Precious-Opposition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$206

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

44.6%

Resolved

Trades

5,182

lifetime

Volume

$109.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 02:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

79% 44% +$417

Politics

15% — —

Crypto

3% 0% $-50

Sports

2% 0% $-160

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+201	$6	6¢	$12	+$6	06-05 17:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	71	$11.5K	14,500	6,828	+7,672	open	—	01-03 12:07
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	68	$5.3K	10,100	10,000	+100	open	—	02-28 06:27
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	47	$3.7K	2,200	1,606	+594	open	—	03-04 02:05
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	21	$3.2K	3,800	3,800	+0	open	—	01-03 08:39
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	48	$3.2K	2,571	1,316	+1,255	open	—	03-03 16:56
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	7	$3.0K	1,664	1,664	+0	open	—	02-10 16:35
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	16	$2.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	02-08 14:04
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	1	$2.0K	2,062	0	+2,062	open	—	02-23 15:46
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$2.0K	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	02-05 13:32
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	19	$1.8K	1,918	918	+1,000	open	—	03-24 13:56
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 40 64	4	$1.6K	1,843	0	+1,843	open	—	02-14 15:27
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 115 139	15	$1.5K	1,527	349	+1,178	open	—	02-09 15:46
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	21	$1.5K	1,420	420	+1,000	open	—	02-27 15:59
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	6	$1.5K	844	798	+46	open	—	04-20 06:28
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	25	$1.4K	4,805	4,805	+0	open	—	01-06 00:48
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	24	$1.3K	1,108	1,050	+58	open	—	04-10 14:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	7	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-06 21:20
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	14	$1.2K	1,061	657	+404	open	—	02-20 15:19
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	37	$1.2K	1,405	1,442	-37	open	—	02-08 12:24
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 28	21	$1.2K	3,177	1,730	+1,447	open	—	01-25 05:52
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	13	$1.2K	1,333	597	+736	open	—	01-13 16:46
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	35	$1.1K	2,000	1,800	+200	open	—	01-30 17:02
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	9	$1.0K	1,082	0	+1,082	open	—	02-16 15:39
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 9	2	$1.0K	532	532	+0	open	—	01-07 09:30
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	31	$997	1,700	900	+800	open	—	03-17 15:19
lol t1 fox1 2026 02 15 total games 3pt5	1	$994	1,046	0	+1,046	open	—	02-15 08:55
lol fox1 dk 2026 02 28	15	$990	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	02-28 07:07
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	27	$955	1,600	1,100	+500	open	—	04-07 15:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	31	$953	500	500	+0	open	—	04-30 00:20
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 115 139	13	$925	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-21 12:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 02:19:34	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 7	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7e3e80…
06-08 02:18:48	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 7	No	SELL	97	99¢	$96	0x7b2af5…
06-07 22:14:39	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 7	No	BUY	180	70¢	$126	0xe91b29…
06-07 22:14:39	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 7	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x024f12…
06-07 22:14:27	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 7	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x4e2a36…
06-07 19:16:03	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 7	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xb5f8e0…
06-07 19:15:49	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 7	No	BUY	99	30¢	$30	0x350aa6…
06-05 17:40:10	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x1d155e…
06-02 05:09:12	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x9656b4…
06-02 03:44:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xfb6d9d…
06-01 16:07:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x6846ff…
05-30 15:09:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x5604e1…
05-30 15:09:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	81	20¢	$16	0xe97bd3…
05-17 11:50:20	Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	FULL SENSE	BUY	88	20¢	$18	0xc369a5…
05-17 11:46:19	Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	FULL SENSE	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xd86438…
05-13 17:05:37	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x1f0931…
05-13 11:31:29	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9363de…
05-12 20:23:33	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	Vitality	BUY	49	40¢	$20	0xa0272b…
05-12 20:23:30	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	Vitality	BUY	51	40¢	$20	0x4273e1…
05-10 13:22:28	Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	Paper Rex	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0x1c5a41…
05-10 11:33:27	Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	Paper Rex	BUY	154	73¢	$112	0x0c4833…
05-10 11:32:29	Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	Paper Rex	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xa5d2bd…
05-10 11:32:29	Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	Paper Rex	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x9af9a3…
05-10 11:32:24	Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	Paper Rex	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xfb8d5b…
05-10 11:32:24	Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	Paper Rex	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xacd3ca…
05-08 10:58:33	Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	T1	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x558bd3…
05-08 00:46:20	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x105fb3…
05-07 09:02:28	Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	Rex Regum Qeon	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x173bed…
05-06 16:22:38	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x67a51a…
05-06 02:05:50	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	300	81¢	$243	0x535f39…
05-03 17:57:24	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x2692d3…
05-03 11:19:56	Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x6a93fc…
04-30 00:20:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	489	100¢	$487	0x75ea78…
04-29 23:08:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x34cc62…
04-29 22:53:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xce9775…
04-29 20:54:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4d38d3…
04-29 17:18:02	Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xfcda1f…
04-29 16:49:22	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0xb8f2f7…
04-29 16:34:32	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x21496e…
04-29 16:26:44	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x0bc35e…
04-29 16:26:04	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xefd2af…
04-29 16:25:34	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x45696f…
04-29 15:08:14	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner	FUT Esports	BUY	58	8¢	$5	0x244e13…
04-29 15:08:08	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner	FUT Esports	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x2dde3e…
04-27 13:56:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0xf41c21…
04-27 13:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x5b0f28…
04-27 08:34:34	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$7	0xa9393c…
04-27 07:45:28	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$6	0x9f2d20…
04-27 07:21:40	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x19032f…
04-27 06:58:40	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x0b6816…
04-27 06:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x524d67…
04-27 06:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xc3d828…
04-27 06:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x0e7c45…
04-27 05:30:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd7a99b…
04-27 05:01:46	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x83ff92…
04-27 04:33:18	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	360	2¢	$6	0x7142bf…
04-27 04:32:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x4e9fad…
04-27 04:30:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x9523c5…
04-27 03:42:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x06acee…
04-27 03:39:46	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x0130a5…
04-26 08:29:28	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x2848a0…
04-26 07:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xefa473…
04-26 07:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x926dfb…
04-25 19:43:38	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	275	1¢	$2	0x8e1c6e…
04-25 16:23:56	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x036198…
04-25 15:46:36	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x59f491…
04-25 15:20:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$7	0xc718a7…
04-25 15:20:18	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	307	1¢	$2	0x6edfac…
04-25 15:16:36	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	225	0¢	$1	0x8ab037…
04-25 15:05:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$7	0xabff6d…
04-25 14:53:32	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x390c93…
04-25 14:53:32	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x2eb92a…
04-25 14:13:16	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	0¢	$1	0x40fda8…
04-25 13:27:14	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xba2dbe…
04-25 13:25:38	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xcaa8be…
04-25 13:10:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4434b4…
04-25 13:04:34	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x83fe25…
04-25 13:04:34	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x636cbc…
04-25 12:49:56	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xe29385…
04-25 12:48:10	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$7	0xc51a31…
04-25 11:57:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x85b381…
04-24 21:49:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	20¢	$7	0xf54ecb…
04-24 21:29:38	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0x2075ac…
04-24 21:24:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x3104ea…
04-24 21:20:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x2541b6…
04-24 21:07:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x143c65…
04-24 21:06:56	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xbe7fb0…
04-24 21:05:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x988e04…
04-24 21:04:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x6e8bd9…
04-24 21:04:38	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x34f9a7…
04-24 21:03:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0xfae7b5…
04-24 20:57:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xf8e18b…
04-24 20:55:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x5abc4c…
04-24 20:46:56	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x650f47…
04-24 20:32:20	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	11¢	$4	0x8e91af…
04-24 16:39:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x8c854c…
04-24 16:28:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x55b5fc…
04-24 16:08:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x29c5a5…
04-24 16:07:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x7ab1be…
04-24 16:07:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x3f0b41…