Fumbling-Rain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.1%

Resolved

108

Trades

365

lifetime

Volume

$2.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-13 22:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 73% $-37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$26	35	+35	open	—	04-27 13:46
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$25	43	+43	open	—	04-27 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$25	31	+31	open	—	04-27 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$24	29	+29	open	—	04-27 19:33
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$24	31	+31	open	—	04-27 20:16
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$24	36	+36	open	—	04-27 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$23	29	+29	open	—	04-27 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$22	27	+27	open	—	04-27 20:37
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$21	29	+29	open	—	04-27 11:22
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$21	25	+25	open	—	04-27 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$19	25	+25	open	—	04-27 18:01
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$19	27	+27	open	—	04-27 17:23
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$19	24	+24	open	—	04-28 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$17	23	+23	open	—	04-27 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$16	24	+24	open	—	04-27 20:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$16	20	+20	Down	$-16	05-05 13:21
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$16	22	+22	open	—	04-27 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$16	22	+22	open	—	04-27 19:53
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$16	20	+20	open	—	04-27 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$15	20	+20	open	—	04-27 14:03
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$15	19	+19	open	—	04-27 13:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$15	19	+19	Down	+$4	05-05 13:16
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$15	19	+19	open	—	04-27 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$15	20	+20	open	—	04-29 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$15	18	+18	open	—	04-27 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$15	21	+21	open	—	04-27 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$14	22	+22	open	—	04-27 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$14	17	+17	open	—	04-27 16:48
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$14	18	+18	open	—	04-27 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$14	18	+18	open	—	04-27 13:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 22:17:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x0250ad…
05-13 22:11:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x435b4b…
05-13 21:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x046988…
05-13 21:37:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xb85929…
05-13 21:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0xfdc38f…
05-13 21:11:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xff8a86…
05-13 21:06:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xa8be4e…
05-13 20:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x9b6bf8…
05-13 20:46:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x499d2b…
05-13 20:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x2fb8ea…
05-13 19:57:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x7f94eb…
05-13 19:36:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x3d8a60…
05-13 19:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xbd35b6…
05-05 14:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x4bea3b…
05-05 14:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x3e0456…
05-05 14:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x1d91d4…
05-05 14:21:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	71¢	$8	0x600179…
05-05 14:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x8f4a7c…
05-05 14:12:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xdb99ff…
05-05 14:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x6e32e3…
05-05 13:56:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	78¢	$13	0xb3932b…
05-05 13:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$7	0x70a2af…
05-05 13:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$12	0x6217f0…
05-05 13:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x05026f…
05-05 13:37:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xc3f3d6…
05-05 13:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x19490e…
05-05 13:21:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xc357b6…
05-05 13:16:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x63b0cd…
05-05 13:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x8f4b5b…
05-05 13:06:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0x40e642…
05-05 13:01:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x5ea32d…
05-05 12:56:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$7	0x9f76d5…
05-05 12:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x976cf0…
05-05 12:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x380168…
05-05 12:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x1c28c9…
05-05 12:26:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x48c0e2…
05-05 12:21:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x912e6e…
05-05 12:16:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x7c4ff8…
05-05 12:11:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xc0ee0e…
05-05 12:06:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x42a86b…
05-05 12:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xf89553…
05-05 11:46:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xf9b409…
05-05 11:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xbbb763…
05-05 11:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x5d5dc0…
05-05 10:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x7e4687…
05-05 10:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x006dcb…
05-05 10:17:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x1ba42d…
05-05 10:06:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xe8d1ce…
05-05 09:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x7e7497…
05-05 09:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xb4b520…
05-05 09:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x66e1c3…
05-05 09:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8650ad…
05-05 09:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xd697d3…
05-05 08:51:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xd22a3b…
05-05 08:46:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x300b4b…
05-05 08:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xb72738…
05-05 08:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x72e2e5…
05-05 08:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x782638…
05-05 07:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xe34c6c…
05-05 07:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0x00f0ab…
05-05 07:46:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xdd1ea4…
05-05 07:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x13444d…
05-05 07:36:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xcf59ca…
05-05 07:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	77¢	$6	0xcdc127…
05-05 07:12:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xb3ed85…
05-05 06:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x913a32…
05-05 06:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x1c184a…
05-05 06:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xbb4291…
05-05 06:06:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xf6b170…
05-05 06:01:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x22979b…
05-05 05:51:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0x4417a8…
05-05 05:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x8bac4b…
05-05 05:42:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x928a0b…
05-05 05:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x9272ae…
05-05 05:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x6ef1e2…
05-05 05:27:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xdd88d7…
05-05 05:18:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$5	0xa41b2e…
05-05 05:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x00d13a…
05-05 05:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x081c27…
05-05 05:01:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xe46130…
05-05 04:52:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	74¢	$12	0xa6d6ca…
05-05 04:41:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xf8196e…
05-05 04:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xaa96de…
05-05 04:31:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0x0dcce8…
05-05 04:29:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x923940…
05-05 04:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x3341f5…
05-05 04:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xedc9c6…
05-05 04:01:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xb0b939…
05-05 03:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x69f872…
05-05 03:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x0c7596…
05-05 03:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xaca039…
05-05 03:36:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x9d25cc…
05-05 03:32:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x4998fe…
05-05 03:28:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x3123b5…
05-05 03:21:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x58238a…
05-05 03:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xaf4e4e…
05-05 03:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x0d6e5b…
05-05 03:07:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0xcc770b…
05-05 02:36:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x636761…
05-05 02:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x7a459e…