Realized P&L
+$59.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.6K
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved
97,758
Trades
1,815,983
lifetime
Volume
$14.1M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$59.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-12
last 10-31 21:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 260 days
Categories
Other
69% 34% +$40,261
Politics
19% 45% +$25,514
Sports
11% 38% -$7,698
Tech
1% 42% +$1,478
Crypto
1% 35% -$1,026
Pop-Culture
0% 45% +$772
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 14154 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,966 $5,460 82¢ $5.7K +$287 08-30 23:55
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +5,488 $2,739 92¢ $5.0K +$2,283 06-21 19:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +4,987 $4,662 98¢ $4.9K +$217 07-06 13:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +4,538 $877 88¢ $4.0K +$3,140 09-09 15:28
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +2,541 $1,493 100¢ $2.5K +$1,041 08-28 10:12
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +2,500 $2,284 98¢ $2.5K +$176 06-15 20:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +2,696 $1,058 91¢ $2.4K +$1,391 06-22 16:22
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +2,527 $2,043 96¢ $2.4K +$378 08-25 07:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,565 $2,331 57¢ $2.0K -$281 10-30 11:14
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +1,980 $1,771 100¢ $2.0K +$207 06-17 22:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +2,150 $1,145 86¢ $1.8K +$693 10-23 15:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +2,020 $1,135 90¢ $1.8K +$693 06-18 19:24
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,823 $1,273 91¢ $1.7K +$386 07-09 12:08
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,552 $1,477 100¢ $1.5K +$68 06-25 22:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3,573 $1,191 42¢ $1.5K +$328 10-30 12:24
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,497 $1,316 100¢ $1.5K +$179 06-07 22:56
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +1,393 $587 97¢ $1.4K +$763 08-19 20:19
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,335 $1,267 100¢ $1.3K +$62 06-25 14:51
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +1,631 $748 82¢ $1.3K +$581 10-30 06:12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,538 $1,167 85¢ $1.3K +$147 08-28 00:36
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,282 $970 97¢ $1.2K +$275 08-21 14:10
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,295 $1,232 96¢ $1.2K +$10 09-03 11:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +6,976 $1,530 18¢ $1.2K -$309 09-02 09:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,219 $1,045 94¢ $1.2K +$106 09-05 23:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,171 $888 97¢ $1.1K +$244 06-20 14:02
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,794 $1,202 58¢ $1.0K -$159 06-19 16:10
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1,029 $833 98¢ $1.0K +$179 06-13 19:14
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +992 $804 96¢ $947 +$143 10-27 20:08
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +945 $584 100¢ $941 +$358 10-23 20:01
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +938 $876 98¢ $915 +$40 06-17 11:30