Muddy-Star — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$201

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.7%

Resolved

220

Trades

942

lifetime

Volume

$18.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 06-01 08:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% +$201

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$662	442	442	+0	open	—	05-21 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$583	396	396	+0	Down	+$202	05-08 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	3	$581	416	416	+0	open	—	05-21 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	3	$436	262	262	+0	open	—	05-21 02:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	4	$403	370	370	+0	Down	$-7	05-08 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	6	$381	528	193	+335	open	—	05-21 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$364	552	183	+369	open	—	05-21 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	3	$350	242	242	+0	Down	+$128	05-08 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	3	$335	710	93	+617	open	—	05-21 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$327	450	0	+450	open	—	05-21 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	7	$290	235	235	+0	open	—	05-21 03:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$276	384	192	+192	Up	$-120	05-08 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$271	295	295	+0	Up	$-101	05-08 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$270	391	391	+0	Up	$-152	05-08 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$259	498	0	+498	Up	+$239	05-08 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	3	$251	363	363	+0	open	—	05-21 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$249	505	0	+505	Down	$-249	05-08 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	4	$237	284	225	+58	open	—	05-21 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$234	391	391	+0	open	—	05-21 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	3	$228	279	157	+122	open	—	05-21 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	3	$225	389	389	+0	open	—	05-21 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$224	521	0	+521	Up	+$133	05-08 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$213	248	235	+13	open	—	05-21 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$207	337	0	+337	open	—	05-21 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$187	280	0	+280	Up	+$92	05-08 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$181	106	106	+0	Up	+$22	05-08 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	4	$179	221	198	+23	open	—	05-21 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$178	287	0	+287	Up	$-178	05-08 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$170	224	224	+0	open	—	05-21 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$169	175	105	+70	Up	+$1	05-08 05:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 08:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x17df0d…
06-01 08:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9336d7…
06-01 08:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	185	8¢	$15	0x789f1e…
06-01 08:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	185	43¢	$80	0xfbc903…
06-01 08:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x34dd17…
06-01 08:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	41	13¢	$5	0x9c182f…
06-01 08:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x18f6fb…
06-01 07:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x18cb55…
06-01 07:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	52	56¢	$29	0xb6cc0a…
06-01 07:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0xe39fcf…
06-01 07:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x586bf9…
06-01 07:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf6ac1b…
06-01 07:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	44	52¢	$23	0xdb0feb…
06-01 07:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	103	52¢	$53	0x8ac026…
06-01 07:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd837a7…
06-01 07:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	79	48¢	$38	0x88f440…
06-01 07:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x012115…
06-01 07:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf3b60b…
06-01 07:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xc374c5…
06-01 06:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x2b29f7…
06-01 06:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0499fd…
06-01 06:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xaadd0b…
06-01 06:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x46b18a…
06-01 06:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x491c9f…
06-01 06:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x14f623…
06-01 06:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf3a31f…
06-01 06:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8a9c20…
06-01 05:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x1faa51…
06-01 05:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbf5dec…
06-01 05:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xfc2037…
06-01 05:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x962fdb…
06-01 05:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x1bf48c…
06-01 04:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0ae066…
06-01 04:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x686eb4…
06-01 04:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6ba875…
05-31 15:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa4c89b…
05-31 15:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x93ca49…
05-31 14:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xabecb6…
05-31 14:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xed0836…
05-31 14:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe92ca3…
05-31 14:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xabc155…
05-31 14:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x402a99…
05-31 13:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1a5a68…
05-31 13:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe22c9e…
05-31 13:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa1050b…
05-31 13:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc6bcc1…
05-31 13:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb5dc60…
05-31 13:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd2d43a…
05-31 08:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd4d60f…
05-31 08:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x335d8b…
05-31 08:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5c8dbe…
05-31 06:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x372d24…
05-31 06:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x1af57a…
05-31 05:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	29	38¢	$11	0x45a0f5…
05-31 05:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0x7637da…
05-31 05:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xf1bbbf…
05-31 05:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x42ee01…
05-31 05:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8b6f45…
05-31 05:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6d7e67…
05-31 04:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	65	48¢	$31	0x4372e6…
05-31 04:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x911de8…
05-31 04:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xe41bac…
05-31 04:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe10d73…
05-31 04:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2e70b6…
05-31 03:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x88a031…
05-31 03:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xf4b3e5…
05-31 02:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xef06ea…
05-31 02:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xafaa2f…
05-31 02:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x89aded…
05-31 01:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x76af36…
05-31 01:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x5b069b…
05-31 01:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf3bc0c…
05-31 01:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0decbb…
05-31 01:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe57fe0…
05-31 01:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa68203…
05-31 01:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	160	39¢	$63	0x068f4b…
05-31 00:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0x160699…
05-31 00:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x79199d…
05-31 00:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x2d11fe…
05-31 00:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x09d400…
05-30 23:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1745fa…
05-30 23:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8b2972…
05-30 23:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xf18093…
05-30 23:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x15488a…
05-30 22:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x333c42…
05-30 22:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x070d84…
05-30 22:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3aa062…
05-30 22:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9ad83d…
05-30 21:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xac0391…
05-30 21:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x99e5bd…
05-30 21:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xedd82c…
05-30 21:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7a8cea…
05-30 21:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf511aa…
05-30 21:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x724e86…
05-30 20:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x85c7f5…
05-30 20:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	58	53¢	$31	0x87771a…
05-30 20:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x69895b…
05-30 20:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xa7ee3e…
05-30 20:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x960a9e…
05-30 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7c2ec8…