Specific-Croup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.4%

Resolved

Trades

427

lifetime

Volume

$905

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-02 19:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 37% $-41

Politics

13% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	11	$62	274	274	+0	open	—	02-28 23:36
will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	32	$59	666	130	+536	open	—	04-20 07:42
btc updown 5m 1772123700	2	$40	22	21	+0	open	—	02-26 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	6	$35	42	42	+0	Down	$-7	05-13 09:48
btc updown 5m 1771836300	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	02-23 08:50
btc updown 5m 1771700400	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	02-21 19:05
btc updown 5m 1772192700	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	02-27 11:49
btc updown 5m 1772207700	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-27 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$15	32	32	+0	Down	$-5	05-13 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$13	122	22	+100	open	—	06-02 19:05
btc updown 15m 1767859200	3	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	01-08 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 09:19
btc updown 5m 1771761000	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	02-22 11:54
btc updown 15m 1767786300	3	$10	25	25	+0	open	—	01-07 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$10	112	0	+112	Up	$-10	05-13 09:32
btc updown 5m 1772012400	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	02-25 09:44
btc updown 15m 1767800700	3	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	01-07 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$8	12	12	+0	Up	$-1	05-13 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	6	$8	18	18	+0	open	—	06-02 18:49
btc updown 5m 1774022400	5	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	03-20 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$8	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$8	23	0	+23	open	—	06-02 18:55
btc updown 15m 1767858300	2	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	01-08 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	4	$7	37	37	+0	Up	$-4	05-13 09:38
btc updown 15m 1772194500	4	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	02-27 12:29
btc updown 15m 1774021500	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	03-20 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$6	17	17	+0	Up	$-4	05-13 09:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 19:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x34f10c…
06-02 19:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0x282819…
06-02 19:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xdaefbd…
06-02 19:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8cfbdc…
06-02 18:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x188754…
06-02 18:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x561bb1…
06-02 18:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb2a447…
06-02 18:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xaf4b14…
06-02 18:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x774510…
06-02 18:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7edae2…
06-02 18:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x3814aa…
06-02 18:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2895fe…
06-02 18:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc582eb…
06-02 18:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0239e2…
06-02 18:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5c99a0…
06-02 18:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x814c50…
06-02 18:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x8bc09e…
06-02 18:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x86b2db…
06-02 18:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xee48cb…
06-02 18:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xe44bf5…
06-02 18:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6afecc…
05-13 09:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	28¢	$4	0x587678…
05-13 09:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xcba2fe…
05-13 09:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	42	32¢	$14	0x9a3e6a…
05-13 09:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x11d918…
05-13 09:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa80ea3…
05-13 09:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa1a11e…
05-13 09:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7f52ed…
05-13 09:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x445dd0…
05-13 09:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	32	16¢	$5	0x3cfc76…
05-13 09:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x96f195…
05-13 09:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa63650…
05-13 09:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xf73ac3…
05-13 09:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xcfa4f5…
05-13 09:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0xff2c06…
05-13 09:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x6a676d…
05-13 09:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x110965…
05-13 09:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6054b0…
05-13 09:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x2428e2…
05-13 09:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf3276f…
05-13 09:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x80dbd2…
05-13 09:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe7ef55…
05-13 09:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0xc029e0…
05-13 09:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x6d4251…
05-13 09:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xa2eca5…
05-13 09:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xbce433…
05-13 09:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xb3088e…
05-13 09:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xadd86f…
05-13 09:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x2b2ac5…
05-13 09:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2ac79f…
05-13 09:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8418ec…
05-13 08:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xf6bd74…
05-13 08:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7e6a33…
05-13 08:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa898a0…
05-13 08:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe3d3cf…
05-13 08:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x0f77ac…
05-13 08:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8556e2…
05-13 08:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe3f05c…
05-13 08:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1ce6c2…
05-13 08:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xa1cc92…
05-13 08:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x55759a…
05-13 08:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xd04cf5…
05-13 08:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6b54bf…
05-13 08:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xef133a…
05-13 08:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x0d3009…
05-13 08:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe56d52…
05-13 08:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x24e4c4…
05-13 08:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc20911…
05-13 08:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x45178e…
05-13 08:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc2f007…
05-13 08:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xe907f3…
05-13 08:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9605fd…
05-13 08:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xc8928a…
05-13 08:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb26683…
05-13 08:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x96a753…
05-13 08:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9ddeee…
05-13 06:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x123bc4…
05-13 06:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4e6504…
05-13 05:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x5efb19…
05-13 05:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xfd2912…
05-13 05:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7fdf8d…
05-13 05:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x1370b6…
05-13 05:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb1a363…
05-13 05:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x365a53…
05-13 05:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x386cb2…
05-13 04:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x06d801…
05-13 04:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2e191e…
05-13 04:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x86369e…
05-13 04:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x090383…
05-13 04:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xac56e9…
05-13 04:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x32dd43…
05-13 04:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xebaea9…
05-13 03:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x481a45…
05-13 01:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf8474d…
05-13 01:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbcf301…
05-12 17:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0xa97f4b…
05-12 17:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x95385e…
05-12 17:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x96ae94…
05-12 17:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x50e7ac…
05-04 07:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xa9c3f5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	135	$14.0K	1,885	05-13 09:54
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	132	$34.2K	2,809	06-02 18:55
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	132	$6.75K	881	06-02 19:04
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	111	$289.4K	18,421	03-20 15:52
Dangerous-Literate 0xd31a…5f51	110	$1.68K	578	06-02 19:02
Thorough-Sprout 0x798c…88d5	110	$1.21K	260	06-02 19:05
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	107	$7.35K	2,296	06-02 19:04
Soft-Primary 0xf007…10b4	106	$34.0K	1,931	05-13 09:52