Realized P&L
-$1.71K
Unrealized P&L
+$19.9K
Hit rate
47.7%
Resolved
810
Trades
1,095,096
lifetime
Volume
$10.1M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$109.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-12
last 06-26 23:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
65% 37% $-1,676
Politics
22% 45% +$244
Sports
12% 41% $-260
Tech
1% 50% $-4
Crypto
1% 25% $-14
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 23981 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +13,676 $8,910 100¢ $13.6K +$4,719 06-26 20:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +13,516 $10,766 99¢ $13.4K +$2,676 06-26 12:19
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +10,075 $8,960 100¢ $10.1K +$1,090 06-23 05:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +9,047 $5,273 100¢ $9.0K +$3,751 06-24 00:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +10,616 $5,448 66¢ $7.0K +$1,506 06-26 19:16
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +5,224 $4,967 100¢ $5.2K +$252 06-17 10:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +4,107 $3,834 95¢ $3.9K +$57 06-20 23:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +10,831 $5,233 34¢ $3.7K $-1,496 06-30 16:04
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +3,550 $3,187 100¢ $3.5K +$354 06-21 16:18
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +3,410 $2,515 99¢ $3.4K +$862 06-26 16:42
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +3,138 $3,016 100¢ $3.1K +$116 06-23 05:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +3,376 $2,788 82¢ $2.8K $-3 06-26 20:11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +2,748 $2,027 100¢ $2.7K +$718 06-16 16:15
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +2,724 $2,571 100¢ $2.7K +$149 06-18 13:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +2,596 $2,536 100¢ $2.6K +$58 06-12 17:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +2,298 $2,096 100¢ $2.3K +$194 06-21 01:37
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +2,104 $931 99¢ $2.1K +$1,157 06-26 17:42
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,946 $1,024 100¢ $1.9K +$919 06-20 19:52
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +1,929 $1,462 100¢ $1.9K +$458 06-22 18:58
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +3,165 $1,586 60¢ $1.9K +$297 06-21 19:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,038 $1,660 86¢ $1.8K +$103 06-21 16:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +2,328 $901 70¢ $1.6K +$729 06-22 16:22
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +1,447 $1,024 98¢ $1.4K +$398 06-25 19:51
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +1,249 $854 100¢ $1.2K +$391 06-26 06:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +1,368 $1,015 90¢ $1.2K +$223 06-26 04:27
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3,022 $1,442 40¢ $1.2K $-218 06-19 15:42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +1,090 $941 100¢ $1.1K +$148 06-19 08:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,495 $777 57¢ $860 +$83 06-25 19:17
Will Alberta join the US? No +862 $819 98¢ $845 +$26 06-10 11:37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +807 $637 100¢ $805 +$169 06-15 04:18