Specific-Croup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.4%

Resolved

Trades

460

lifetime

Volume

$961

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-29 13:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 37% $-41

Politics

13% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	11	$62	274	274	+0	open	—	02-28 23:36
will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	32	$59	666	130	+536	open	—	04-20 07:42
btc updown 5m 1772123700	2	$40	22	21	+0	open	—	02-26 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	6	$35	42	42	+0	Down	$-7	05-13 09:48
btc updown 5m 1771836300	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	02-23 08:50
btc updown 5m 1771700400	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	02-21 19:05
btc updown 5m 1772192700	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	02-27 11:49
btc updown 5m 1772207700	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-27 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$15	32	32	+0	Down	$-5	05-13 09:41
btc updown 5m 1782738300	5	$14	13	13	+0	open	—	06-29 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$13	122	22	+100	open	—	06-02 19:05
btc updown 15m 1767859200	3	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	01-08 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 09:19
btc updown 5m 1771761000	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	02-22 11:54
btc updown 15m 1767786300	3	$10	25	25	+0	open	—	01-07 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$10	112	0	+112	Up	$-10	05-13 09:32
btc updown 5m 1772012400	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	02-25 09:44
btc updown 15m 1767800700	3	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	01-07 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$8	12	12	+0	Up	$-1	05-13 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	6	$8	18	18	+0	open	—	06-02 18:49
btc updown 5m 1774022400	5	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	03-20 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$8	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$8	23	0	+23	open	—	06-02 18:55
btc updown 5m 1782738900	4	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	06-29 13:17
btc updown 15m 1767858300	2	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	01-08 07:38
btc updown 5m 1782737400	3	$7	7	4	+3	open	—	06-29 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	4	$7	37	37	+0	Up	$-4	05-13 09:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 13:27:13	btc updown 5m 1782739500	Up	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xbb9e8d…
06-29 13:26:47	btc updown 5m 1782739500	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc761c1…
06-29 13:26:02	btc updown 5m 1782739500	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x9a050e…
06-29 13:25:25	btc updown 5m 1782739500	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa7dac9…
06-29 13:25:01	btc updown 5m 1782739500	Up	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xd0b973…
06-29 13:24:50	btc updown 5m 1782739500	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xc3c62b…
06-29 13:24:44	btc updown 5m 1782739500	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5b2845…
06-29 13:22:10	btc updown 5m 1782739200	Up	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x59e15b…
06-29 13:20:43	btc updown 5m 1782739200	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x57deb0…
06-29 13:17:10	btc updown 5m 1782738900	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xa58a4a…
06-29 13:16:56	btc updown 5m 1782738900	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd10d95…
06-29 13:15:20	btc updown 5m 1782738900	Up	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x150823…
06-29 13:13:35	btc updown 5m 1782738900	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x47e1e0…
06-29 13:12:10	btc updown 5m 1782738600	Down	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x2369b8…
06-29 13:10:32	btc updown 5m 1782738600	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x357abf…
06-29 13:10:26	btc updown 5m 1782738600	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x341c75…
06-29 13:09:43	btc updown 5m 1782738300	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0xa5107e…
06-29 13:08:44	btc updown 5m 1782738300	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf12433…
06-29 13:06:25	btc updown 5m 1782738300	Up	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xc584ea…
06-29 13:04:26	btc updown 5m 1782738300	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa21f02…
06-29 13:04:14	btc updown 5m 1782738300	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x29f4a6…
06-29 13:03:10	btc updown 5m 1782738000	Down	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xd70bac…
06-29 13:02:05	btc updown 5m 1782738000	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xccde41…
06-29 12:58:01	btc updown 5m 1782737700	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x54aed1…
06-29 12:57:23	btc updown 5m 1782737700	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xff869e…
06-29 12:54:56	btc updown 5m 1782737400	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x422a99…
06-29 12:52:58	btc updown 5m 1782737400	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0xa0feae…
06-29 12:50:37	btc updown 5m 1782737400	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x62a8d3…
06-29 12:47:17	btc updown 5m 1782737100	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf7d224…
06-29 05:40:11	btc updown 5m 1782711300	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe95db7…
06-29 05:39:20	btc updown 5m 1782711300	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x738bc8…
06-29 05:38:59	btc updown 5m 1782711300	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xcf7219…
06-29 05:38:46	btc updown 5m 1782711300	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3ea146…
06-02 19:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x34f10c…
06-02 19:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0x282819…
06-02 19:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xdaefbd…
06-02 19:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8cfbdc…
06-02 18:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x188754…
06-02 18:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x561bb1…
06-02 18:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb2a447…
06-02 18:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xaf4b14…
06-02 18:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x774510…
06-02 18:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7edae2…
06-02 18:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x3814aa…
06-02 18:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2895fe…
06-02 18:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc582eb…
06-02 18:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0239e2…
06-02 18:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5c99a0…
06-02 18:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x814c50…
06-02 18:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x8bc09e…
06-02 18:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x86b2db…
06-02 18:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xee48cb…
06-02 18:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xe44bf5…
06-02 18:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6afecc…
05-13 09:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	28¢	$4	0x587678…
05-13 09:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xcba2fe…
05-13 09:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	42	32¢	$14	0x9a3e6a…
05-13 09:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x11d918…
05-13 09:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa80ea3…
05-13 09:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa1a11e…
05-13 09:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7f52ed…
05-13 09:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x445dd0…
05-13 09:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	32	16¢	$5	0x3cfc76…
05-13 09:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x96f195…
05-13 09:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa63650…
05-13 09:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xf73ac3…
05-13 09:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xcfa4f5…
05-13 09:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0xff2c06…
05-13 09:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x6a676d…
05-13 09:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x110965…
05-13 09:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6054b0…
05-13 09:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x2428e2…
05-13 09:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf3276f…
05-13 09:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x80dbd2…
05-13 09:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe7ef55…
05-13 09:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0xc029e0…
05-13 09:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x6d4251…
05-13 09:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xa2eca5…
05-13 09:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xbce433…
05-13 09:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xb3088e…
05-13 09:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xadd86f…
05-13 09:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x2b2ac5…
05-13 09:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2ac79f…
05-13 09:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8418ec…
05-13 08:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xf6bd74…
05-13 08:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7e6a33…
05-13 08:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa898a0…
05-13 08:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe3d3cf…
05-13 08:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x0f77ac…
05-13 08:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8556e2…
05-13 08:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe3f05c…
05-13 08:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1ce6c2…
05-13 08:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xa1cc92…
05-13 08:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x55759a…
05-13 08:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xd04cf5…
05-13 08:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6b54bf…
05-13 08:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xef133a…
05-13 08:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x0d3009…
05-13 08:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe56d52…
05-13 08:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x24e4c4…