New-Thermostat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$235

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 05-10 07:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% 100% +$1

Politics

47% 0% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	4	$3.0K	1,568	1,568	+0	open	—	03-18 19:53
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	4	$3.0K	1,516	1,516	+0	open	—	03-18 08:45
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	6	$322	2,519	2,519	+0	open	—	03-18 21:57
will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	2	$199	1,056	1,055	+1	open	—	03-18 19:41
cs2 omega1 msc 2026 03 17 total games 2pt5	1	$125	272	0	+272	open	—	03-17 14:32
amzn close above 215 on march 17 2026	2	$62	193	0	+193	open	—	03-17 14:57
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	4	$54	714	713	+1	open	—	03-18 09:13
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	2	$52	669	669	+0	open	—	03-18 09:32
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$51	852	852	+0	No	$-3	03-18 20:40
itsb pal sta 2026 03 17 spread home 2pt5	1	$28	31	0	+31	open	—	03-17 15:35
Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)	1	$19	20	0	+20	Aston Villa FC	+$1	05-10 07:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 07:58:01	Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x4fc22d…
03-18 21:57:11	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	814	6¢	$50	0x3eb49c…
03-18 21:57:11	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	469	6¢	$29	0x24c158…
03-18 21:57:11	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	1,236	6¢	$77	0x102906…
03-18 21:51:37	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	1,504	7¢	$99	0xd4801e…
03-18 21:51:37	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	719	7¢	$47	0x8e3d6e…
03-18 21:51:37	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	296	7¢	$20	0x0e63b7…
03-18 20:40:23	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	852	3¢	$24	0x4882cf…
03-18 20:33:53	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	852	3¢	$27	0x1237b3…
03-18 19:53:09	will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	142	95¢	$134	0xdb39ee…
03-18 19:53:07	will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	1,201	95¢	$1,136	0xc0aea2…
03-18 19:53:07	will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	225	95¢	$213	0x4f7180…
03-18 19:46:39	will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	1,568	94¢	$1,480	0xc9c955…
03-18 19:41:03	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	SELL	1,055	10¢	$101	0x0d435b…
03-18 19:31:03	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	BUY	1,056	9¢	$98	0xca519c…
03-18 09:32:59	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	No	SELL	669	4¢	$25	0x23175b…
03-18 09:23:21	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	No	BUY	669	4¢	$27	0x96303c…
03-18 09:13:29	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	218	4¢	$8	0xc351f9…
03-18 09:13:29	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	495	4¢	$18	0x2edecf…
03-18 09:07:25	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	438	4¢	$18	0x2ebfcd…
03-18 09:07:23	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	276	4¢	$11	0x1be584…
03-18 08:45:07	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	1,503	97¢	$1,464	0xc11ecd…
03-18 08:45:07	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0xa231c4…
03-18 08:35:25	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	703	97¢	$683	0x83e550…
03-18 08:35:25	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	813	97¢	$790	0x16cb21…
03-17 15:35:15	itsb pal sta 2026 03 17 spread home 2pt5	SS Juve Stabia	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0x2703ff…
03-17 14:57:57	amzn close above 215 on march 17 2026	Yes	BUY	33	32¢	$11	0xff5390…
03-17 14:57:57	amzn close above 215 on march 17 2026	Yes	BUY	160	32¢	$51	0xacd844…
03-17 14:32:39	cs2 omega1 msc 2026 03 17 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	272	46¢	$125	0x091f13…