Vain-Method — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$767

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 05-17 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

81% 100% +$35

Crypto

8% 23% $-19

Politics

8% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$136	106	106	+0	open	—	05-16 23:09
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$131	158	158	+0	open	—	05-16 22:52
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$116	370	370	+0	open	—	05-16 22:53
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$65	50	50	+0	Yes	+$35	05-12 21:38
will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	1	$57	317	0	+317	open	—	04-19 17:49
Real Madrid vs. Joventut	2	$55	43	43	+0	open	—	05-17 12:34
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	1	$29	69	0	+69	open	—	05-17 17:24
Forca Lleida CE vs. Gran Canaria	2	$25	65	0	+65	open	—	05-17 11:29
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$20	59	0	+59	open	—	05-14 19:37
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	05-17 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$17	13	13	+0	Up	+$7	05-12 18:38
Aris BSA vs. AEK	1	$17	40	0	+40	open	—	05-17 14:22
CB Murcia vs. Unicaja	1	$14	127	0	+127	open	—	05-17 11:49
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	05-14 12:46
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	1	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	05-17 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$5	25	0	+25	Up	$-5	05-12 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-13 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$5	21	0	+21	Up	$-5	05-12 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-12 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$7	05-12 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	25	0	+25	Down	$-4	05-12 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$3	38	0	+38	Up	$-3	05-12 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	05-13 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$3	11	0	+11	Down	$-3	05-12 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	Up	$-3	05-12 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$2	12	0	+12	Up	$-2	05-13 08:24
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$2	55	0	+55	open	—	05-14 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$1	12	0	+12	Down	$-1	05-12 18:19
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	05-17 13:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 17:24:26	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	69	42¢	$29	0x79e61c…
05-17 16:36:56	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xfb7ed0…
05-17 15:13:43	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	BetBoom Team	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xea6cfa…
05-17 14:22:30	Aris BSA vs. AEK	AEK	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0xe92478…
05-17 13:49:13	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb2f004…
05-17 12:36:41	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x16abf9…
05-17 12:34:24	Real Madrid vs. Joventut	Joventut	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x131c27…
05-17 11:49:00	CB Murcia vs. Unicaja	Unicaja	BUY	127	11¢	$14	0x53e472…
05-17 11:29:15	Forca Lleida CE vs. Gran Canaria	Gran Canaria	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x111dc2…
05-17 10:37:22	Real Madrid vs. Joventut	Joventut	BUY	43	28¢	$12	0x12e3b2…
05-17 09:22:52	Forca Lleida CE vs. Gran Canaria	Gran Canaria	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xcb4468…
05-16 23:09:14	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xedf74b…
05-16 22:53:27	Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	370	26¢	$96	0x907e21…
05-16 22:52:33	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	158	71¢	$112	0xb86338…
05-14 20:10:40	Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0xe7bcc7…
05-14 19:37:46	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x1435e8…
05-14 12:46:10	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	JD Gaming	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xd8e1a6…
05-13 12:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x29c228…
05-13 08:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xc7c42e…
05-13 08:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x8ab474…
05-12 21:38:13	Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1e64b5…
05-12 20:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x34eaa0…
05-12 20:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x053b36…
05-12 19:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x1155b0…
05-12 18:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1f7337…
05-12 18:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x3c47f6…
05-12 18:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xcc90ca…
05-12 18:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xfc39c5…
05-12 18:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x3659a3…
05-12 18:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x405d04…
05-12 18:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x4095fc…
05-12 18:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x9e7739…
05-12 18:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd49176…
05-12 18:13:27	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	158	12¢	$19	0x79a430…
05-12 18:07:07	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	28¢	$30	0x33aad1…
05-12 18:05:13	Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x7890a4…
05-12 18:04:01	Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	370	5¢	$20	0x0d1a9c…
04-19 17:49:46	will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	317	18¢	$57	0x5bc57a…