Third-Broad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$771

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-31 01:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

59% — —

Other

35% — —

Sports

6% 17% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$300	15,057	0	+15,057	open	—	04-11 01:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$267	955	955	+0	open	—	04-28 13:37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$100	189	0	+189	open	—	04-24 00:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$50	133	0	+133	open	—	05-06 00:42
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$5	31	0	+31	Pistons	$-5	05-06 00:39
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-24 00:36
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-16 00:28
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-31 01:35
nba tor cle 2026 04 20	1	$5	83	0	+83	open	—	04-21 00:37
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-24 00:36
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$3	50	0	+50	open	—	04-08 04:41
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$2	100	0	+100	open	—	05-25 02:19
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$2	8	0	+8	Knicks	$-2	05-05 00:44
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$2	9	0	+9	Timberwolves	+$7	05-05 00:44
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	01-04 05:54
nba phx okc 2026 04 22	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	04-21 00:38
nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	04-21 00:37
nba hou lal 2026 04 18	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	04-19 02:36
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$1	4	0	+4	Spurs	$-1	05-06 00:40
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$1	7	0	+7	Thunder	$-1	05-06 00:39
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	01-04 05:53
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-04 05:54
nba orl det 2026 04 22	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-22 13:06
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-19 00:53
nba cha orl 2026 04 17	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	04-18 00:38
nba por sas 2026 04 21	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	04-21 00:38
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$1	3	0	+3	Knicks	$-1	05-06 00:40
nba phi bos 2026 04 21	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	04-21 00:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 01:35:13	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa84297…
05-25 02:19:58	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4169ba…
05-24 00:36:53	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7b3c14…
05-24 00:36:12	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xab8648…
05-19 00:53:32	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xad8706…
05-16 00:28:29	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8d9736…
05-06 00:42:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	38¢	$50	0x6a92f2…
05-06 00:40:24	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe35e78…
05-06 00:40:12	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb687dc…
05-06 00:39:44	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf6d615…
05-06 00:39:02	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x23329a…
05-05 00:44:32	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe143c2…
05-05 00:44:12	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb20b4c…
04-28 13:37:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	955	7¢	$67	0xd7c079…
04-24 00:42:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x1690d6…
04-22 13:06:22	nba orl det 2026 04 22	Magic	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb4a095…
04-21 00:38:52	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Suns	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xaefbd6…
04-21 00:38:24	nba por sas 2026 04 21	Trail Blazers	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x99694b…
04-21 00:38:12	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	76ers	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa4b65c…
04-21 00:37:38	nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	Hawks	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd9c4a6…
04-21 00:37:22	nba tor cle 2026 04 20	Raptors	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x4e6fc7…
04-19 02:36:16	nba hou lal 2026 04 18	Rockets	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0bfa15…
04-18 00:38:02	nba cha orl 2026 04 17	Hornets	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1ed108…
04-15 00:07:56	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x92345c…
04-11 01:53:01	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xb70d98…
04-11 01:52:07	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15,057	2¢	$300	0x70c4d0…
04-08 04:41:03	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xfa65c9…
01-04 05:54:51	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x740f83…
01-04 05:54:01	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe58625…
01-04 05:53:25	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa6a8b5…