Realized P&L
-$1.71K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.87K
Hit rate
47.7%
Resolved
810
Trades
880,888
lifetime
Volume
$8.17M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$63.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-12
last 06-09 18:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
65% 37% $-1,676
Politics
23% 45% +$244
Sports
11% 41% $-260
Crypto
1% 25% $-14
Tech
1% 50% $-4
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 24307 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +8,579 $4,146 100¢ $8.6K +$4,424 06-07 22:39
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +8,744 $4,943 74¢ $6.5K +$1,527 06-09 23:04
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +5,538 $3,628 80¢ $4.5K +$831 06-08 20:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +5,147 $3,686 82¢ $4.2K +$508 06-09 22:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +4,171 $3,001 90¢ $3.8K +$774 06-09 18:36
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +3,082 $2,978 97¢ $3.0K $-2 06-09 20:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +3,415 $1,884 70¢ $2.4K +$523 06-08 14:06
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +9,104 $3,907 26¢ $2.4K $-1,540 06-08 22:56
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +2,332 $2,196 96¢ $2.2K +$34 06-09 21:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +3,428 $1,287 63¢ $2.2K +$873 06-09 23:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +2,259 $2,110 93¢ $2.1K $-12 06-09 18:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +1,947 $1,901 98¢ $1.9K +$11 06-09 21:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +2,063 $1,802 89¢ $1.8K +$39 06-09 00:48
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +2,293 $1,631 76¢ $1.7K +$100 06-09 22:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +4,170 $2,409 37¢ $1.5K $-866 06-08 23:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,455 $1,201 82¢ $1.2K $-15 06-08 13:13
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,733 $889 62¢ $1.1K +$177 06-09 22:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +5,729 $1,502 18¢ $1.1K $-442 06-08 21:31
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +5,414 $1,810 20¢ $1.1K $-754 06-08 22:47
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +1,036 $837 99¢ $1.0K +$191 06-09 20:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +1,619 $709 63¢ $1.0K +$311 06-09 23:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +3,432 $1,495 30¢ $1.0K $-483 06-08 17:39
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +1,105 $742 89¢ $983 +$241 06-07 17:16
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes +1,045 $804 94¢ $977 +$174 05-31 12:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +1,359 $857 70¢ $958 +$102 06-09 22:42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +1,229 $781 76¢ $940 +$159 06-09 21:38
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +905 $755 99¢ $896 +$141 06-08 20:10
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +2,217 $1,022 38¢ $854 $-169 06-08 00:51
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +1,219 $852 66¢ $811 $-41 06-08 20:00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +1,050 $757 77¢ $808 +$51 06-09 03:55