Crowded-Senior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$120

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 04-27 00:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

83% 67% $-4

Other

16% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	04-18 12:24
will jean luc moudenc be the next mayor of toulouse following the 2026 toulouse municipal election	5	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	03-17 19:10
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	3	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-20 11:21
Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-19 22:45
right wing wave in french mayoral elections	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-17 01:29
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-17 10:23
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 1015	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-17 10:31
will rachida dati advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-14 17:32
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	1	$5	22	0	+22	No	$-5	04-15 21:09
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-17 18:45
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 1520	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-17 10:41
will emmanuel grgoire advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-14 17:32
will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-17 13:10
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	2	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	03-18 13:17
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	3	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 22:12
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	03-16 12:09
will juliana stratton be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	4	$4	12	0	+12	open	—	03-13 17:19
will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	2	$4	29	0	+29	open	—	03-22 19:42
will jean paul lecoq be the next mayor of le havre	3	$4	6	4	+2	open	—	03-15 18:15
will christine frechette be the next premier of quebec following the 2026 caq leadership elections	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-15 23:06
will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	3	$3	12	4	+8	open	—	03-22 00:44
Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	03-31 18:23
Will David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-01 23:40
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	03-17 13:45
Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-27 00:00
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	04-21 18:31
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-21 07:06
rusixnat fra eng 2026 03 14 fra	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-14 20:37
will france win the 2026 six nations championship	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-14 22:05
will bosnia and herzegovina qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-31 20:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-27 00:00:24	Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x0c3bf1…
04-21 18:31:38	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x68871d…
04-21 07:06:12	Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xa2427a…
04-20 11:21:52	Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd67ef3…
04-19 22:45:12	Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?	Yes	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x6f1199…
04-19 01:46:06	Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1090c4…
04-18 20:18:44	Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x2c499a…
04-18 12:24:20	Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xbd79fe…
04-18 10:17:50	Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf6841b…
04-15 23:06:56	will christine frechette be the next premier of quebec following the 2026 caq leadership elections	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe5208c…
04-15 21:09:12	Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0x2da634…
04-11 23:41:45	will christine frechette be the next premier of quebec following the 2026 caq leadership elections	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xd45baa…
04-01 23:40:57	Will David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xe200cd…
04-01 22:12:53	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	1	65¢	$0	0x122d7b…
03-31 20:45:03	will bosnia and herzegovina qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb45f87…
03-31 18:23:39	Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3f5f0d…
03-27 11:45:15	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xce50a4…
03-22 19:42:17	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc6785d…
03-22 00:44:23	will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	No	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x641f69…
03-21 06:16:55	Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2490a7…
03-20 10:59:03	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x818385…
03-19 17:36:07	will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1e92f8…
03-18 13:17:01	will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x41e3bc…
03-18 13:16:53	will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x256546…
03-17 22:53:51	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x561532…
03-17 19:10:45	will jean luc moudenc be the next mayor of toulouse following the 2026 toulouse municipal election	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x4ca1ea…
03-17 18:45:27	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x94783e…
03-17 13:45:07	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0xf87ce4…
03-17 13:17:23	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x49aa30…
03-17 13:10:41	will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xedc0b7…
03-17 10:41:31	will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 1520	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x50c092…
03-17 10:31:01	will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 1015	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9e7f4d…
03-17 10:23:09	will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1ec3f0…
03-17 01:29:51	right wing wave in french mayoral elections	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa747ce…
03-16 12:09:43	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x2c5088…
03-16 10:45:55	will jean luc moudenc be the next mayor of toulouse following the 2026 toulouse municipal election	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb20ac7…
03-16 10:45:55	will jean luc moudenc be the next mayor of toulouse following the 2026 toulouse municipal election	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x498eba…
03-16 10:45:19	will jean luc moudenc be the next mayor of toulouse following the 2026 toulouse municipal election	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x230df4…
03-16 10:45:15	will jean luc moudenc be the next mayor of toulouse following the 2026 toulouse municipal election	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x150bab…
03-15 18:15:05	will jean paul lecoq be the next mayor of le havre	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xa18450…
03-15 18:14:55	will jean paul lecoq be the next mayor of le havre	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf004bd…
03-15 18:14:13	will jean paul lecoq be the next mayor of le havre	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x905800…
03-15 00:10:19	Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x6bb0b8…
03-15 00:10:17	Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x6fdb14…
03-14 22:05:21	will france win the 2026 six nations championship	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xfa37b9…
03-14 20:37:33	rusixnat fra eng 2026 03 14 fra	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xfc7d33…
03-14 17:32:37	will emmanuel grgoire advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe173ab…
03-14 17:32:29	will rachida dati advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05822b…
03-13 17:19:27	will juliana stratton be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x92fd68…
03-13 17:01:49	will juliana stratton be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6a0541…
03-13 17:01:29	will juliana stratton be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x928574…
03-13 17:01:29	will juliana stratton be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x594db1…
03-13 15:25:11	will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf5707b…