Realized P&L
-$1.71K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.23K
Hit rate
47.7%
Resolved
810
Trades
1,122,112
lifetime
Volume
$10.3M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$39.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-12
last 07-19 12:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
65% 37% $-1,676
Politics
22% 45% +$244
Sports
12% 41% $-260
Tech
1% 50% $-4
Crypto
1% 25% $-14
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 23981 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +10,909 $5,705 99¢ $10.8K +$5,046 07-07 00:36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +4,358 $4,076 96¢ $4.2K +$105 07-06 13:45
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +3,165 $1,586 68¢ $2.1K +$550 06-21 19:00
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,946 $1,024 100¢ $1.9K +$919 06-20 19:52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +2,328 $901 82¢ $1.9K +$1,008 06-22 16:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +3,460 $2,842 55¢ $1.9K $-956 07-06 23:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,212 $1,811 74¢ $1.6K $-185 07-09 02:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +3,390 $572 46¢ $1.5K +$971 07-08 20:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +1,400 $1,041 77¢ $1.1K +$37 07-09 00:36
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3,143 $1,484 32¢ $1.0K $-463 07-06 06:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,495 $777 64¢ $965 +$188 06-25 19:17
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,087 $768 80¢ $875 +$107 07-09 12:08
Will Alberta join the US? No +862 $819 97¢ $839 +$20 06-10 11:37
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +1,219 $576 62¢ $756 +$179 07-09 05:48
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +922 $416 82¢ $751 +$335 06-26 05:29
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1,243 $637 55¢ $677 +$40 06-21 14:47
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +636 $576 95¢ $602 +$26 06-25 22:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +710 $480 83¢ $590 +$110 06-26 02:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +2,204 $416 26¢ $584 +$168 07-09 10:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,598 $739 36¢ $567 $-172 07-09 00:45
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +1,412 $787 38¢ $536 $-251 06-25 11:07
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +1,092 $521 46¢ $497 $-24 06-22 09:38
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +606 $301 81¢ $491 +$190 06-26 12:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +554 $368 86¢ $479 +$110 06-18 19:24
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +584 $429 76¢ $447 +$18 07-06 13:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2,418 $1,396 18¢ $435 $-961 06-22 08:41
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +498 $400 86¢ $426 +$26 07-09 14:08
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +414 $312 86¢ $354 +$42 06-13 15:52
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +399 $306 88¢ $353 +$47 06-16 00:26
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +374 $353 93¢ $348 $-6 07-06 02:06