Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$770

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 04-24 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

47% — —

Other

35% — —

Crypto

14% 50% +$0

Sports

5% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	6	$105	56	56	+0	open	—	03-11 03:55
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	4	$46	39	39	+0	open	—	01-14 07:16
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	3	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	03-24 07:23
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	2	$40	28	28	+0	open	—	04-08 00:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	03-02 04:41
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	2	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	03-21 02:48
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	3	$29	24	24	+0	open	—	01-10 03:49
Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	01-25 01:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	03-10 01:17
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$25	14	14	+0	No	+$0	03-10 01:12
deepseek v4 released by april 24	2	$22	378	0	+378	open	—	04-24 04:59
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-08 00:57
will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-29 08:52
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 07:24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$19	25	25	+0	open	—	01-12 09:04
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$19	0	28	-28	open	—	01-14 01:50
will ethereum dip to 2800 in january 2026 835	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	01-12 04:27
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$18	29	29	+0	No	$-1	01-13 09:45
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$18	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	03-19 14:06
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	03-02 09:43
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$17	47	47	+0	open	—	01-15 05:05
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	01-14 01:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	04-11 11:06
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	01-14 07:18
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	2	$14	25	25	+0	open	—	01-23 03:37
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	03-30 06:55
will ethereum dip to 1000 in february 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	02-23 15:31
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	03-25 08:47
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$11	17	0	+17	open	—	03-08 08:54
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	1	$11	70	0	+70	open	—	03-11 14:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-24 04:59:50	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x584d9e…
04-24 03:44:48	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	45	28¢	$13	0x159245…
04-11 11:06:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x39e600…
04-08 00:57:31	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x6c29bf…
04-08 00:55:17	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	SELL	28	88¢	$25	0xc9018e…
04-06 14:59:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x334507…
03-31 09:11:45	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	28	55¢	$15	0x35bba6…
03-30 11:13:20	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x725f41…
03-30 06:55:32	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x8b3ea9…
03-29 08:52:04	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xaa43ed…
03-25 08:55:53	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0582b3…
03-25 08:47:51	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xca73e3…
03-24 07:24:59	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x4209a0…
03-24 07:23:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0xd3e029…
03-22 16:20:21	lol g2 blg 2026 03 22	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0xe8f3d2…
03-21 02:48:43	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0xeb4129…
03-19 14:06:13	Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x344602…
03-18 15:34:23	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x0e2a83…
03-18 15:17:39	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0xa1e8bb…
03-18 15:14:37	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x491cae…
03-18 14:54:31	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x865f34…
03-18 06:42:11	Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb7218f…
03-11 14:35:05	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	BUY	70	16¢	$11	0xb4ce7d…
03-11 03:55:25	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x6e464f…
03-10 02:58:53	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x36297b…
03-10 01:17:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x854c06…
03-10 01:12:23	Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	89¢	$12	0x33d4a5…
03-08 08:54:57	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0x3d8664…
03-08 08:13:55	Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x585cfa…
03-08 07:38:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xe7b32b…
03-03 18:07:37	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x119ea0…
03-03 18:02:41	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x9bb819…
03-03 17:50:59	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0xfec426…
03-02 09:43:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc2723a…
03-02 04:41:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x5f0a4a…
03-01 12:36:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x7d7f10…
03-01 01:01:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x81ba5d…
02-23 15:31:34	will ethereum dip to 1000 in february 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x236dde…
01-25 01:57:46	Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc6a4b2…
01-24 09:46:00	Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xc28b3e…
01-23 03:37:50	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	Yes	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0x6af7e3…
01-21 09:47:42	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x6f7cab…
01-15 05:11:16	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	62¢	$8	0x7f339d…
01-15 05:05:18	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	47	18¢	$9	0xf331ad…
01-14 11:43:02	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	47	17¢	$8	0x0d54d2…
01-14 07:18:32	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0x28a5e7…
01-14 07:16:10	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0x9ac9e0…
01-14 01:50:40	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	SELL	28	66¢	$19	0xdf0bda…
01-14 01:50:00	tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x5f8f87…
01-13 11:18:45	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x56135c…
01-13 10:58:41	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x173c42…
01-13 09:45:49	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	29	30¢	$9	0xfe199b…
01-13 09:42:53	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	62¢	$16	0x22d58a…
01-13 09:37:53	tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x06149f…
01-12 09:04:32	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	25	41¢	$10	0x4bccdc…
01-12 07:12:38	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0x4fec17…
01-12 06:58:06	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x482836…
01-12 04:27:22	will ethereum dip to 2800 in january 2026 835	No	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0xf72c97…
01-11 11:20:38	will ethereum dip to 2800 in january 2026 835	No	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0xcc2993…
01-11 11:15:46	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	25	34¢	$8	0xc13322…
01-10 03:49:36	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	60¢	$14	0x4bb918…
01-09 12:23:48	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x8e050c…
01-09 12:12:22	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x90e004…
01-09 03:29:52	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	17	85¢	$14	0x1166e5…
01-05 17:52:13	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0x9af396…
01-04 02:30:47	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xf9056a…