Superficial-Siege — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

Trades

432

lifetime

Volume

$13.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-04 09:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

60% — —

Crypto

38% 71% $-43

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crint afg zaf 2026 02 11	13	$831	792	766	+26	open	—	02-11 09:31
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 500 519	4	$499	541	266	+275	open	—	01-06 13:11
crint gbr npl 2026 02 08	8	$451	1,499	1,374	+125	open	—	02-08 12:56
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 560 579	4	$426	355	355	+0	open	—	01-09 16:40
btc updown 5m 1771010400	2	$386	310	305	+5	open	—	02-13 19:24
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 190 214	4	$378	304	304	+0	open	—	01-17 16:37
crint can are 2026 02 13	4	$328	355	355	+0	open	—	02-13 13:21
crint ind nzl 2026 01 14	3	$325	412	412	+0	open	—	01-14 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$324	291	291	+0	open	—	05-17 18:05
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	2	$313	213	213	+0	open	—	01-06 17:01
crint ind nzl 2026 01 11	8	$309	873	667	+207	open	—	01-11 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$300	381	381	+0	open	—	05-17 02:30
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$300	1,598	1,598	+0	open	—	02-15 03:44
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 165 189	7	$296	411	411	+0	open	—	01-17 16:20
crint ind usa 2026 02 07	6	$290	1,543	1,543	+0	open	—	02-07 16:44
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 115 139	3	$270	1,520	1,520	+0	open	—	01-21 12:15
crint ind nzl 2026 01 18	5	$219	438	438	+0	open	—	01-18 12:59
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 600 619	2	$198	1,057	1,057	+0	open	—	01-17 03:08
crint ita npl 2026 02 12	2	$197	173	173	+0	open	—	02-12 10:51
crint nzl are 2026 02 10	18	$181	871	871	+0	open	—	02-10 11:09
btc updown 15m 1770478200	4	$167	283	282	+2	open	—	02-07 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	3	$165	2,398	0	+2,398	open	—	05-18 03:32
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$136	2,273	2,273	+0	open	—	01-09 16:13
crint lka irl 2026 02 08	2	$136	256	256	+0	open	—	02-08 16:55
btc updown 5m 1770921300	3	$132	374	231	+143	open	—	02-12 18:38
btc updown 15m 1770728400	2	$131	75	74	+1	open	—	02-10 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$131	106	106	+0	open	—	05-17 16:36
cbb unlv boise 2026 02 13	2	$128	240	240	+0	open	—	02-14 05:06
crint ita sco 2026 02 09	3	$124	1,664	1,664	+0	open	—	02-09 08:31
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	12	$123	6,617	4,008	+2,608	open	—	05-21 02:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 09:31:43	btc updown 5m 1783157400	Up	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0xe71516…
07-04 08:52:08	btc updown 5m 1783155000	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x531919…
07-03 03:20:19	btc updown 5m 1783048800	Up	SELL	41	61¢	$25	0x50d0fe…
07-03 03:19:47	btc updown 5m 1783048800	Up	BUY	41	50¢	$21	0xd4e9be…
07-01 17:17:16	btc updown 5m 1782926700	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0x3a978b…
07-01 17:07:22	btc updown 5m 1782925500	Up	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0x71f09a…
07-01 17:04:04	btc updown 5m 1782925500	Up	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x734cb8…
06-04 06:30:43	btc updown 5m 1780554600	Up	BUY	59	23¢	$14	0x668436…
06-04 02:37:19	btc updown 5m 1780540500	Up	SELL	54	28¢	$15	0x1f88da…
06-04 02:36:21	btc updown 5m 1780540500	Up	BUY	54	17¢	$9	0x91ea49…
06-02 09:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	65	16¢	$10	0xd95d35…
06-02 09:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x0222a7…
06-02 09:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x84d576…
05-21 14:06:59	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings - Who wins the toss?	Gujarat Titans	SELL	76	0¢	$0	0xf782b5…
05-21 13:23:51	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings - Who wins the toss?	Gujarat Titans	BUY	76	51¢	$39	0x53bba9…
05-21 12:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	68	59¢	$40	0xca40e9…
05-21 12:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	68	35¢	$24	0xb0bbcc…
05-21 09:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xd2de50…
05-21 04:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	45	55¢	$25	0xe4aab3…
05-21 04:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xe376c1…
05-21 04:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x8cba58…
05-21 04:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xee2808…
05-21 02:44:10	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,125	0¢	$4	0x305b77…
05-20 18:13:21	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,483	1¢	$9	0x6ce5aa…
05-19 06:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x2f2953…
05-19 05:10:54	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1,930	1¢	$25	0x8e1f7c…
05-19 02:44:26	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	113	2¢	$2	0xa04b35…
05-19 02:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0x566b88…
05-19 02:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	51	46¢	$24	0x871b36…
05-19 02:27:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,200	2¢	$19	0xdf16f3…
05-18 19:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	83	51¢	$42	0xe263b5…
05-18 19:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	83	31¢	$26	0xea51d7…
05-18 18:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	149	22¢	$32	0xedb8c3…
05-18 18:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	149	14¢	$21	0xfa2a5a…
05-18 18:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	36	63¢	$23	0x244fae…
05-18 18:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0x8e4e70…
05-18 18:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xa837e8…
05-18 18:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	103	24¢	$25	0x048470…
05-18 18:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	103	26¢	$27	0x3a53e2…
05-18 18:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	61	45¢	$27	0xdf677f…
05-18 18:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	61	34¢	$21	0x4e2e4a…
05-18 18:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	49	50¢	$24	0xb52c1c…
05-18 18:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	49	38¢	$19	0xa3f7b5…
05-18 18:35:06	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	617	2¢	$13	0xa9aca7…
05-18 18:23:22	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	1,300	0¢	$1	0x403517…
05-18 17:59:17	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x23a124…
05-18 17:43:09	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x0c05da…
05-18 13:03:00	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Who wins the toss?	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x70eff3…
05-18 12:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc291a8…
05-18 12:56:21	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	234	2¢	$5	0xdd8f5e…
05-18 08:22:17	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	234	1¢	$2	0x62b480…
05-18 08:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0xea4656…
05-18 08:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xec6d49…
05-18 08:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9db3cb…
05-18 08:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xcda437…
05-18 08:16:28	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	178	1¢	$1	0x9bd9c6…
05-18 03:37:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	178	1¢	$2	0x90704b…
05-18 03:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1,011	5¢	$47	0x92aca5…
05-18 03:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1,237	4¢	$44	0x2af427…
05-18 03:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	150	50¢	$75	0xbe5b4f…
05-17 18:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	291	62¢	$180	0x70699c…
05-17 18:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	291	50¢	$144	0x43880d…
05-17 17:51:25	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	135	20¢	$27	0xaed0ee…
05-17 16:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	106	76¢	$81	0x951893…
05-17 16:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xa4fbde…
05-17 12:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	41	68¢	$28	0x1a80e0…
05-17 12:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x9ef003…
05-17 02:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	381	42¢	$162	0xc8f96a…
05-17 02:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	381	36¢	$138	0xdc9fa1…
05-17 02:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xe57a53…
05-17 02:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	116	50¢	$58	0xb30a89…
05-17 02:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	116	44¢	$51	0x5396bc…
05-16 02:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x436df3…
05-16 02:43:14	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1,667	2¢	$31	0x0f166f…
05-15 18:15:20	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$10	0xc1bc50…
05-10 15:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	704	5¢	$38	0x765fc2…
05-10 15:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	94	45¢	$42	0xf87548…
05-10 15:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	94	38¢	$36	0xf3c2b7…
05-10 12:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	98	40¢	$39	0x9762e1…
05-10 12:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	98	35¢	$34	0x12de6c…
05-10 12:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	63	59¢	$37	0xae9c6b…
05-10 12:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	63	50¢	$32	0x08af1f…
05-07 12:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1,494	2¢	$30	0xa62498…
05-07 12:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	80	42¢	$34	0x76dbc8…
05-07 12:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	80	36¢	$29	0xbc1751…
05-07 12:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	80	39¢	$31	0x486ca8…
05-07 12:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	80	35¢	$28	0x00a919…
04-25 08:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	51	61¢	$31	0x46aa25…
04-25 08:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	108	6¢	$6	0x84f8d8…
04-25 08:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x085d37…
04-25 08:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8108de…
04-25 08:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xc38f77…
04-25 08:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x669c7a…
04-25 07:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0x5f7289…
04-25 07:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x7be646…
04-24 18:51:04	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xb4ab2c…
04-24 08:23:40	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	BUY	36	63¢	$23	0xc406e8…
04-10 10:55:59	btc updown 5m 1775818500	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xe1cf36…
04-10 10:49:47	btc updown 5m 1775817900	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc68e8e…
04-10 10:42:11	btc updown 5m 1775817600	Down	SELL	55	22¢	$12	0x19bc90…