Vibrant-Cayenne — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved

236

Trades

934

lifetime

Volume

$2.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-17 22:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% +$3

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 301 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	14	$42	28	28	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	7	$35	51	16	+34	Down	$-25	05-12 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	7	$33	32	27	+5	Up	$-2	05-11 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	6	$31	37	37	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$25	31	17	+14	open	—	05-17 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	5	$24	30	18	+12	open	—	05-16 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	4	$21	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$20	19	9	+11	Up	+$1	05-12 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	4	$20	16	6	+10	Down	+$0	05-12 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	4	$20	11	11	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	6	$20	15	15	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 23:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	05-17 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$19	18	12	+6	Up	+$5	05-11 22:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$19	11	11	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$18	20	20	+0	Up	+$8	05-11 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$18	22	12	+9	Up	$-4	05-11 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$17	15	15	+0	open	—	05-17 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	7	$17	19	9	+10	Down	$-4	05-12 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	6	$17	14	14	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$17	30	20	+10	open	—	05-17 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$17	22	11	+11	Down	$-2	05-12 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	5	$17	26	19	+7	Down	+$0	05-12 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	4	$17	15	15	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$16	16	8	+8	Up	$-0	05-12 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	4	$16	16	16	+0	Up	$-4	05-11 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	9	$16	15	12	+3	Down	$-1	05-12 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	3	$15	15	7	+8	Down	$-5	05-12 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$15	23	14	+9	Up	+$4	05-11 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$15	47	0	+47	open	—	05-17 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	8	$15	17	10	+7	Down	+$0	05-12 10:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 22:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x87d3f1…
05-17 22:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x8d9a6b…
05-17 22:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xa70f21…
05-17 22:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0xd8978c…
05-17 22:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x9e79d3…
05-17 22:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x1d1cc9…
05-17 22:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x0d037b…
05-17 22:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xfe150c…
05-17 22:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x96f146…
05-17 22:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd6eed7…
05-17 22:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x390e9f…
05-17 21:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb4adc0…
05-17 21:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x585ced…
05-17 21:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0x065f17…
05-17 21:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd1b5d7…
05-17 21:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xd70d3c…
05-17 21:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xf5764c…
05-17 21:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xc1a5c7…
05-17 21:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0x68f77c…
05-17 21:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x8f605f…
05-17 21:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0706fe…
05-17 20:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xb7b0b7…
05-17 20:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x058802…
05-17 20:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x1bd1f6…
05-17 20:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x9752eb…
05-17 20:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x48fb53…
05-17 20:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x3a2273…
05-17 20:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x09bc3d…
05-17 20:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0xca63d8…
05-17 20:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xbbbccb…
05-17 20:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf64edf…
05-17 20:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x5d5da5…
05-17 20:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd85ae7…
05-17 20:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x11b3db…
05-17 20:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x367a44…
05-17 19:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x1003b4…
05-17 19:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x3a2b92…
05-17 19:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x71f5fc…
05-17 19:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xcb79bb…
05-17 19:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x79ff22…
05-17 19:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x092200…
05-17 19:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xdbdb72…
05-17 19:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x8b0273…
05-17 19:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xd2fe08…
05-17 19:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x36df6c…
05-17 19:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x19c1f0…
05-17 19:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe19fcd…
05-17 19:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf566c3…
05-17 18:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x54e462…
05-17 18:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x030056…
05-17 18:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x06de49…
05-17 18:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xea4d4b…
05-17 18:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x85c238…
05-17 18:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xdb482e…
05-17 16:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe23453…
05-17 16:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x37c346…
05-17 16:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xb2d54d…
05-17 16:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x0985fd…
05-17 12:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xea7e81…
05-17 12:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x0e8902…
05-17 12:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb2626f…
05-17 12:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0xa60be9…
05-17 12:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x88ae6e…
05-17 12:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd51363…
05-17 12:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xefe175…
05-17 12:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe1f278…
05-17 12:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x76ad60…
05-17 11:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3dea45…
05-17 09:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x80ce1c…
05-17 09:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb09808…
05-17 09:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xfb47d3…
05-17 09:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2b7d06…
05-17 09:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x7ef252…
05-17 09:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1fc638…
05-17 08:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x80d6b5…
05-17 08:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x58faba…
05-17 08:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x44bebb…
05-16 20:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xec4135…
05-16 20:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x21ff12…
05-16 20:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc63096…
05-16 20:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1f69f2…
05-16 20:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x982241…
05-16 20:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x3f76a1…
05-16 20:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3ba82d…
05-16 20:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xef1f0b…
05-16 20:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xaa5e67…
05-16 20:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4c3e7f…
05-16 20:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0x14e0ab…
05-16 20:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0x11c661…
05-16 20:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb2ee82…
05-16 20:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2d8654…
05-16 20:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x07bc4e…
05-16 19:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9bb8df…
05-16 19:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5d4358…
05-16 19:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa71fb4…
05-16 19:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xed017d…
05-16 19:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xdbb2cf…
05-16 19:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xff2e4a…
05-16 03:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x698045…
05-15 18:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1b77bb…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	424	$389.2K	15,668	05-17 23:05
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	424	$104.9K	15,574	05-17 23:04
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	424	$104.7K	28,452	05-17 23:04
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	424	$96.8K	25,865	05-17 23:04
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	424	$91.0K	13,415	05-17 23:04
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	423	$92.0K	16,655	05-17 23:03
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	422	$95.2K	3,525	05-17 23:03
Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343	422	$90.7K	16,968	05-17 23:04