Distant-Congregation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

166

lifetime

Volume

$101.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$610

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-05 02:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

52% 0% $-1

Other

45% 0% $-2

Crypto

2% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	14	$13.0K	6,523	6,523	+0	open	—	04-13 11:03
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$8.2K	4,110	4,110	+0	open	—	04-19 07:32
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$7.0K	3,504	3,504	+0	open	—	04-16 04:19
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	4	$5.4K	2,724	2,724	+0	open	—	04-14 08:20
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	4	$4.5K	2,271	2,271	+0	open	—	03-19 22:37
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.4K	1,688	1,688	+0	open	—	04-11 07:22
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.3K	1,677	1,677	+0	open	—	04-15 08:22
will sahith theegala win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$3.1K	1,548	1,548	+0	open	—	03-25 17:35
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.1K	1,533	1,533	+0	open	—	04-16 10:04
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$2.8K	1,425	1,425	-0	open	—	04-12 02:58
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$2.6K	1,311	1,311	+0	open	—	03-20 20:20
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.6K	1,289	1,289	+0	No	$-1	03-23 10:34
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$2.5K	1,253	1,253	+0	open	—	03-25 20:22
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.5K	1,244	1,244	+0	open	—	03-19 12:35
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$2.4K	1,213	1,213	+0	No	$-1	03-21 18:18
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.4K	1,190	1,190	+0	open	—	03-22 06:11
will louisville win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$2.3K	1,173	1,173	+0	open	—	03-21 14:13
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$2.3K	1,158	1,158	+0	open	—	03-26 02:08
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2.0K	992	992	+0	open	—	03-18 13:53
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.0K	985	985	+0	No	$-1	03-15 11:10
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-16 14:01
Pistons vs. Magic	1	$1.6K	2,818	0	+2,818	open	—	04-27 03:57
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.5K	779	779	+0	open	—	03-04 09:52
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.5K	764	764	+0	open	—	03-01 07:05
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	21	$1.5K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	open	—	03-16 12:29
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.5K	750	750	+0	open	—	03-03 07:32
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$1.5K	751	751	+0	open	—	02-22 11:38
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.4K	680	680	+0	open	—	02-22 07:02
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$1.3K	632	632	+0	open	—	03-06 10:05
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.2K	629	629	+0	open	—	03-06 06:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 02:10:01	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	108	67¢	$73	0xb3f849…
06-03 03:49:21	Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	Spurs	BUY	143	59¢	$84	0xb06ec8…
05-26 23:31:56	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	No	BUY	421	100¢	$420	0x52e978…
05-23 12:00:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	515	100¢	$513	0x1ffbfb…
05-22 05:21:43	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	105	47¢	$49	0x66f124…
05-20 09:10:21	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	63	67¢	$42	0x691216…
04-27 03:57:38	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	2,818	57¢	$1,606	0x8018a4…
04-19 07:32:16	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,633	100¢	$1,628	0xb32d19…
04-19 06:18:26	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,633	100¢	$1,630	0xfa0220…
04-17 05:11:06	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,597	100¢	$1,594	0xb11452…
04-17 03:27:06	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,597	100¢	$1,594	0x8006fc…
04-16 10:04:10	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,533	100¢	$1,525	0x059012…
04-16 08:26:18	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,533	100¢	$1,527	0x524eb6…
04-16 04:19:18	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,656	100¢	$1,648	0x387d1a…
04-16 03:07:12	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,656	100¢	$1,649	0x198e9e…
04-15 08:22:12	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,677	100¢	$1,671	0x5ba553…
04-15 06:24:24	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,677	100¢	$1,672	0x1a0a55…
04-14 08:20:03	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,572	100¢	$1,564	0xc4ed61…
04-14 07:01:47	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,572	100¢	$1,565	0xec9713…
04-13 11:03:49	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,632	100¢	$1,624	0xb424b7…
04-13 09:13:21	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,632	100¢	$1,626	0xb746a5…
04-12 02:58:27	Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,388	100¢	$1,384	0x9185ad…
04-12 02:48:29	Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xc78a78…
04-12 01:48:39	Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,425	100¢	$1,420	0x7335ab…
04-11 07:22:39	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,688	100¢	$1,680	0xb972d7…
04-11 05:27:01	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,688	100¢	$1,681	0xac46a3…
04-07 09:26:05	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,503	100¢	$1,497	0xfdd7ce…
04-07 06:54:21	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,503	100¢	$1,498	0x2062a1…
04-03 03:13:11	Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xd4c7a0…
03-29 08:56:20	nba hou nop 2026 03 29	Rockets	BUY	1,792	68¢	$1,218	0xbe4447…
03-28 14:07:07	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x330f8a…
03-26 02:08:19	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	1,158	100¢	$1,154	0x2e8f27…
03-26 00:38:07	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	1,158	100¢	$1,156	0x1fe4df…
03-25 23:14:47	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,152	99¢	$1,145	0x8857e1…
03-25 21:25:55	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,152	100¢	$1,146	0x5d3e29…
03-25 20:22:15	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	1,253	100¢	$1,249	0x9b3164…
03-25 18:44:59	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1,253	100¢	$1,250	0x1ccfbc…
03-25 17:35:59	will sahith theegala win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	1,548	99¢	$1,539	0x8b4528…
03-25 15:22:09	will sahith theegala win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	253	100¢	$252	0x9a2c6f…
03-25 15:14:37	will sahith theegala win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1,294	99¢	$1,287	0x6d9fc0…
03-23 10:34:19	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,289	100¢	$1,284	0x76bc05…
03-23 08:37:29	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,289	100¢	$1,285	0x3be943…
03-22 06:11:37	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,190	99¢	$1,183	0xcd5afe…
03-22 04:06:43	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,190	99¢	$1,184	0xd1c67e…
03-21 18:18:33	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,213	99¢	$1,206	0x5f06af…
03-21 17:25:21	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,213	100¢	$1,207	0x873d66…
03-21 14:13:43	will louisville win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	1,173	99¢	$1,167	0x8ab569…
03-21 11:57:35	will louisville win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	1,173	100¢	$1,168	0x79e9bb…
03-20 20:20:23	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	1,311	100¢	$1,308	0xfd1e27…
03-20 18:39:07	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1,311	100¢	$1,310	0x7b509a…
03-20 09:02:49	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,268	99¢	$1,259	0x5831f0…
03-20 07:55:49	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,268	99¢	$1,261	0xa256ee…
03-19 22:37:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	1,304	100¢	$1,299	0x723957…
03-19 21:45:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	1,304	100¢	$1,300	0x709d96…
03-19 12:35:23	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,244	100¢	$1,240	0xc8fccb…
03-19 11:30:03	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,244	100¢	$1,242	0x5fcab2…
03-18 13:53:53	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	992	100¢	$989	0x461316…
03-18 11:24:43	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	992	100¢	$989	0xc7200e…
03-18 06:45:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	966	100¢	$962	0x9c8cdb…
03-18 04:50:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	966	100¢	$963	0xa96ae3…
03-16 14:01:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	1,000	84¢	$840	0xe043a2…
03-16 12:29:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	71	29¢	$20	0x021bb2…
03-16 12:28:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	282	29¢	$82	0x777466…
03-16 12:28:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x6107d7…
03-16 12:27:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xa8f2df…
03-16 12:27:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	105	29¢	$31	0x92ff36…
03-16 12:24:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0xc2e377…
03-16 11:36:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	215	30¢	$65	0x86db5c…
03-16 11:35:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xca7f71…
03-16 11:34:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	283	30¢	$85	0xf95ef7…
03-16 11:04:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1	70¢	$0	0x2f7ff0…
03-16 11:03:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	67	70¢	$47	0x37d58a…
03-16 11:02:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x240d5c…
03-16 11:02:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x3390bd…
03-16 11:01:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	422	70¢	$296	0xf580ae…
03-16 10:05:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	237	71¢	$168	0xf3023c…
03-16 10:04:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0xd5ffc8…
03-16 10:03:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0xbf0692…
03-16 10:03:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x8292f2…
03-16 10:03:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x664824…
03-16 10:02:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	227	71¢	$161	0x2f7489…
03-16 09:59:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	500	29¢	$145	0xecd299…
03-16 09:47:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0x73a52d…
03-15 11:10:59	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	985	100¢	$982	0x888b59…
03-15 09:04:19	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	985	100¢	$983	0x775604…
03-14 02:16:15	lal gir bil 2026 03 14 bil	No	BUY	135	64¢	$87	0xb656dc…
03-13 02:09:39	lal ala vil 2026 03 13 draw	No	BUY	118	72¢	$85	0x3242f5…
03-12 11:22:59	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,156	99¢	$1,146	0x54ad6f…
03-12 09:28:59	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	927	99¢	$921	0x63e48f…
03-12 09:28:37	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	228	99¢	$226	0xa4fe77…
03-12 03:20:13	uel stu3 por1 2026 03 12 btts	Yes	BUY	149	57¢	$85	0x9dc7b2…
03-11 10:34:09	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,110	99¢	$1,103	0x0168aa…
03-11 09:06:17	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	664	99¢	$660	0xf2681a…
03-11 08:45:17	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	446	99¢	$443	0xd5df71…
03-11 05:05:13	nba cle orl 2026 03 11	Magic	BUY	176	41¢	$72	0xf59cb7…
03-10 07:48:43	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,124	99¢	$1,116	0x314aea…
03-10 06:42:57	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	928	99¢	$922	0x094986…
03-10 06:41:23	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6931c2…
03-10 06:39:49	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	145	99¢	$145	0x08283a…
03-09 04:25:35	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	494	100¢	$493	0xbde235…