Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$68

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-25

last 07-16 03:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 50% $-9

Politics

31% — —

Crypto

13% — —

Tech

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+143	$70	1¢	$2	$-68	06-22 02:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	2	$168	115	115	+0	open	—	06-16 16:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$145	203	203	+0	open	—	04-18 19:18
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	4	$138	206	206	+0	open	—	03-13 14:09
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	1	$105	0	110	-110	open	—	06-15 01:57
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	2	$99	90	90	+0	open	—	06-18 18:23
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	4	$86	51	51	+0	open	—	04-28 09:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	2	$82	58	57	+1	open	—	04-22 14:26
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$80	47	47	+0	open	—	04-27 06:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$70	143	0	+143	open	—	06-22 02:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$70	85	85	+0	open	—	02-28 14:21
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$64	38	38	+0	open	—	06-21 12:57
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	2	$64	47	47	+0	open	—	04-21 15:31
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$54	32	32	+0	open	—	04-07 05:15
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$47	71	71	+0	open	—	03-02 08:39
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	4	$43	33	33	+0	open	—	03-01 14:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	2	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	04-15 02:23
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	2	$38	105	105	+0	open	—	03-27 06:51
Iran leadership change by May 31?	3	$34	115	48	+67	open	—	04-28 12:50
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$31	52	52	+0	open	—	04-07 13:47
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	1	$29	242	0	+242	open	—	07-16 03:53
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	2	$28	36	36	+0	open	—	04-07 16:40
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	2	$27	22	22	+0	open	—	06-15 01:58
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	03-09 16:32
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	2	$22	23	23	+0	open	—	02-28 06:27
cs2 furia mouz 2026 06 12	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	06-12 09:50
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-01 15:13
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$21	21	21	+0	open	—	03-02 09:41
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$20	28	28	+0	open	—	02-28 15:08
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	1	$20	46	0	+46	open	—	06-19 13:15
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	2	$20	17	17	+0	open	—	03-04 05:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 03:53:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	242	12¢	$29	0x6184d2…
06-24 05:28:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	21	33¢	$7	0xdf1643…
06-22 02:49:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xef6e43…
06-21 12:57:59	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	91¢	$34	0x7e624e…
06-21 05:56:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x5f259c…
06-21 04:09:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0xabcd2f…
06-19 16:23:10	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x92b64b…
06-19 16:21:16	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xb87fdb…
06-19 13:15:56	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x171560…
06-18 18:23:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	90	66¢	$59	0xbfd0d4…
06-17 15:59:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x514773…
06-17 15:56:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	90	44¢	$40	0xaf215e…
06-16 16:04:49	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	Yes	SELL	115	94¢	$108	0xa43ad1…
06-15 03:10:48	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	Yes	BUY	115	52¢	$60	0x35a62b…
06-15 01:58:16	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	SELL	22	66¢	$15	0x1bf6c9…
06-15 01:57:25	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	110	95¢	$105	0x47c665…
06-12 09:58:03	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xccc9c8…
06-12 09:50:54	cs2 furia mouz 2026 06 12	FURIA	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x706ad6…
06-12 09:02:51	cs2 furia mouz 2026 06 12	FURIA	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xe8f349…
06-12 08:56:39	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0xfff584…
05-03 03:37:00	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$0	0x43c599…
05-01 03:16:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x1f1d5f…
04-29 15:33:56	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x29aae3…
04-29 05:36:56	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xf287f3…
04-28 12:50:22	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x3a42ba…
04-28 09:41:04	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4250d8…
04-28 09:40:38	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0x4a223e…
04-28 09:38:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x88f61f…
04-28 05:00:24	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	51	74¢	$38	0x4700e0…
04-27 06:40:58	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	47	82¢	$38	0xc483e3…
04-25 16:46:12	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0xaa1d02…
04-25 10:21:10	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	15¢	$8	0xba267b…
04-22 14:27:06	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	47	90¢	$42	0x99c16c…
04-22 14:26:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	SELL	57	75¢	$42	0xacae5b…
04-22 06:35:50	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	13¢	$7	0x66136c…
04-21 15:56:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x12ff37…
04-21 15:31:54	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	SELL	47	94¢	$44	0x6e58f8…
04-20 13:44:10	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	19	13¢	$2	0xf8a027…
04-18 19:35:18	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x7938e9…
04-18 19:28:50	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x494a13…
04-18 19:18:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	102	24¢	$24	0xe1c804…
04-17 14:28:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	102	55¢	$56	0x12d160…
04-15 02:23:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x0ef72e…
04-08 04:11:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x77fd8a…
04-07 23:27:41	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	48	19¢	$9	0x129c8b…
04-07 23:27:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0x757963…
04-07 23:27:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$0	0x2c72fd…
04-07 17:46:43	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	27	13¢	$3	0x8b9d59…
04-07 16:40:55	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	SELL	36	50¢	$18	0xb4864a…
04-07 13:54:41	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xecf1bc…
04-07 13:47:11	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	31¢	$16	0x1e862d…
04-07 11:38:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	32	23¢	$7	0xb5cd90…
04-07 10:31:01	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x434282…
04-07 07:01:31	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x082b45…
04-07 05:15:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x4587b3…
03-30 16:55:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x3b85d4…
03-30 06:33:18	will crude oil cl settle at 80 85 in march	Yes	SELL	56	1¢	$0	0x0090a0…
03-30 06:33:10	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0x222156…
03-30 06:33:02	will crude oil cl settle at 85 90 in march	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x9ae268…
03-27 06:51:19	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	Yes	SELL	105	17¢	$18	0x0ae882…
03-25 15:19:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0x398f54…
03-14 10:51:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	203	32¢	$65	0x09471f…
03-13 14:09:11	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	180	39¢	$70	0x1af8cb…
03-10 04:33:31	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	180	25¢	$45	0x19d027…
03-09 16:32:37	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	16	82¢	$13	0x9ea94b…
03-09 09:11:31	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x6b112b…
03-09 07:52:33	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	14	54¢	$8	0x67ad44…
03-09 02:44:19	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xb9c15a…
03-09 02:43:41	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xac5ab6…
03-08 03:26:57	will crude oil cl settle at 85 90 in march	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x450c27…
03-08 03:25:49	will crude oil cl settle at 80 85 in march	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x63e1c4…
03-04 16:38:31	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	26	48¢	$13	0xdfca6d…
03-04 12:13:23	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xb9b983…
03-04 05:04:31	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	SELL	17	56¢	$10	0x535c7d…
03-02 09:41:21	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	21	50¢	$11	0xec2457…
03-02 08:39:37	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0xcb6b52…
03-02 08:39:05	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x851a20…
03-02 05:50:09	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x7c787a…
03-02 05:45:07	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x3d7ec6…
03-02 04:47:43	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xf77291…
03-01 15:13:11	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	No	SELL	11	94¢	$11	0x4953fe…
03-01 15:13:01	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	41	47¢	$19	0x8771bd…
03-01 14:59:49	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0x11b57f…
03-01 14:36:25	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	No	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0x64bad1…
03-01 14:27:35	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xe258ad…
03-01 07:07:41	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	No	SELL	15	77¢	$12	0x71af64…
03-01 04:43:53	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x5bd7af…
03-01 04:42:59	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x85a8b3…
02-28 15:08:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	28	37¢	$10	0xa679cb…
02-28 14:42:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x90f74a…
02-28 14:21:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	49	71¢	$34	0xfe2936…
02-28 10:15:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	37	56¢	$20	0x7d4953…
02-28 06:27:09	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	76¢	$17	0x7794d3…
02-26 14:06:46	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x6be9d1…
02-25 15:20:06	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x046ca9…
02-25 14:37:02	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x0ca5a5…
02-25 14:36:14	will company b be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1f2ec2…