Truthful-Bulk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$636

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-14 12:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 50% +$1

Politics

12% 100% +$4

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1781179800	1	$26	30	0	+30	open	—	06-11 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	4	$19	21	7	+14	open	—	04-30 13:28
btc updown 5m 1777019100	1	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	04-24 08:26
btc updown 5m 1781179500	3	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	06-11 12:05
btc updown 5m 1777017900	1	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 08:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27?	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-27 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-28 09:30
btc updown 5m 1777023900	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	04-28 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	04-28 07:45
btc updown 5m 1777045200	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 15:40
btc updown 5m 1776774600	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-21 12:31
btc updown 5m 1777018200	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-24 08:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	04-26 07:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	04-23 11:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$10	63	0	+63	open	—	04-22 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-28 09:11
btc updown 5m 1776768600	2	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-21 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-28 07:21
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	04-24 10:15
btc updown 5m 1777018500	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-24 08:18
btc updown 5m 1781248200	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	06-12 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	04-28 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	04-29 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$7	16	0	+16	open	—	04-29 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	04-28 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	04-29 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	05-26 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	04-29 13:46
btc updown 5m 1781429100	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	06-14 09:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 12:01:36	btc updown 5m 1781438400	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xe4f4a1…
06-14 09:25:31	btc updown 5m 1781429100	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xf114ac…
06-12 07:10:58	btc updown 5m 1781248200	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x23525f…
06-12 07:07:48	btc updown 5m 1781247900	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xc6b3fb…
06-11 12:17:13	btc updown 5m 1781180100	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd6e074…
06-11 12:11:09	btc updown 5m 1781179800	Up	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xf93b8a…
06-11 12:05:36	btc updown 5m 1781179500	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xdc68ff…
06-11 12:05:34	btc updown 5m 1781179500	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xa310d1…
06-11 12:05:34	btc updown 5m 1781179500	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x052c8e…
06-11 07:38:19	btc updown 5m 1781163300	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x27ad65…
06-10 11:55:57	btc updown 5m 1781092500	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xe8843e…
06-10 06:35:54	btc updown 5m 1781073300	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe22c5d…
06-08 15:46:54	btc updown 5m 1780933500	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9ceee9…
05-26 12:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xad373e…
05-11 07:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3f968f…
05-08 12:20:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa3dd24…
05-06 07:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x46c490…
05-06 07:08:58	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x3acb86…
05-06 07:04:06	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe2576e…
05-06 07:01:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x4c44a4…
05-01 14:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	24¢	$5	0xd7abf9…
05-01 08:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x085624…
05-01 07:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xd44f78…
04-30 13:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb79daa…
04-30 13:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x0a6692…
04-30 13:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x9ee808…
04-30 13:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x3ea54f…
04-29 14:21:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x5f822e…
04-29 13:56:50	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xed36fa…
04-29 13:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x1173f2…
04-29 13:42:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x22dcb9…
04-29 07:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0da3c5…
04-29 07:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xb413e4…
04-29 07:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x6086d9…
04-29 07:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x9438d5…
04-29 07:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x84a424…
04-29 06:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x80901c…
04-28 15:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xdc4514…
04-28 15:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb40319…
04-28 15:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc4cb98…
04-28 14:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xfeb9ad…
04-28 14:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x371510…
04-28 14:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x2c5ea9…
04-28 13:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x98257d…
04-28 13:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x55f8d1…
04-28 13:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa03b25…
04-28 13:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xf47864…
04-28 12:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9fba93…
04-28 12:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x73c592…
04-28 09:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x0b7ce1…
04-28 09:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x98da19…
04-28 09:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x7bd022…
04-28 09:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xed8826…
04-28 07:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xf1d8e5…
04-28 07:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8bb9f6…
04-28 07:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	37¢	$5	0xa23c5c…
04-28 07:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xcd2a99…
04-28 07:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x5fcb79…
04-27 12:35:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x3867f5…
04-27 12:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xdb0c6e…
04-27 12:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x098cc9…
04-27 12:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4f33c8…
04-27 12:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x7e0868…
04-26 07:12:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x1f5a5a…
04-26 06:53:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf15940…
04-24 16:07:02	btc updown 15m 1777046400	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc05bb6…
04-24 16:01:46	btc updown 5m 1777046400	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x918241…
04-24 15:40:40	btc updown 5m 1777045200	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xcf693b…
04-24 13:41:52	btc updown 5m 1777038000	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x15a535…
04-24 13:37:28	btc updown 5m 1777037700	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1226a0…
04-24 10:31:44	btc updown 5m 1777026600	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x9fb909…
04-24 10:27:08	btc updown 5m 1777026300	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x8500da…
04-24 10:15:30	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x3dc039…
04-24 10:12:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7adcc9…
04-24 10:11:06	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x66742f…
04-24 10:09:00	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe89308…
04-24 10:06:58	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1a5178…
04-24 09:41:16	btc updown 5m 1777023900	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfcd4ab…
04-24 08:26:16	btc updown 5m 1777019100	Down	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x75da94…
04-24 08:21:22	btc updown 5m 1777018800	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x76a119…
04-24 08:18:06	btc updown 5m 1777018500	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd543ec…
04-24 08:12:00	btc updown 5m 1777018200	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xad101f…
04-24 08:06:44	btc updown 5m 1777017900	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xfd2ba1…
04-24 07:51:52	btc updown 5m 1777017000	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd1c383…
04-24 07:01:26	btc updown 5m 1777014000	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6ef7e8…
04-23 12:02:02	btc updown 5m 1776945600	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf9b0c9…
04-23 12:00:52	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xc5634a…
04-23 11:55:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x45b40e…
04-22 03:54:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xbc9747…
04-22 03:52:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x929510…
04-22 03:45:50	btc updown 5m 1776829500	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xbf4fe3…
04-22 03:43:30	btc updown 5m 1776830700	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x79afa3…
04-22 03:35:28	btc updown 5m 1776828900	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x38248b…
04-21 12:37:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x19fe98…
04-21 12:36:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0afc14…
04-21 12:31:20	btc updown 5m 1776774600	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x4eb297…
04-21 12:26:32	btc updown 5m 1776774300	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x297547…
04-21 12:22:30	btc updown 5m 1776774000	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x6c1056…
04-21 12:20:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x234bb7…
04-21 12:09:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x208b7a…