Forthright-Speculation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$27.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$957

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-26 12:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

98% — —

Sports

1% 50% +$8

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$27.1K	13,632	13,632	+0	open	—	01-01 23:44
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$164	82	82	+0	No	$-0	04-18 18:15
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	2	$83	44	44	+0	open	—	04-11 02:40
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	1	$77	77	0	+77	open	—	02-14 20:18
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$76	77	0	+77	open	—	01-06 15:56
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	05-23 12:21
nba hou min 2026 03 25	1	$31	64	0	+64	open	—	03-25 07:17
nhl pit nyi 2026 03 30	1	$26	49	0	+49	open	—	03-30 02:27
nba det min 2026 03 28	1	$21	45	0	+45	open	—	03-28 03:47
nhl car mon 2026 03 24	1	$21	38	0	+38	open	—	03-24 02:31
nba phx cha 2026 04 02	1	$21	31	0	+31	open	—	04-02 03:54
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-08 05:35
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-26 12:12
cbb txam hou 2026 03 21 spread home 10pt5	1	$19	36	0	+36	open	—	03-21 08:46
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-21 04:02
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers	1	$9	19	0	+19	open	—	05-16 05:21
nhl cbj det 2026 04 07	1	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	04-07 07:07
nba por sas 2026 04 08	1	$7	12	0	+12	open	—	04-08 06:04
nhl chi sj 2026 04 06	1	$7	18	0	+18	open	—	04-06 06:45
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	1	$7	12	0	+12	open	—	04-08 03:42
nhl chi edm 2026 04 02	1	$6	19	0	+19	open	—	04-02 10:08
nhl buf nyr 2026 04 08	1	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	04-08 08:27
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$5	14	0	+14	San Francisco Giants	+$9	05-11 07:42
nhl wsh tor 2026 04 08	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	04-08 04:31
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	02-27 13:55
nba por den 2026 04 06	1	$4	15	0	+15	open	—	04-06 05:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 12:12:11	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfcea45…
05-23 12:21:53	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xc3127d…
05-21 04:02:25	Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x03803c…
05-16 05:21:07	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xf99824…
05-11 07:42:14	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	San Francisco Giants	BUY	14	39¢	$5	0xe547f4…
04-18 18:15:06	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x0eec99…
04-18 17:20:32	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x4533d4…
04-11 02:40:01	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0x4b84dc…
04-08 08:27:09	nhl buf nyr 2026 04 08	Rangers	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0xbc7444…
04-08 06:04:41	nba por sas 2026 04 08	Spurs	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x815bb1…
04-08 04:31:17	nhl wsh tor 2026 04 08	Maple Leafs	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x6b7687…
04-08 03:42:15	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xa24199…
04-07 07:07:17	nhl cbj det 2026 04 07	Red Wings	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x107eb2…
04-06 06:45:35	nhl chi sj 2026 04 06	Blackhawks	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x7428f2…
04-06 05:42:55	nba por den 2026 04 06	Trail Blazers	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x927bc3…
04-02 10:08:37	nhl chi edm 2026 04 02	Blackhawks	BUY	19	34¢	$6	0xb1afba…
04-02 03:54:11	nba phx cha 2026 04 02	Hornets	BUY	31	66¢	$21	0xbf7596…
03-30 02:27:34	nhl pit nyi 2026 03 30	Islanders	BUY	49	54¢	$26	0x6a4bec…
03-28 03:47:09	nba det min 2026 03 28	Pistons	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0xdf5a7b…
03-25 07:17:13	nba hou min 2026 03 25	Timberwolves	BUY	64	48¢	$31	0x8d367a…
03-24 02:31:07	nhl car mon 2026 03 24	Hurricanes	BUY	38	56¢	$21	0x83e804…
03-21 08:46:39	cbb txam hou 2026 03 21 spread home 10pt5	Houston Cougars	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0xea8d79…
03-08 05:35:07	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe85771…
03-08 01:04:07	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	44	92¢	$41	0x2f4062…
02-27 13:55:29	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xeb4af1…
02-14 20:18:29	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	77	99¢	$77	0xfd6c93…
01-06 15:56:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	77	100¢	$76	0x57f74d…
01-01 23:44:55	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	13,632	99¢	$13,523	0xb9db02…
01-01 23:43:45	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	13,632	99¢	$13,537	0x41c763…