Reliable-Resemblance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.4%

Resolved

Trades

225

lifetime

Volume

$1.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-14 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

45% — —

Politics

40% 50% +$0

Crypto

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	9	$147	100	100	+0	open	—	04-22 11:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	2	$118	120	117	+3	open	—	04-25 21:28
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	2	$92	100	100	+0	open	—	06-09 20:55
will trump visit china by march 31	5	$82	71	71	+0	open	—	03-17 04:27
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	7	$82	250	0	+250	open	—	04-14 16:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	4	$68	90	0	+90	open	—	05-27 12:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$65	60	60	+0	open	—	04-14 16:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	3	$64	59	29	+30	open	—	03-28 15:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	8	$63	84	84	+0	open	—	05-27 12:49
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$57	49	29	+20	open	—	03-25 16:02
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	04-08 03:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$49	111	11	+100	open	—	04-01 14:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	1	$47	100	0	+100	open	—	04-22 18:14
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	4	$45	89	89	+0	open	—	03-26 13:44
cs2 og1 algo1 2026 04 01	12	$44	140	40	+100	open	—	04-01 17:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	3	$42	100	100	+0	open	—	05-23 10:14
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$42	24	24	+0	open	—	03-30 05:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	3	$41	64	0	+64	open	—	05-23 21:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$41	60	0	+60	open	—	05-25 05:23
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	2	$40	49	0	+49	open	—	06-14 13:12
bitcoin up or down february 13 4pm et	6	$36	81	81	+0	open	—	02-13 21:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	5	$34	50	0	+50	open	—	04-21 06:30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	1	$32	50	0	+50	open	—	05-23 21:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	2	$29	100	0	+100	open	—	05-23 21:20
cs2 bige tlr 2026 03 30	7	$29	300	279	+21	open	—	03-30 17:57
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	1	$27	30	0	+30	open	—	03-27 07:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	04-11 10:39
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	2	$24	50	0	+50	open	—	05-25 05:24
cs2 m8 nip 2026 04 01	3	$23	24	24	+0	open	—	04-01 17:58
btc updown 5m 1772217300	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	02-27 18:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 13:12:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x60df96…
06-14 11:21:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x011c82…
06-09 20:55:04	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	No	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x7753a7…
06-03 19:40:18	Will Red–Green Alliance be part of the next Government of Denmark?	Yes	SELL	825	0¢	$2	0xfef695…
06-03 06:56:12	Will Red–Green Alliance be part of the next Government of Denmark?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x47e8ab…
06-02 10:24:34	Will The Alternative be part of the next Government of Denmark?	Yes	SELL	127	0¢	$0	0x4516ce…
06-01 19:59:49	Will Red–Green Alliance be part of the next Government of Denmark?	Yes	SELL	180	0¢	$0	0xebd962…
06-01 19:59:21	Will Naleraq be part of the next Government of Denmark?	Yes	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0xdca0df…
06-01 19:58:40	Will the Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands) be part of the next Government of Denmark?	Yes	SELL	58	0¢	$0	0x56180d…
06-01 19:57:55	Will The Alternative be part of the next Government of Denmark?	Yes	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0x15c09a…
06-01 19:57:32	Will The Alternative be part of the next Government of Denmark?	Yes	SELL	249	0¢	$1	0x074964…
06-01 14:23:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x3573f4…
05-28 20:34:57	Will The Alternative be part of the next Government of Denmark?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x8bbbb9…
05-27 12:55:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x64dec3…
05-27 12:49:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	28	43¢	$12	0x780a37…
05-27 12:47:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x7fb2ee…
05-27 12:47:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x75c509…
05-27 12:46:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x190c37…
05-27 12:45:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	40	42¢	$17	0xed675b…
05-25 06:39:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xb619e1…
05-25 05:24:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x669c6a…
05-25 05:23:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x36e621…
05-24 06:59:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0xa5ff04…
05-23 21:52:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xeb5146…
05-23 21:37:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x0af941…
05-23 21:31:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x4d38ff…
05-23 21:26:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xb69596…
05-23 21:25:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x7833a9…
05-23 21:25:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x04fc6e…
05-23 21:21:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf6a158…
05-23 21:20:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xc56b9c…
05-23 20:54:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x64e8d9…
05-23 20:50:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xf9b05d…
05-23 20:50:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xdd8844…
05-23 10:14:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x5d836c…
05-23 10:09:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x4c7eec…
05-23 10:01:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	90	4¢	$4	0x9a8883…
05-22 11:41:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x1a6206…
05-19 17:12:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x57e51a…
05-16 16:03:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xf7465f…
05-15 20:07:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x401440…
05-04 20:22:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x2e965f…
04-25 21:28:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	117	61¢	$71	0xdb289b…
04-24 14:04:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	120	39¢	$47	0x903679…
04-22 18:14:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x582e37…
04-22 11:55:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	4	87¢	$4	0x92378c…
04-22 11:53:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	69	87¢	$60	0xcc80ad…
04-22 11:34:14	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x484492…
04-22 11:33:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x13ca09…
04-22 11:28:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x76c6ef…
04-22 11:23:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x7d034b…
04-22 11:22:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x7f3422…
04-22 11:17:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xe5e48a…
04-21 06:30:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa87e88…
04-21 06:30:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	38	68¢	$26	0x4901a2…
04-21 05:44:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0xcaa740…
04-20 19:20:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x789c2d…
04-19 07:25:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd9ab22…
04-19 06:35:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc4449d…
04-14 16:45:00	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xcdb124…
04-14 16:35:00	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xb756a7…
04-14 16:26:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	60	84¢	$50	0x59074a…
04-14 06:51:53	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x188b1b…
04-13 03:04:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xa12d90…
04-12 16:19:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x207062…
04-12 04:21:07	den sjs vib 2026 04 12 sjs	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x883a33…
04-12 04:20:57	den sjs vib 2026 04 12 sjs	Yes	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0xf8d87d…
04-12 04:20:57	den sjs vib 2026 04 12 sjs	Yes	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0xdf6221…
04-11 10:39:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x5456f9…
04-11 10:24:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x259081…
04-11 10:21:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x13c966…
04-11 10:20:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0x2cae72…
04-11 10:14:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0x4341fa…
04-11 10:14:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	55	35¢	$19	0x4994b2…
04-08 03:22:55	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb8b35d…
04-07 20:01:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	No	BUY	1,758	0¢	$4	0x8e02b5…
04-07 20:01:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	No	BUY	77	0¢	$0	0xac8e07…
04-07 20:01:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	No	BUY	165	0¢	$0	0x6835d0…
04-07 19:59:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x59c7e0…
04-07 19:57:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xe4ed00…
04-06 16:33:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x4e75e0…
04-05 09:29:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x3d4d79…
04-04 19:17:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x2964aa…
04-04 18:03:41	cs2 mana heroa 2026 04 04 game2	HEROIC Academy	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xfe316b…
04-04 18:03:41	cs2 mana heroa 2026 04 04 game2	HEROIC Academy	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xdc904c…
04-04 17:57:53	cs2 mana heroa 2026 04 04 game2	HEROIC Academy	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x696dc5…
04-02 17:46:09	bitcoin above 68k on april 3	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x0f5a00…
04-02 16:51:49	Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?	No	BUY	71	9¢	$6	0xb4601f…
04-02 16:51:45	Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?	No	BUY	29	8¢	$2	0x6f7819…
04-01 17:58:33	cs2 m8 nip 2026 04 01	Gentle Mates	SELL	24	52¢	$12	0x4fd8db…
04-01 17:54:21	cs2 m8 nip 2026 04 01	Gentle Mates	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x000a59…
04-01 17:52:41	cs2 m8 nip 2026 04 01	Gentle Mates	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x9fbd6f…
04-01 17:35:09	cs2 og1 algo1 2026 04 01	OG	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xe2afd5…
04-01 17:33:35	cs2 og1 algo1 2026 04 01	OG	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xaf9827…
04-01 17:33:35	cs2 og1 algo1 2026 04 01	OG	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x93fb27…
04-01 17:33:35	cs2 og1 algo1 2026 04 01	OG	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x8810c8…
04-01 17:32:47	cs2 og1 algo1 2026 04 01	OG	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x15cda6…
04-01 17:30:27	cs2 og1 algo1 2026 04 01	OG	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xfa2d80…
04-01 17:30:27	cs2 og1 algo1 2026 04 01	OG	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xb4be18…
04-01 17:30:27	cs2 og1 algo1 2026 04 01	OG	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xac7415…