Complex-Sonata — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

Trades

184

lifetime

Volume

$504

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-08 06:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776858300	17	$66	35	35	+0	open	—	04-22 11:59
btc updown 15m 1776855600	3	$9	9	4	+5	open	—	04-22 11:16
btc updown 15m 1776867300	3	$8	14	0	+14	open	—	04-22 14:29
btc updown 15m 1776861000	2	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-22 12:43
btc updown 15m 1776870000	2	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-22 15:14
btc updown 15m 1777024800	2	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	04-24 10:14
btc updown 15m 1776817800	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-22 00:46
btc updown 15m 1776947400	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-23 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-28 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-28 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-28 03:59
btc updown 15m 1776952800	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	04-23 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-01 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-01 03:58
btc updown 15m 1776951900	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-23 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-01 03:43
btc updown 15m 1776951000	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-23 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	05-02 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-01 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-01 02:28
btc updown 15m 1776948300	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-23 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-02 00:43
btc updown 15m 1776946500	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	04-23 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-01 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-02 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-04 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-01 07:13
btc updown 15m 1776945600	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-23 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-01 05:28
btc updown 15m 1776943800	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-23 11:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 06:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xd6e26b…
05-08 03:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x747878…
05-08 02:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x5539c2…
05-08 01:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x7e7aea…
05-07 23:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0xb43db6…
05-07 23:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xb9914f…
05-07 22:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0xf72679…
05-07 20:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x9e718e…
05-07 10:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x1ec188…
05-07 07:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x0ac560…
05-07 05:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x682fd9…
05-07 01:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x0b2e4c…
05-06 18:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0xf2b728…
05-06 10:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x39f21d…
05-06 09:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x9f6c89…
05-06 08:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xebe47d…
05-06 07:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xa5ad3e…
05-06 05:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x8537d6…
05-06 04:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xd65e7f…
05-05 22:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x640c2d…
05-05 18:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0xa22c76…
05-05 17:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xa30a3a…
05-05 06:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x6b9ecf…
05-05 05:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x063c91…
05-05 02:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xf56090…
05-04 18:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xd796f3…
05-04 13:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x5ae5fd…
05-04 09:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x9dba9a…
05-04 09:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x424429…
05-04 07:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x08cb62…
05-04 05:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x111c7b…
05-03 23:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x46aa3e…
05-03 19:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xa128c8…
05-03 14:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x9e6dbb…
05-03 14:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xb39389…
05-03 11:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x524a35…
05-03 09:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x809226…
05-03 08:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xecd8e5…
05-03 07:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xcf7d64…
05-03 05:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x82255a…
05-03 05:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x176a25…
05-03 05:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x35be57…
05-03 04:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xd3d6af…
05-03 01:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xf6a14a…
05-03 00:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xdacbc4…
05-02 22:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x7a4bc0…
05-02 21:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x4a912d…
05-02 20:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xfeeafd…
05-02 20:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x7682a1…
05-02 12:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xc1465d…
05-02 11:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xbfd7e3…
05-02 10:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x7b8db3…
05-02 10:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xf80830…
05-02 09:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xc24de5…
05-02 09:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xee0cf8…
05-02 09:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x478ca4…
05-02 07:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x2c3e5c…
05-02 07:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xf48c00…
05-02 07:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xdd1847…
05-02 06:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x0c7dd8…
05-02 06:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x004aa7…
05-02 05:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x76f86e…
05-02 04:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x0c033d…
05-02 03:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x4cca98…
05-02 01:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xaae0c7…
05-02 00:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x055c02…
05-02 00:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xc19979…
05-02 00:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x3f10d3…
05-01 23:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x9c7e24…
05-01 21:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xee2b2b…
05-01 18:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x1cb3fd…
05-01 18:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xdd3b3a…
05-01 15:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xa55afd…
05-01 11:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x7918fc…
05-01 09:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9d5098…
05-01 07:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x4e64d6…
05-01 05:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x346162…
05-01 04:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xc4a221…
05-01 04:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x2e80c4…
05-01 03:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xd8a13b…
05-01 03:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x3f96bd…
05-01 02:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xcc9921…
05-01 02:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0x860634…
05-01 01:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x6fdc9b…
04-28 10:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x4f3389…
04-28 04:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x076804…
04-28 03:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x09867f…
04-28 01:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xa5c1b1…
04-27 22:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xe0ed1d…
04-27 21:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x917dea…
04-27 18:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xa2fd6f…
04-27 10:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x74a4d4…
04-27 08:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xf77896…
04-27 07:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x014d99…
04-27 07:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xb259ea…
04-24 10:14:16	btc updown 15m 1777024800	Up	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x160b72…
04-24 10:14:00	btc updown 15m 1777024800	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0xe6210c…
04-24 09:29:10	btc updown 15m 1777022100	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$3	0x2e87f8…
04-24 08:14:06	btc updown 15m 1777017600	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xa74d5b…
04-24 07:59:04	btc updown 15m 1777016700	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xed8a50…