Messy-Branch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

146

Trades

1,014

lifetime

Volume

$4.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 05-10 00:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 273 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1773927000	37	$321	716	0	+716	open	—	03-19 13:41
btc updown 15m 1774548000	56	$270	390	170	+220	open	—	03-26 18:14
btc updown 15m 1774443600	64	$261	370	270	+100	open	—	03-25 13:14
btc updown 15m 1774533600	67	$253	380	290	+90	open	—	03-26 14:14
btc updown 15m 1774538100	70	$220	390	300	+90	open	—	03-26 15:29
btc updown 15m 1774456200	54	$204	280	260	+20	open	—	03-25 16:41
btc updown 15m 1774448100	39	$197	230	160	+70	open	—	03-25 14:28
btc updown 15m 1773928800	13	$184	373	0	+373	open	—	03-19 14:07
btc updown 15m 1774361700	31	$178	270	40	+230	open	—	03-24 14:21
btc updown 15m 1774705500	29	$166	240	10	+230	open	—	03-28 13:54
btc updown 15m 1774451700	43	$147	230	200	+30	open	—	03-25 15:29
btc updown 15m 1774556100	33	$129	180	150	+30	open	—	03-26 20:26
btc updown 15m 1774609200	29	$125	240	50	+190	open	—	03-27 11:13
btc updown 15m 1774621800	16	$115	160	0	+160	open	—	03-27 14:36
btc updown 15m 1773927900	5	$88	141	0	+141	open	—	03-19 13:46
btc updown 15m 1774537200	12	$79	120	0	+120	open	—	03-26 15:04
btc updown 15m 1774539000	16	$72	140	20	+120	open	—	03-26 15:35
btc updown 15m 1774534500	14	$63	80	60	+20	open	—	03-26 14:26
btc updown 15m 1773931500	13	$59	121	0	+121	open	—	03-19 14:51
btc updown 15m 1774428300	7	$51	70	0	+70	open	—	03-25 08:47
btc updown 15m 1773930600	10	$39	90	0	+90	open	—	03-19 14:39
btc updown 15m 1774444500	5	$32	50	0	+50	open	—	03-25 13:16
btc updown 15m 1774452600	7	$31	40	30	+10	open	—	03-25 15:35
btc updown 5m 1776522000	2	$30	282	0	+282	open	—	04-18 14:21
btc updown 15m 1774518300	5	$26	40	10	+30	open	—	03-26 09:52
btc updown 15m 1773936000	8	$23	51	0	+51	open	—	03-19 16:09
btc updown 15m 1774706400	4	$20	30	10	+20	open	—	03-28 14:06
btc updown 15m 1774429200	3	$17	30	0	+30	open	—	03-25 09:01
btc updown 5m 1776535200	1	$15	125	0	+125	open	—	04-18 18:01
btc updown 5m 1776540600	1	$15	125	0	+125	open	—	04-18 19:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 00:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x77abf0…
05-09 23:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xf09a06…
05-09 23:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x76810f…
05-09 23:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x14ec57…
05-09 22:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x5fb2fa…
05-09 22:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x3076d8…
05-09 21:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xfb1e39…
05-09 20:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x60ca64…
05-09 19:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x412cee…
05-09 19:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xc73cfb…
05-09 19:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xc9a9a4…
05-09 18:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x87ca6e…
05-09 18:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x6cb48f…
05-09 16:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x8fcc4a…
05-09 16:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x130fc7…
05-09 16:47:30	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	17¢	$4	0xdbfdde…
05-09 16:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x9c52cf…
05-09 16:07:43	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xdf6056…
05-09 14:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x211879…
05-09 13:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x7720cf…
05-09 12:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xe2f3fc…
05-09 12:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x7f879f…
05-09 12:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xe4e014…
05-09 11:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x75b26e…
05-09 10:29:46	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xa1c896…
05-09 10:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x078ff4…
05-09 08:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x2ac2dd…
05-09 07:42:05	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x59614a…
05-09 07:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xf35309…
05-09 07:37:49	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	38	11¢	$4	0x9536cf…
05-09 07:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xc8dcfa…
05-09 06:42:54	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	51	8¢	$4	0x2cc764…
05-09 06:14:30	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xa0dcbc…
05-09 06:04:49	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x569d6b…
05-09 05:29:40	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x1f6785…
05-09 04:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x9e093e…
05-09 04:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xba7d85…
05-09 04:24:13	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x02a1df…
05-09 04:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xb35d85…
05-09 03:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x599610…
05-09 03:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x9c0b4c…
05-09 03:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x07ed7f…
05-09 03:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x75a85c…
05-09 02:19:05	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x19eca2…
05-09 01:57:36	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x7dd971…
05-09 00:02:30	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x21b444…
05-08 23:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x933343…
05-08 23:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x7a3006…
05-08 23:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xb13fae…
05-08 22:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x86ef5b…
05-08 22:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x651ce5…
05-08 21:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x185507…
05-08 21:49:30	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xcbcee2…
05-08 21:32:49	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x3fee41…
05-08 19:59:40	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xe52594…
05-08 19:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x86eb52…
05-08 19:22:58	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x2dc39e…
05-08 19:04:43	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0x2c0bc1…
05-08 19:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x0528a4…
05-08 18:54:48	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x4b1f03…
05-08 18:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x81e050…
05-08 18:26:32	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1d35e7…
05-08 18:23:18	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xf4c3e9…
05-08 18:12:06	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xc52ede…
05-08 18:02:39	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x704cb4…
05-08 17:51:48	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xa30441…
05-08 17:28:03	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x4915d1…
05-08 17:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xf6c991…
05-08 16:48:20	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xb365eb…
05-08 16:08:56	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x90c7c4…
05-08 16:08:26	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xbf5754…
05-08 15:58:36	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x130fdb…
05-08 15:56:21	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xcdc231…
05-08 15:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x6ea95c…
05-08 15:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x6b039e…
05-08 15:23:29	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xfcf66a…
05-08 15:09:48	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x5beff1…
05-08 15:02:27	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x084092…
05-08 15:02:26	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xdc61f8…
05-08 14:51:56	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xafc39b…
05-08 14:47:09	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xdac760…
05-08 14:43:54	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x7e6767…
05-08 13:54:05	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x7e2a12…
05-08 13:42:24	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xc6b0db…
05-08 13:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xa7e32f…
05-08 13:04:10	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xa872d4…
05-08 12:58:51	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x87a80f…
05-05 14:57:08	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xd77678…
05-05 14:31:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xa8ae75…
05-05 14:22:44	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xa373f8…
05-05 14:21:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xe8c108…
05-05 14:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x968f52…
05-05 14:18:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xba1278…
05-05 14:16:36	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x18f13d…
05-05 14:13:38	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x93011d…
05-05 14:12:58	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x9b6504…
05-05 14:09:12	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xc253ff…
05-05 14:02:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xb6f231…
05-05 13:42:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x719249…
05-05 13:33:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xdc9dd0…