Immense-Licensing-Fence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$106

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-09 08:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 50% +$12

Politics

4% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$52	62	62	+0	Up	+$12	05-09 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$11	15	11	+5	Up	+$4	05-04 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 10:17
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during Small Business Summit?	1	$4	46	0	+46	open	—	05-04 18:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 18:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$4	7	4	+3	open	—	05-04 18:03
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	1	$2	18	0	+18	open	—	05-03 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$2	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-04 17:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-04 10:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$2	63	0	+63	Up	$-2	05-09 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	Down	$-2	05-09 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-04 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-04 17:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-04 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-04 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 17:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 10:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 08:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xfec2bb…
05-09 08:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x7d6c5f…
05-09 08:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	62	51¢	$32	0xb2eb61…
05-09 08:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x7b7227…
05-09 08:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0x9a9373…
05-04 20:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	51¢	$5	0x818ff4…
05-04 20:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x8d2264…
05-04 20:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x19f4ac…
05-04 18:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe554c8…
05-04 18:32:28	Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during Small Business Summit?	No	BUY	46	9¢	$4	0x22bca9…
05-04 18:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xdd75c0…
05-04 18:08:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x047b18…
05-04 18:03:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x1b2c82…
05-04 18:01:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x770619…
05-04 18:01:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xaaec80…
05-04 17:58:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x1d9dc8…
05-04 17:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xbc1e2a…
05-04 17:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2c87e3…
05-04 17:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x38585a…
05-04 17:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x20dbb4…
05-04 17:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xed6aea…
05-04 10:42:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x04db5b…
05-04 10:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x831c3c…
05-04 10:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2e3d13…
05-04 10:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$4	0xf57d3f…
05-04 10:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x38eeaf…
05-04 10:13:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x984940…
05-04 10:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4dcb08…
05-04 10:01:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1481b1…
05-03 18:47:58	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x75aae2…