Scared-Vintage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

116

lifetime

Volume

$16.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$142

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 04-21 05:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% $-1

Sports

33% — —

Politics

10% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	6	$932	467	467	+0	No	$-0	04-15 20:57
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	6	$922	462	462	+0	open	—	04-07 00:05
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	4	$731	367	366	+0	open	—	02-27 00:16
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$690	346	346	+0	open	—	03-29 16:33
will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$690	346	346	+0	open	—	03-22 22:39
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$658	329	329	+0	open	—	03-05 22:24
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$648	324	324	+0	open	—	03-26 10:39
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	4	$630	316	316	+0	open	—	02-11 08:53
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$628	315	315	+0	open	—	04-18 20:00
Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$394	197	197	+0	open	—	02-12 23:12
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$382	191	191	+0	open	—	03-24 13:16
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$376	188	188	+0	open	—	02-28 06:55
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$372	186	186	+0	open	—	02-12 16:40
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$372	187	187	+0	open	—	04-01 18:01
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$366	183	183	+0	open	—	04-08 11:17
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$360	180	180	+0	open	—	04-01 22:55
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$352	176	176	+0	open	—	03-20 18:53
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$348	175	175	+0	open	—	04-06 12:05
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$346	173	173	+0	open	—	03-14 04:48
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$340	171	171	+0	open	—	03-03 11:29
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$338	169	169	+0	No	$-0	04-21 05:16
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$338	170	170	+0	open	—	03-28 23:01
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$325	163	163	+0	open	—	03-23 17:59
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$319	160	160	+0	open	—	02-07 11:03
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$314	157	157	+0	open	—	03-28 10:24
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$310	155	155	+0	open	—	03-04 16:16
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$298	149	149	+0	open	—	03-12 03:47
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$288	144	144	+0	open	—	04-17 03:28
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$286	143	143	+0	No	$-0	04-04 08:17
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$278	140	140	+0	open	—	04-17 23:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-21 05:16:38	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0xb45d70…
04-20 22:33:54	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x979c37…
04-20 06:29:50	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$128	0x0f2517…
04-20 00:07:20	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$128	0x735704…
04-18 20:00:36	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$167	0x7d6117…
04-18 18:21:44	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0x1fa392…
04-17 23:18:54	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	140	99¢	$139	0xf5d91d…
04-17 17:19:12	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x2470cc…
04-17 03:28:58	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0x78d36f…
04-16 21:26:12	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x533b0e…
04-15 20:57:38	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0x290b32…
04-15 17:17:48	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x437295…
04-15 09:10:02	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x1c675f…
04-15 02:29:56	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x1aed2d…
04-08 11:17:13	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	183	100¢	$183	0xec629e…
04-08 07:01:45	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0xa7f2ea…
04-07 00:05:11	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0x885260…
04-06 21:06:09	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x8e2941…
04-06 15:09:33	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x093ee3…
04-06 12:05:57	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xf145cc…
04-06 12:05:37	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$174	0x168654…
04-06 08:30:35	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$174	0x8d4640…
04-05 20:37:13	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0xf53c81…
04-05 16:52:47	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x2a416d…
04-05 15:19:57	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	148	99¢	$147	0x8438c2…
04-05 08:56:53	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$147	0xf64cc1…
04-05 08:56:33	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0x643645…
04-05 05:34:05	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x36eac9…
04-04 08:17:49	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x4ab698…
04-04 05:42:51	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x1982dd…
04-03 17:59:39	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$180	0x3385af…
04-03 13:35:59	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0x451ad9…
04-02 08:05:53	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	138	99¢	$137	0x5bcbe7…
04-02 02:46:05	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0x9ece75…
04-01 22:55:47	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0xfa116d…
04-01 18:01:47	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x921b73…
04-01 18:01:27	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	187	99¢	$186	0x42ca9f…
04-01 13:48:23	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	187	100¢	$186	0xc8092c…
03-31 08:23:39	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x005533…
03-30 14:19:55	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2680a4…
03-29 16:33:28	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	166	100¢	$165	0x939b10…
03-29 12:22:06	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	166	100¢	$165	0xe1e363…
03-28 23:01:12	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$169	0x687958…
03-28 18:55:48	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$169	0x1c105e…
03-28 10:24:21	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	157	100¢	$157	0xb843c4…
03-27 23:33:21	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x81c527…
03-26 10:39:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0xc9885f…
03-26 04:07:31	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x8a348e…
03-24 13:16:51	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	191	100¢	$191	0xb2f8db…
03-24 06:46:51	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0x4cd19d…
03-24 00:25:19	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x31e4a5…
03-23 17:59:47	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	163	100¢	$162	0x6fbbbb…
03-23 11:34:31	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x963b02…
03-23 08:28:09	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0xbb53ff…
03-22 22:39:51	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0x37b70b…
03-22 16:10:55	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x112772…
03-21 20:45:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0x72e035…
03-21 18:32:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xe34fb2…
03-20 18:53:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	176	100¢	$176	0x6a7c10…
03-20 10:58:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x3cb0c3…
03-19 04:54:05	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0xb9ad34…
03-18 21:03:07	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x797dbf…
03-18 05:25:29	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x1071fd…
03-17 21:36:51	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x71311b…
03-17 21:36:35	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	181	100¢	$180	0x218e0a…
03-17 13:52:15	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0x44ff57…
03-14 17:55:59	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0x878e73…
03-14 10:52:47	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x6c8d25…
03-14 04:48:27	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	173	100¢	$173	0x0bc688…
03-13 22:06:05	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x86e7f9…
03-12 03:47:03	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	149	100¢	$149	0x551d51…
03-11 18:49:01	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0xe7d6e2…
03-10 20:04:03	nba tor hou 2026 03 10	Rockets	BUY	54	64¢	$35	0x2a2611…
03-10 00:08:25	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x6bb93d…
03-06 12:28:33	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xe4b551…
03-05 22:24:15	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0x6147ba…
03-05 15:36:35	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0xd68a5a…
03-04 22:59:45	nba uta phi 2026 03 04	76ers	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x7d2579…
03-04 22:59:11	nba cha bos 2026 03 04	Celtics	BUY	52	70¢	$36	0x555cbc…
03-04 16:16:57	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0x19f041…
03-04 15:47:03	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0xb32ffa…
03-04 15:46:47	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0x9ae939…
03-04 08:42:31	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x7f573a…
03-03 20:34:43	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Kings	BUY	37	24¢	$9	0x12ca05…
03-03 11:30:11	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Suns	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x104474…
03-03 11:29:49	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	171	100¢	$170	0xc513cb…
03-03 03:36:13	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$170	0x4e983b…
03-02 20:50:25	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	182	100¢	$182	0xfb8128…
03-02 12:11:27	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x630488…
02-28 06:56:13	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0xe3a16b…
02-28 06:55:57	Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	188	100¢	$188	0x6c5394…
02-27 22:03:11	Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0xfa5fac…
02-27 00:16:08	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0x7f9e1c…
02-26 17:40:42	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$168	0xce7e0c…
02-24 23:46:58	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	198	100¢	$197	0x6ef611…
02-24 21:26:14	nba gsw nop 2026 02 24	Pelicans	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x23ab95…
02-24 19:54:22	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$197	0xcbf167…
02-22 14:41:30	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x892121…
02-22 05:05:58	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xe6bc17…
02-17 17:04:09	Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0x466827…