Voluminous-Manicure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$6.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 04-17 20:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% 0% $-1

Sports

26% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Tech

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	6	$524	263	263	+0	No	$-0	04-17 11:55
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	6	$478	240	240	+0	No	$-0	04-07 16:26
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$304	152	152	+0	open	—	04-16 21:36
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$288	145	144	+0	open	—	04-06 22:58
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	02-24 17:59
will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$198	99	99	+0	open	—	03-22 19:27
will brian harman win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$198	99	99	+0	open	—	04-08 02:23
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$196	98	98	+0	open	—	03-18 01:36
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$194	97	97	+0	No	$-0	04-06 05:54
will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	2	$182	91	91	+0	open	—	03-12 22:13
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$176	88	88	+0	open	—	04-15 17:21
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$172	86	86	+0	open	—	04-03 09:22
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$162	81	81	+0	No	$-0	04-02 19:25
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$154	77	77	+0	open	—	04-06 03:56
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	04-01 01:15
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	04-04 08:54
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	03-26 07:28
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$148	74	74	+0	open	—	02-24 03:26
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$146	73	73	+0	open	—	03-20 00:30
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	03-14 21:52
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$142	71	71	+0	open	—	03-25 05:21
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$140	70	70	+0	No	$-0	03-24 10:06
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	2	$138	69	69	+0	open	—	03-29 15:11
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	04-07 20:47
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$134	67	67	+0	open	—	02-12 21:30
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$134	67	67	+0	open	—	04-15 02:04
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$126	63	63	+0	open	—	04-17 20:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$122	61	61	+0	open	—	04-15 08:01
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$122	61	61	+0	open	—	02-15 20:43
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$108	54	54	+0	open	—	03-02 08:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-17 20:56:00	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xbc614e…
04-17 17:14:52	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xec0f8e…
04-17 11:55:30	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x1dd49b…
04-17 07:46:16	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xfd983b…
04-16 21:36:56	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xca806b…
04-16 17:56:26	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xf59352…
04-15 17:21:40	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x79247b…
04-15 13:26:32	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xf403e7…
04-15 08:01:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x95fcd4…
04-15 05:12:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x3c3465…
04-15 02:04:32	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	67	99¢	$67	0xf5e9db…
04-14 20:13:34	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xbf240f…
04-12 03:46:25	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x4f6bd1…
04-11 23:00:55	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x8fb95a…
04-08 02:23:55	will brian harman win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0xeac332…
04-07 21:36:45	will brian harman win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x36ed3d…
04-07 20:47:25	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xbf7d1a…
04-07 18:48:53	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x1892b7…
04-07 16:26:17	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x14c61d…
04-07 04:34:41	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x002420…
04-06 22:58:15	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xdb9c14…
04-06 19:47:37	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xe256e6…
04-06 05:54:07	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x0f3ff8…
04-06 03:56:57	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xed31b0…
04-06 03:56:41	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x36dfe0…
04-05 22:32:59	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xe4cdcd…
04-04 21:57:09	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xe884fa…
04-04 18:53:09	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xd174fc…
04-04 18:52:53	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x64b708…
04-04 14:50:07	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x6611ae…
04-04 08:54:49	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xfe8e92…
04-04 05:20:45	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x9369fc…
04-03 09:22:23	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x4b54d9…
04-03 09:13:39	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x5a96a2…
04-02 19:25:35	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x1dbed0…
04-02 12:17:51	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x27d5fb…
04-02 07:00:25	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x1078e5…
04-02 04:17:19	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x411607…
04-01 14:46:29	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	86	99¢	$86	0x176a0b…
04-01 10:30:19	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x2c1748…
04-01 01:15:21	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xc3f5f6…
03-31 21:03:01	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x3528a2…
03-31 09:33:13	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcfed47…
03-31 09:33:09	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb4386a…
03-30 18:21:47	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe9a430…
03-29 15:11:44	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x55903c…
03-29 10:59:44	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xfee53d…
03-26 07:28:25	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xfb7cde…
03-26 00:56:39	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x567357…
03-25 05:21:07	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x37ffe7…
03-24 16:39:35	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x50cd5b…
03-24 10:06:17	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x2918d7…
03-24 03:40:23	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x1e3b74…
03-23 21:17:35	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0xdc4d19…
03-23 14:50:55	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xd8c983…
03-22 19:27:55	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0xb94461…
03-22 13:05:01	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xd5568b…
03-20 00:30:39	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x6cc504…
03-18 17:14:05	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xad700c…
03-18 01:36:07	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x45cad2…
03-17 17:48:09	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x26d0fa…
03-14 21:52:33	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x337366…
03-14 14:23:13	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x6fced1…
03-12 22:13:57	nba chi lal 2026 03 12	Lakers	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0xcce94f…
03-12 22:13:35	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x89adb4…
03-12 17:21:53	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xfee970…
03-10 18:24:03	nba was mia 2026 03 10	Heat	BUY	43	90¢	$39	0x6c45ab…
03-08 19:52:15	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 9	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1e2f91…
03-07 15:33:51	nba orl min 2026 03 07	Magic	BUY	38	31¢	$12	0x2f8fd9…
03-04 17:01:57	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xbd58cc…
03-04 10:03:01	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x9912b0…
03-03 19:31:09	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Magic	BUY	34	90¢	$31	0xf5168d…
03-03 19:30:39	nba sas phi 2026 03 03	76ers	BUY	52	27¢	$14	0xe7173a…
03-03 12:26:15	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Magic	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x59ee4a…
03-03 12:25:51	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x1a0253…
03-03 04:12:59	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xe7ccaf…
03-02 21:25:53	Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x13599f…
03-02 09:07:51	Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb88dc1…
03-02 08:16:55	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x01ea6b…
03-02 01:45:21	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xdfbeb1…
03-01 18:59:57	nba cle bkn 2026 03 01	Cavaliers	BUY	37	85¢	$31	0xeafe32…
02-28 08:02:37	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9cce0d…
02-28 08:02:13	bitcoin above 68k on february 28	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf0b3cd…
02-28 08:01:49	ethereum above 2100 on february 28	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9cc5a9…
02-27 01:14:32	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x9569a2…
02-26 16:59:42	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x59e070…
02-26 16:59:18	Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x0a2c3e…
02-24 18:15:16	Fabric FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3ef0f7…
02-24 18:14:52	Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x772045…
02-24 18:14:30	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6bdf06…
02-24 17:59:54	Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xb3dd8f…
02-24 15:04:06	Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x1577c7…
02-24 03:26:48	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0xd881ef…
02-22 18:45:04	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x157392…
02-22 18:44:44	Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x90b142…
02-21 23:39:20	Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x53ea71…
02-20 23:53:24	nba mia atl 2026 02 20	Heat	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xc3bfb8…
02-15 20:43:29	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xe590d1…
02-14 23:19:05	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xa68b98…
02-13 09:04:11	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x3a8fae…