xf296e2…
05-11 06:02:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0xf5155b…
05-11 06:01:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x108c06…
05-11 06:01:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xaa8cf7…
05-11 05:58:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0xd9aa79…
05-11 05:56:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	62	14¢	$9	0xa0a461…
05-11 05:52:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0xd55c5c…
05-11 05:42:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x4f3842…
05-10 18:44:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	198	6¢	$12	0x78b8c6…
05-10 18:39:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	91	3¢	$3	0x85b8cf…
05-10 18:39:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xf339fe…
05-10 18:39:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0x5c87c0…
05-10 18:38:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	34	23¢	$8	0xbf64ae…
05-10 18:37:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x309680…
05-10 18:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x0c0773…
05-10 18:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	106	18¢	$19	0xefae84…
05-10 18:19:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x6683f6…
05-10 18:17:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x04a961…
05-10 18:12:13	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	106	25¢	$26	0x98a637…
05-10 18:09:04	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0x3cdae9…
05-10 18:07:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xeba013…
05-10 17:58:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x5f60f0…
05-10 17:45:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x60e6b4…
05-10 17:41:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x84f2f4…
05-10 17:15:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0x4667e1…
05-10 17:14:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd1dc90…
05-10 17:14:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0xb6701f…