Exotic-Winner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.8%

Resolved

Trades

181

lifetime

Volume

$263

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-11 19:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 36% $-15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	6	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	05-04 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	10	$20	21	21	+0	open	—	05-04 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$16	21	21	+0	open	—	05-04 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	6	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	05-04 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	6	$12	16	16	+0	open	—	05-04 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	5	$11	21	13	+8	Down	+$0	05-11 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	8	$9	17	17	+0	open	—	05-04 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	8	$9	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	8	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$7	25	5	+20	Down	$-3	05-11 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	5	$7	9	6	+3	open	—	05-04 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	8	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	4	$7	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	5	$6	36	3	+33	open	—	05-04 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	Up	$-0	05-04 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	6	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	$-5	05-07 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	5	$5	108	8	+100	open	—	05-03 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	5	$5	11	3	+7	Down	$-1	05-07 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	5	$5	118	18	+100	open	—	05-04 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$4	6	4	+2	open	—	05-04 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$4	6	2	+3	Down	$-0	05-07 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$3	53	3	+50	Up	$-1	05-11 19:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 19:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x736356…
05-11 19:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x1b968f…
05-11 19:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0xf51488…
05-11 19:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x013fa7…
05-11 19:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x817348…
05-11 19:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3faf11…
05-11 19:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xc1c14d…
05-11 19:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x5c8118…
05-11 19:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8ffdd3…
05-11 19:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x31febf…
05-11 19:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xd7eb7c…
05-11 19:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9262b8…
05-11 19:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x82828c…
05-11 19:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7fb852…
05-11 19:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xd4e033…
05-11 19:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xabb98a…
05-11 19:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xbfefae…
05-11 19:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x426b05…
05-11 19:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xa33079…
05-11 19:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x221a41…
05-11 19:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xcacc63…
05-11 19:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x29ecf5…
05-11 19:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xa2412b…
05-11 19:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc3c2d5…
05-11 19:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xed7c31…
05-11 19:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xafe86c…
05-11 19:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x3a09a7…
05-11 19:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5384d7…
05-11 19:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x6e84dd…
05-11 19:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x763814…
05-11 19:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x2826df…
05-11 19:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcc6a4b…
05-11 18:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xa057b6…
05-11 18:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1051bc…
05-11 18:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x175fa2…
05-11 18:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd02621…
05-11 11:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2e0c7f…
05-11 11:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xc03546…
05-11 11:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2892e2…
05-11 11:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$0	0xc33cc7…
05-11 11:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xce8d27…
05-09 14:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc9c998…
05-07 22:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1bd1e9…
05-07 22:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x742e13…
05-07 22:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x32de2c…
05-07 22:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2f3300…
05-07 22:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0xb38875…
05-07 22:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbfcfd1…
05-07 21:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x26a1ca…
05-07 21:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x48384a…
05-07 21:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf74354…
05-07 21:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x0947b7…
05-07 21:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x280b5f…
05-07 21:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6a60aa…
05-07 21:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1c26ee…
05-07 21:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x52476d…
05-07 21:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x0c66c2…
05-07 21:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x40e168…
05-07 21:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc2a5a7…
05-07 20:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x30dbd0…
05-07 20:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa35392…
05-07 20:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x80b6c5…
05-07 20:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9b2540…
05-07 20:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc35b9c…
05-07 20:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x554720…
05-07 20:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf15b10…
05-04 22:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8818ff…
05-04 22:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x97fca0…
05-04 22:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc32dc4…
05-04 22:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x9811dc…
05-04 22:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe1d564…
05-04 22:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x8bfa72…
05-04 22:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x213e85…
05-04 22:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xea4c79…
05-04 22:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x136984…
05-04 22:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x8a69d3…
05-04 22:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xab4d04…
05-04 16:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x1e5e62…
05-04 16:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x85c1cd…
05-04 16:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x0d949f…
05-04 16:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe819f3…
05-04 16:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x3f3704…
05-04 16:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe76386…
05-04 16:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x83dea7…
05-04 16:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x6a8cea…
05-04 16:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x012bef…
05-04 16:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x9ab92e…
05-04 16:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc3956d…
05-04 16:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6afab3…
05-04 16:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x87beb6…
05-04 16:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5ea481…
05-04 16:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf815ae…
05-04 16:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x66eae1…
05-04 16:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xa2a21b…
05-04 16:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x2ea24b…
05-04 16:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x1d48d5…
05-04 16:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4906b4…
05-04 16:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x572e2c…
05-04 16:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xc19b0d…
05-04 16:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x45f567…