Tall-Theory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$144

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-26 22:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 50% $-2

Other

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$5	465	+465	open	—	05-03 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	05-03 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-04 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-04 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-04 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-02 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-05 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-04 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$4	9	+9	open	—	05-03 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	$-4	05-06 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$3	39	+39	open	—	05-03 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Up	+$2	05-07 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	+$3	05-05 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	open	—	05-16 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-03 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	05-18 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-03 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	04-30 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	04-28 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$2	8	+8	open	—	04-28 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$2	7	+7	open	—	04-28 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$2	60	+60	open	—	04-28 19:54
Named storm forms before hurricane season?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-26 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	04-28 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	04-28 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-01 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-01 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-01 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	04-30 15:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 22:07:03	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xfeddf4…
05-18 19:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xdc5299…
05-16 14:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x382e6d…
05-16 05:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x4e3bcd…
05-07 15:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x6eef1f…
05-06 13:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfabc25…
05-06 10:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x7f61a8…
05-06 05:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x9b995b…
05-05 15:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xfab1a1…
05-05 11:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5fc86e…
05-05 08:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x4e3756…
05-05 05:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0571aa…
05-05 01:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xd26b67…
05-04 23:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xffe2cc…
05-04 16:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc4b163…
05-04 15:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x6becf5…
05-04 07:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x9d53d8…
05-04 05:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0xef647d…
05-04 05:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x559922…
05-04 05:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd12298…
05-04 04:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0xbd3101…
05-04 03:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa9cc9e…
05-04 03:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1,080	0¢	$1	0x1dc7a1…
05-04 02:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x6a0f8f…
05-04 02:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc84669…
05-04 02:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xf34bf9…
05-04 00:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	659	0¢	$1	0xa4bddf…
05-04 00:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	155	1¢	$2	0xb3e21d…
05-04 00:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x473dc0…
05-03 23:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4ccd06…
05-03 22:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xeb51c2…
05-03 22:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf976b1…
05-03 20:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x3347c4…
05-03 20:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x585fe5…
05-03 19:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x77c6b3…
05-03 18:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xa98735…
05-03 18:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x421c4a…
05-03 17:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x319a15…
05-03 16:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x27bfb8…
05-03 14:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	465	1¢	$5	0xa27035…
05-03 14:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3752b5…
05-03 14:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	39	9¢	$3	0xb25e59…
05-03 02:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2a4b0b…
05-02 07:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd183dc…
05-01 12:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	7¢	$2	0xd5a9d2…
05-01 10:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xb9a7ae…
05-01 06:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x8fdbb1…
05-01 04:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x9a8e0b…
05-01 04:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x1d9345…
05-01 02:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x0dbdf4…
04-30 20:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xdd09ad…
04-30 19:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb86e2b…
04-30 17:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf6a620…
04-30 17:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xac74a3…
04-30 17:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x854a21…
04-30 16:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x8310bf…
04-30 15:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x738303…
04-28 19:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xa6b8a8…
04-28 18:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xd63340…
04-28 17:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0xe664fa…
04-28 17:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xdf7a78…
04-28 16:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xbc1b24…
04-28 16:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xd459ee…
04-28 06:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xa9405e…
04-28 06:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x5525a2…
04-28 05:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8e951e…
04-28 05:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xa1cb78…
04-28 04:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x2427ab…
04-28 01:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb9f3ff…
04-28 01:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x28986e…
04-27 23:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x741bea…
04-27 22:21:44	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9cccec…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	71	$61.1K	2,338	05-18 19:21
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	71	$27.5K	4,968	05-18 19:19
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	70	$26.1K	7,800	05-18 19:19
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	70	$24.6K	4,353	05-18 19:19
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	70	$23.7K	7,125	05-18 19:19
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	70	$22.4K	763	05-18 19:16
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	70	$16.7K	8,427	05-18 19:19
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	70	$6.71K	791	05-18 19:18