Sympathetic-Contour-Analogy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,169

lifetime

Volume

$5.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 05-07 05:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% $-15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776271500	6	$32	31	30	+1	open	—	04-15 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	4	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	04-28 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	7	$28	17	17	+0	open	—	04-28 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	04-27 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	4	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	05-04 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	5	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	04-29 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$27	16	16	+0	open	—	04-29 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	04-29 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$26	19	19	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	04-29 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	04-27 14:58
btc updown 5m 1776172500	4	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	04-14 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	04-29 18:08
btc updown 5m 1776345900	6	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	04-16 13:29
btc updown 5m 1776160500	4	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	04-14 09:59
btc updown 5m 1776262800	4	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	04-15 14:25
btc updown 5m 1776161700	5	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	04-14 10:19
btc updown 5m 1776262200	3	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	04-15 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	5	$25	17	17	+0	open	—	04-29 16:52
btc updown 5m 1776349200	4	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	04-16 14:23
btc updown 5m 1776261600	6	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	04-15 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$23	16	16	+0	Up	$-3	05-05 13:34
btc updown 5m 1776261900	3	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	04-15 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$21	16	8	+8	open	—	04-28 00:17
btc updown 5m 1776264900	3	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	04-15 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	05-04 10:25
btc updown 5m 1776173700	3	$19	14	7	+7	open	—	04-14 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$19	17	17	+0	Down	$-5	05-05 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$19	16	8	+8	open	—	04-30 15:13
btc updown 5m 1776180600	4	$18	14	7	+7	open	—	04-14 15:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 05:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x595216…
05-07 05:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	67¢	$6	0x79871f…
05-07 02:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x1a3bc9…
05-07 02:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xe2824c…
05-07 02:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0xb23d49…
05-07 02:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xe888f2…
05-07 01:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x7af7c8…
05-07 01:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x2ae619…
05-07 01:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0xb632be…
05-07 01:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xdfa0b3…
05-07 01:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0xd8b520…
05-07 01:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xf29287…
05-07 01:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x2ba242…
05-07 01:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x7ade94…
05-06 22:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0xd4f778…
05-06 22:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0xf6c3b5…
05-06 22:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x821b1c…
05-06 20:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x0c5da9…
05-06 20:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xbd2ad4…
05-06 20:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x5df520…
05-06 16:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x1ebf5f…
05-06 16:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd5a112…
05-06 16:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0xc00b03…
05-06 14:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0x7cbae5…
05-06 14:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x5dfc39…
05-06 14:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x53fba1…
05-06 14:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xe056a2…
05-06 14:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x633636…
05-06 14:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x003995…
05-06 14:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	79¢	$7	0x1732ca…
05-06 14:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xeec47f…
05-06 14:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x7b0aa4…
05-06 14:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x44f9cd…
05-06 14:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x316f6a…
05-06 14:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x735a8a…
05-06 14:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x98eda8…
05-06 14:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xad326f…
05-06 14:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x7a7e1c…
05-06 13:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x264fef…
05-06 13:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x10f4af…
05-06 13:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x136fa8…
05-06 13:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xdbfa52…
05-06 13:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x9f3c0d…
05-06 13:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x545e0c…
05-06 11:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xa43c44…
05-06 11:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xb34d4d…
05-06 11:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x9eeded…
05-06 11:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x54dbe8…
05-06 09:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x9b8332…
05-06 09:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xd5747a…
05-06 08:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x2bcaf0…
05-06 08:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xae99c0…
05-06 03:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x388b50…
05-06 03:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xc6c750…
05-06 03:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0xb1ca60…
05-06 03:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x02d653…
05-06 02:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x8fb73c…
05-06 02:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xce7f2d…
05-06 01:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x424f8d…
05-06 01:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf2c95d…
05-06 01:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe170c8…
05-06 00:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbfa9ba…
05-06 00:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$0	0xd4fc8d…
05-05 23:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x1e554b…
05-05 23:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0x89785b…
05-05 23:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x77483a…
05-05 23:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x69169d…
05-05 23:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x3f4c85…
05-05 23:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xa30d4b…
05-05 23:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x565f44…
05-05 22:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x432eac…
05-05 22:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xd81b8e…
05-05 22:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x6ef64c…
05-05 22:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xc4a75b…
05-05 16:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xe1b58a…
05-05 16:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x5d46f8…
05-05 15:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xd2874e…
05-05 15:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xeea8ce…
05-05 15:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x39e135…
05-05 15:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x0154b1…
05-05 14:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x63e055…
05-05 14:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xb29b0d…
05-05 14:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x8ba8f8…
05-05 14:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x71f4b2…
05-05 14:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x61e247…
05-05 14:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$6	0x2d8bc9…
05-05 14:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xd079fd…
05-05 14:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xe2dad0…
05-05 13:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x7d9091…
05-05 13:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xf43e09…
05-05 13:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe75ac2…
05-05 13:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x5a4057…
05-05 13:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x7027c6…
05-05 13:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0xb7b2e9…
05-05 13:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x8fcf1e…
05-05 13:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0xd90be1…
05-05 13:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xfd1b20…
05-05 13:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xb7608a…
05-05 13:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x744f38…
05-05 03:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xfdd761…