Ajar-Circumstance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$261

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 07-24 14:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

50% 33% +$0

Tech

49% — —

Politics

1% 0% $-1

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	7	$2.2K	2,820	2,819	+1	open	—	03-25 22:47
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	3	$1.9K	1,007	1,007	+0	open	—	03-25 17:53
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	4	$1.9K	1,053	1,051	+2	open	—	03-26 01:47
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$1.9K	1,017	1,017	+0	open	—	03-25 10:53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$127	658	658	+0	No	$-1	03-25 11:47
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	4	$75	1,157	1,157	+0	Yes	$-1	03-26 01:30
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$74	1,541	1,541	+0	No	+$0	03-25 11:08
Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5)	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	05-29 11:29
bra2 csc ath 2026 07 13 total 0pt5	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	07-13 10:29
Spread: Spurs (-22.5)	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	06-03 06:21
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	05-20 11:04
Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)	1	$11	12	0	+12	RC Celta de Vigo	+$1	05-12 13:26
den vib ode 2026 07 24 total 5pt5	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	07-24 14:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 14:27:31	den vib ode 2026 07 24 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xe4ff0c…
07-13 10:29:04	bra2 csc ath 2026 07 13 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x83a05d…
06-03 06:21:38	Spread: Spurs (-22.5)	Knicks	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x9f879b…
05-29 11:29:54	Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5)	FK Bodø/Glimt	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x804edd…
05-20 11:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x43679c…
05-12 13:26:23	Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)	RC Celta de Vigo	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x74ac0f…
03-26 01:47:13	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	371	92¢	$343	0xea0c2a…
03-26 01:47:13	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	680	92¢	$629	0x3dba56…
03-26 01:39:51	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	425	92¢	$393	0xe4746b…
03-26 01:39:49	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	628	92¢	$580	0x0cb1d5…
03-26 01:30:25	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	480	3¢	$14	0xaa8f8b…
03-26 01:24:29	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	480	3¢	$14	0xa274c5…
03-25 22:47:17	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	1,063	97¢	$1,027	0xd36126…
03-25 22:47:17	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$1	0x472a49…
03-25 22:39:15	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1,063	97¢	$1,027	0xffc2b8…
03-25 17:53:25	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	1,007	97¢	$973	0x247d34…
03-25 17:45:19	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	782	97¢	$755	0x7896cf…
03-25 17:45:19	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	225	97¢	$217	0x25ea15…
03-25 16:52:05	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x6670e9…
03-25 16:51:13	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,732	4¢	$73	0x2dfda5…
03-25 16:45:09	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,027	4¢	$43	0xb38a4a…
03-25 16:45:09	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	730	4¢	$31	0x87fbca…
03-25 11:47:13	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	658	10¢	$63	0xa3e063…
03-25 11:41:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	658	10¢	$64	0xb362ff…
03-25 11:08:01	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,541	2¢	$37	0x06bfd4…
03-25 11:00:13	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	96	2¢	$2	0xf63cd1…
03-25 11:00:13	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	371	2¢	$9	0x59cbc3…
03-25 11:00:13	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,074	2¢	$26	0x390a02…
03-25 10:53:07	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	1,017	94¢	$960	0x575144…
03-25 10:44:17	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1,017	94¢	$957	0x396f63…
03-25 07:58:55	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	677	3¢	$23	0xab9904…
03-25 07:49:17	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	677	4¢	$24	0x6d76d9…