Cautious-Fifth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$59

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-07 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% 100% +$0

Sports

29% — —

Politics

7% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk 48h tweets january 1 january 3 60 69	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-02 16:19
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	01-02 16:19
will stranger things season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	01-02 16:20
will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	01-16 09:24
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	02-02 14:06
nba sac cha 2026 03 24	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	03-24 07:34
nba orl cle 2026 03 24	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	03-24 07:34
cs2 nrg fal2 2026 02 02	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	02-02 14:08
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Linda Noskova	1	$2	2	+2	Linda Noskova	+$0	05-07 13:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-07 13:09
cs2 mouz aur1 2026 02 02	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	02-02 14:07
nba atl det 2026 03 25	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	03-24 07:35
cs2 g2 prv 2026 02 15	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	02-15 10:44
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	05-07 13:12
cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	03-24 07:35
cs2 fal2 faze 2026 02 15	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	02-15 10:45
crint can ita 2026 02 02	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	02-02 14:08
nba cha bkn 2026 03 31	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-31 11:47
nba nop nyk 2026 03 24	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	03-24 07:34
mwoh swi cze 2026 02 15	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	02-15 10:46
will russia announce a christmas truce	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-06 09:46
nba den uta 2026 04 01	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-31 11:48
nba phi was 2026 04 01	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-31 11:48
atp molcan clarke 2026 03 31	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-31 11:46
atp bellucc bennani 2026 03 30	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-31 11:47
atp kuzmano fatic 2026 03 23	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	03-24 07:33
nba por lac 2026 03 31	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	03-31 11:47
cbb wichst tulsa 2026 03 24	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	03-24 07:36
nba mia cle 2026 03 25	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	03-24 07:35
val rrq1 pr1 2026 02 15	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	02-15 10:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 13:12:45	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb62a28…
05-07 13:09:55	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Linda Noskova	Linda Noskova	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf5ac37…
05-07 13:09:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x7f315b…
03-31 11:48:27	nba den uta 2026 04 01	Nuggets	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x74d999…
03-31 11:48:13	nba mil hou 2026 04 01	Rockets	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7b8ef6…
03-31 11:48:03	nba phi was 2026 04 01	76ers	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x95947e…
03-31 11:47:51	nba por lac 2026 03 31	Clippers	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x556858…
03-31 11:47:39	nba cha bkn 2026 03 31	Hornets	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9dda40…
03-31 11:47:15	atp bellucc bennani 2026 03 30	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe68ba5…
03-31 11:46:57	atp molcan clarke 2026 03 31	Alex Molcan	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x007415…
03-31 11:46:41	atp cerund majchrz 2026 03 30	Kamil Majchrzak	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x583b40…
03-24 07:36:17	cbb wichst tulsa 2026 03 24	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5ba2f6…
03-24 07:35:53	cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	Houston Cougars	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0d991c…
03-24 07:35:33	nba mia cle 2026 03 25	Cavaliers	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x63568b…
03-24 07:35:21	nba okc bos 2026 03 25	Thunder	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc9c0de…
03-24 07:35:09	nba atl det 2026 03 25	Pistons	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xda0b32…
03-24 07:34:47	nba den phx 2026 03 24	Nuggets	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x702a35…
03-24 07:34:35	nba orl cle 2026 03 24	Cavaliers	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x2389f7…
03-24 07:34:27	nba nop nyk 2026 03 24	Knicks	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x952fa2…
03-24 07:34:13	nba sac cha 2026 03 24	Hornets	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xd0eba2…
03-24 07:33:27	atp sil michals 2026 03 23	Frederico Ferreira Silva	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa03fc3…
03-24 07:33:15	atp kuzmano fatic 2026 03 23	Nerman Fatic	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb9b89b…
02-15 10:47:21	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd66844…
02-15 10:46:29	crint ind pak 2026 02 15	India	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x27c00a…
02-15 10:46:07	mwoh swi cze 2026 02 15	Czechia	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbc0261…
02-15 10:45:41	val rrq1 pr1 2026 02 15	Paper Rex	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x50820b…
02-15 10:45:25	cs2 fal2 faze 2026 02 15	Team Falcons	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xe2bcf6…
02-15 10:44:49	cs2 g2 prv 2026 02 15	G2	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xc55eff…
02-15 10:44:21	lol t1 fox1 2026 02 15	BNK FEARX	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa8d1f3…
02-02 14:09:02	cs2 furia navi 2026 02 02	FURIA	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x59c8ce…
02-02 14:08:40	cs2 nrg fal2 2026 02 02	Team Falcons	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x01172c…
02-02 14:08:12	crint can ita 2026 02 02	Canada	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x923b75…
02-02 14:07:22	cs2 vit 3dmax 2026 02 02	Vitality	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe509d7…
02-02 14:07:00	cs2 mouz aur1 2026 02 02	Aurora Gaming	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe9bdd5…
02-02 14:06:28	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xff5742…
01-16 09:24:46	will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x30d6b7…
01-06 09:48:01	will mrbeast hit 125 billion views by january 31 525	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x172381…
01-06 09:46:19	will russia announce a christmas truce	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x277c95…
01-02 16:20:27	will stranger things season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6b14bd…
01-02 16:19:49	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x6e80d1…
01-02 16:19:03	elon musk 48h tweets january 1 january 3 60 69	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6d5c99…