Brilliant-Value — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$862

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-16 17:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 32% +$60

Sports

1% 100% +$11

Other

1% 40% $-1

Politics

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$141	219	219	+0	Up	+$101	05-07 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$100	76	76	+0	open	—	05-16 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$85	102	63	+38	open	—	05-16 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	3	$58	92	92	+0	Down	+$18	05-07 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$49	33	33	+0	open	—	05-16 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$49	58	58	+0	open	—	05-16 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$48	122	0	+122	open	—	05-16 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$33	84	34	+50	Up	+$11	05-07 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$33	40	15	+25	open	—	05-16 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$32	58	22	+36	open	—	05-16 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$29	27	27	+0	Up	+$9	05-07 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$20	85	0	+85	Down	$-20	05-07 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$19	21	21	+0	Down	+$9	05-07 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$18	20	20	+0	Up	+$8	05-07 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$15	175	0	+175	Up	$-15	05-07 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$14	28	0	+28	open	—	05-16 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$10	207	0	+207	Down	$-10	05-07 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$10	50	0	+50	Down	$-10	05-07 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-10	05-07 02:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$10	101	0	+101	Up	$-10	05-06 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$10	88	0	+88	Up	$-10	05-07 00:12
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$10	20	0	+20	Yes	+$11	05-06 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$6	557	0	+557	Down	$-6	05-07 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	Up	$-5	05-07 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	+$6	05-06 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	3	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	05-16 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$5	9	9	+0	open	—	05-16 02:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	5	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	05-16 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$3	28	8	+20	open	—	05-16 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$3	51	0	+51	open	—	05-16 16:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 17:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	122	39¢	$48	0x2a52e2…
05-16 16:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0x975992…
05-16 16:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc0dee2…
05-16 16:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xc5cb66…
05-16 16:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x09e35e…
05-16 16:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x20cb1e…
05-16 16:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	76	66¢	$50	0x39d62f…
05-16 16:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xc9ff1d…
05-16 16:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xcc8c0b…
05-16 16:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0x9e973e…
05-16 16:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x09129a…
05-16 16:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x0d714a…
05-16 16:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	63	56¢	$35	0x466629…
05-16 16:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	63	39¢	$25	0x4921a1…
05-16 16:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	33	88¢	$29	0x248cf1…
05-16 16:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x44b271…
05-16 16:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x644683…
05-16 16:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0xaf0ffb…
05-16 16:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6964b6…
05-16 16:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xcb81a6…
05-16 16:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdc3099…
05-16 16:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x067dc9…
05-16 16:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x29088d…
05-16 16:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9a5a19…
05-16 16:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x646d37…
05-16 16:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x267478…
05-16 16:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x21d89c…
05-16 15:41:58	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x162aa9…
05-16 02:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	58	41¢	$24	0xe2f1bf…
05-16 02:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xcfb5ea…
05-16 02:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0xfe0d02…
05-16 02:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc667f8…
05-16 02:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbed78c…
05-16 02:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x20ebe5…
05-16 02:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x70e4f5…
05-16 02:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x9ce8a9…
05-16 02:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x70925b…
05-16 02:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x3c9a6a…
05-16 02:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7d2375…
05-16 02:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x509c96…
05-16 01:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9a41af…
05-16 01:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa97b87…
05-16 01:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x47d45e…
05-14 09:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfaa590…
05-14 09:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9d3930…
05-07 02:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	557	1¢	$6	0xfa9cdd…
05-07 02:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8963bb…
05-07 02:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xb18096…
05-07 02:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xa45f3b…
05-07 01:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x01de29…
05-07 01:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	92	41¢	$38	0x201400…
05-07 01:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x03d616…
05-07 01:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb0b968…
05-07 01:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	27	69¢	$19	0x56e8c2…
05-07 01:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x932243…
05-07 01:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xa0abf3…
05-07 01:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xa84d56…
05-07 01:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	21	69¢	$14	0x71d235…
05-07 01:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa5a2af…
05-07 01:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xea3ee9…
05-07 01:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc636f9…
05-07 01:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	34	65¢	$22	0x0bf4a0…
05-07 01:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xc9e2a0…
05-07 01:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	207	5¢	$10	0xe288ec…
05-07 01:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	219	55¢	$121	0x34fb58…
05-07 01:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	219	9¢	$20	0x001de6…
05-07 01:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xe143ec…
05-07 01:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6d5ee1…
05-07 00:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0x85f343…
05-07 00:10:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc386d4…
05-06 23:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe62204…
05-06 23:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xb1f558…
05-06 23:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe72fdb…
05-06 23:37:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x599288…
05-06 23:37:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x820ae8…
05-06 23:37:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4b45f1…
05-06 23:37:20	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x094c8b…
05-06 23:37:12	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3efe12…
05-06 23:37:10	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc99f85…
05-06 16:11:02	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 12.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x00c472…
05-06 16:06:52	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x42468f…
05-06 16:06:39	Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x312929…
05-06 16:06:31	Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9671e0…
05-06 16:06:20	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x078ff5…
05-06 15:17:08	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x57ea8b…