Vigilant-Saloon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$115

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.9%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$1.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 08-12 16:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

94% 24% $-115

Politics

6% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	43	$394	821	701	+120	open	—	04-28 22:25
Will the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final be a sweep?	17	$198	271	102	+169	open	—	05-03 19:52
will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	12	$124	108	108	+0	open	—	08-11 15:19
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	6	$122	93	67	+25	open	—	08-01 12:48
will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	4	$111	150	50	+100	open	—	08-12 16:13
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$81	100	100	+0	open	—	05-15 17:02
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July?	4	$80	200	0	+200	open	—	06-17 00:36
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	4	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	07-19 19:25
FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?	3	$48	0	50	-50	open	—	06-25 17:05
will kai or speed be eliminated by lava 20260807142948639	2	$47	41	21	+21	open	—	08-08 21:07
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	1	$42	50	0	+50	open	—	08-08 23:11
will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	7	$42	46	19	+27	open	—	08-12 15:45
will kai or speed be eliminated by fire 20260807142948638	3	$42	50	20	+30	open	—	08-09 18:21
Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?	3	$36	0	40	-40	open	—	06-13 18:17
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$35	60	60	+0	open	—	05-15 17:01
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winner	1	$34	50	0	+50	TheMongolz	$-34	05-11 08:30
will team vitality make a roster change before september 20260623151753357	2	$33	50	0	+50	open	—	08-04 16:36
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winner	3	$31	20	20	+0	Tricked	+$9	05-07 14:01
will natus vincere make a roster change before september 20260623155546119	4	$25	78	38	+40	open	—	08-04 12:24
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	3	$24	51	0	+51	Eternal Fire	$-24	05-07 17:08
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?	1	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	07-08 11:09
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner	1	$19	40	0	+40	Team Vitality	$-19	05-08 18:56
cs2 tl1 vit 2026 07 24	5	$18	40	0	+40	open	—	07-24 17:40
will faceit half time voice chat stay after testing 20260729205919258	1	$18	50	0	+50	open	—	08-06 11:43
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	6	$17	40	40	+0	Spirit	+$4	05-10 10:30
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner	2	$16	30	0	+30	MOUZ	$-16	05-10 07:14
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner	1	$16	30	0	+30	Team Liquid	+$14	05-07 18:31
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner	4	$15	20	20	+0	Spirit	+$6	05-10 10:49
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner	3	$15	41	0	+41	Team Vitality	$-15	05-08 18:13
will kai or speed be eliminated by falling 20260811184639830	1	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	08-12 09:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 16:13:25	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xf8922a…
08-12 15:45:45	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xde98d4…
08-12 14:07:06	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf5e161…
08-12 14:04:25	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x5c32dd…
08-12 13:53:06	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x90ca8c…
08-12 09:21:09	will kai or speed be eliminated by falling 20260811184639830	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xf939a0…
08-12 03:11:52	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0xdd1273…
08-12 02:51:54	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x30a6af…
08-11 15:19:39	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	Yes	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0xd81e8c…
08-11 15:19:39	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xbdd30f…
08-11 14:36:40	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xf24142…
08-11 14:28:18	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x9d2025…
08-11 07:53:58	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x568ff6…
08-10 13:25:49	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x2ac2e9…
08-10 09:48:09	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x94baa0…
08-10 02:37:28	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	98	48¢	$47	0x29163d…
08-10 01:13:25	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc58b6b…
08-10 00:23:06	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	Yes	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x666e9a…
08-10 00:22:49	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	Yes	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0xd0f778…
08-09 23:00:31	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x0e2da2…
08-09 18:21:01	will kai or speed be eliminated by fire 20260807142948638	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x312995…
08-09 18:20:51	will kai or speed be eliminated by fire 20260807142948638	Yes	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x8577db…
08-08 23:11:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x80fb24…
08-08 21:07:12	will kai or speed be eliminated by lava 20260807142948639	Yes	SELL	21	93¢	$19	0x389e27…
08-08 19:42:46	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	Yes	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0xe5e622…
08-08 17:06:49	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	Yes	BUY	76	47¢	$36	0x5561c0…
08-08 17:06:27	will kai or speed be eliminated by lava 20260807142948639	Yes	BUY	41	66¢	$27	0x145796…
08-08 17:05:42	will kai or speed be eliminated by fire 20260807142948638	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xf0427b…
08-08 14:52:45	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf737ed…
08-06 11:43:23	will faceit half time voice chat stay after testing 20260729205919258	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x7ca80a…
08-04 16:36:18	will team vitality make a roster change before september 20260623151753357	No	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x9b9638…
08-04 16:06:15	will team vitality make a roster change before september 20260623151753357	No	BUY	36	66¢	$24	0x452150…
08-04 12:24:08	will natus vincere make a roster change before september 20260623155546119	Yes	SELL	38	30¢	$11	0x862835…
08-01 22:29:47	will natus vincere make a roster change before september 20260623155546119	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xa5ccdc…
08-01 22:29:47	will natus vincere make a roster change before september 20260623155546119	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x55b885…
08-01 12:48:05	Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	No	SELL	55	75¢	$41	0x88deb0…
08-01 10:47:08	Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	No	SELL	13	81¢	$10	0x08c5e9…
07-26 18:57:15	Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xbd4909…
07-26 14:51:03	Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xbd58fa…
07-26 14:45:27	Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xf348ab…
07-24 17:40:28	cs2 tl1 vit 2026 07 24	Vitality	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x1dc7b8…
07-24 17:40:27	cs2 tl1 vit 2026 07 24	Vitality	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa89441…
07-24 17:38:43	cs2 tl1 vit 2026 07 24	Vitality	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8e03cd…
07-24 17:38:40	cs2 tl1 vit 2026 07 24	Vitality	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xc63836…
07-24 17:13:09	cs2 tl1 vit 2026 07 24	Liquid	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x944fad…
07-19 19:25:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x5db2b5…
07-19 19:25:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xc49c21…
07-19 19:25:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x7e0706…
07-19 07:52:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x4e371e…
07-14 08:08:58	Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	No	BUY	45	84¢	$38	0xb6b978…
07-09 20:12:43	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2027 20260702152126832	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc98c6e…
07-09 09:31:05	will natus vincere make a roster change before september 20260623155546119	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x7dc0cc…
07-08 11:09:25	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$21	0x62e5ab…
07-03 13:02:32	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x474db1…
07-02 20:55:34	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x849dbc…
07-02 09:30:35	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x4a76ba…
06-28 10:34:02	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x6241c0…
06-25 17:05:28	FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	32	95¢	$31	0xec3575…
06-17 00:36:47	Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x1d2292…
06-13 18:17:57	Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?	No	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0xb44b7c…
06-12 18:52:40	Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x05831a…
06-12 07:31:19	FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x7b6273…
06-11 20:24:01	FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x080bc2…
06-11 11:24:27	Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0xc20f28…
06-10 12:55:27	Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x5f1f71…
06-07 18:53:40	cs2 g2 fut 2026 06 07	G2	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc191c6…
06-04 13:17:15	cs2 thunde fly 2026 06 04	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x0dd7dc…
06-04 09:34:09	cs2 thunde fly 2026 06 04	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x76432a…
06-03 05:32:50	Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xc8ab86…
06-01 16:17:09	Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x326ee0…
05-17 11:46:33	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x59269d…
05-16 13:31:05	Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	magic	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0xbe5f76…
05-16 13:31:04	Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	magic	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x692e8d…
05-16 13:31:00	Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	magic	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xecfd83…
05-16 13:31:00	Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	magic	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x75c759…
05-16 13:30:30	Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	magic	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x0d23fa…
05-15 17:02:04	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x9462c1…
05-15 17:01:48	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1e3fac…
05-15 16:55:37	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	24	29¢	$7	0x4d99f0…
05-15 16:16:36	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	50	25¢	$13	0x7654e8…
05-15 14:59:53	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x03dc2c…
05-15 09:00:21	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x3bf205…
05-15 08:22:49	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xe0db95…
05-15 08:08:03	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xcf0bbc…
05-13 17:34:42	Will FUT qualify to IEM Atlanta 2026 Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x4287fa…
05-13 06:18:12	Will FUT qualify to IEM Atlanta 2026 Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3498a5…
05-13 06:18:02	Will GamerLegion qualify to IEM Atlanta 2026 Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9383c4…
05-12 21:09:58	Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x215993…
05-12 20:03:19	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe4654f…
05-12 19:07:14	Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xd07617…
05-11 08:30:55	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winner	G2	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xa74a19…
05-11 07:44:08	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	G2	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x679344…
05-10 15:25:09	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x528d39…
05-10 12:45:45	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner	Heroic	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x3634f2…
05-10 10:49:17	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x62d359…
05-10 10:45:21	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x0bed74…
05-10 10:36:12	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xc3d9d4…
05-10 10:34:21	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x1c292a…
05-10 10:30:09	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0x2e614e…
05-10 10:02:34	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x92e9a2…