Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.65K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved

Trades

313

lifetime

Volume

$69.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$223

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 04-25 16:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

75% 62% -$2,701

Other

20% 46% -$734

Tech

5% 25% -$214

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	23	$8.0K	4,893	4,893	+0	No	+$539	03-27 01:42
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	25	$7.2K	4,176	4,176	+0	No	-$263	04-01 14:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	13	$6.9K	4,840	3,640	+1,200	Yes	-$800	04-07 12:24
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	12	$6.3K	3,200	3,200	+0	No	+$74	03-05 22:20
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	15	$5.1K	2,817	2,817	+0	No	+$270	03-23 10:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$4.4K	2,600	2,600	+0	No	+$311	04-23 15:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	11	$4.1K	2,783	2,783	+0	Yes	+$403	04-03 06:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	21	$3.8K	2,747	1,288	+1,460	Yes	-$1,357	04-06 08:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	5	$3.0K	1,624	1,624	+0	No	+$3	04-07 16:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	10	$2.6K	1,600	1,595	+5	No	+$33	04-07 12:07
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	25	$2.4K	1,782	1,782	+0	No	+$12	04-17 16:00
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	8	$1.9K	1,041	1,041	+0	No	+$38	03-17 15:44
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	3	$1.4K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$108	04-03 17:23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$1.2K	1,206	1,206	+0	Yes	-$108	04-12 16:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$935	1,231	0	+1,231	No	-$935	04-25 02:43
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	9	$864	800	800	+0	Yes	+$32	02-26 17:30
cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	1	$834	2,377	0	+2,377	Vitality	-$834	04-19 17:37
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$830	915	915	+0	No	-$32	03-09 18:44
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$786	600	600	+0	Yes	+$6	04-03 05:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$762	600	600	+0	No	+$30	04-25 16:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$608	400	400	+0	No	+$8	04-19 13:43
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	10	$529	3,282	352	+2,930	Yes	-$7	04-15 23:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	7	$496	400	400	+0	No	+$0	04-19 18:32
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	4	$429	300	300	+0	No	+$3	03-04 22:41
will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	7	$428	702	0	+702	Yes	-$428	04-12 18:05
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	2	$372	200	200	+0	Yes	+$28	03-04 06:26
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$339	399	0	+399	No	+$60	04-12 16:12
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$334	200	200	+0	Yes	+$10	02-26 18:43
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	8	$331	233	233	+0	No	+$103	04-14 18:47
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	2	$316	200	200	+0	Yes	+$4	02-26 17:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-25 16:34:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	567	66¢	$374	0x529d5e…
04-25 16:29:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	33	66¢	$22	0x3cdaf5…
04-25 02:43:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,231	76¢	$935	0xef2481…
04-23 17:57:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	499	61¢	$304	0x1bbba5…
04-23 17:53:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x2c540b…
04-23 17:52:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xf1dae8…
04-23 17:50:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	39	61¢	$24	0xfe72ec…
04-23 15:04:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,358	97¢	$1,313	0x5366c7…
04-22 08:11:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	273	91¢	$248	0xd8523b…
04-19 18:32:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	251	62¢	$156	0x5e300f…
04-19 18:28:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x9132d0…
04-19 18:27:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xf994d0…
04-19 18:16:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x96983f…
04-19 18:15:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	62¢	$15	0x4b72fd…
04-19 18:15:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	92	62¢	$57	0xe9e624…
04-19 17:37:28	cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	Spirit	BUY	2,377	35¢	$834	0xf44e83…
04-19 13:43:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	400	77¢	$308	0xd2bed1…
04-19 07:45:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	400	62¢	$248	0xcede6a…
04-18 22:10:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	400	76¢	$304	0x550567…
04-18 21:45:34	GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,576	3¢	$54	0x92ca94…
04-18 17:18:26	GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x3c84c5…
04-18 14:14:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0xd585c4…
04-18 11:17:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0xba4661…
04-17 16:00:38	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xe4d560…
04-17 15:59:38	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	SELL	700	13¢	$91	0x9da099…
04-16 14:21:06	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	108	8¢	$9	0xc49e7a…
04-16 14:18:42	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	92	8¢	$7	0xded46c…
04-16 13:57:20	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x6ce489…
04-16 08:55:42	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	56	6¢	$3	0x71bb2a…
04-16 06:33:16	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xb4cf5b…
04-16 06:33:16	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x1db348…
04-16 06:33:14	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x317d35…
04-16 06:33:12	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xc2aed6…
04-16 06:33:12	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0xa9417e…
04-15 23:28:26	Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	No	BUY	2,787	2¢	$47	0x0ee46e…
04-15 22:01:36	claude 4pt7 released by april 24 251	No	BUY	259	7¢	$19	0x400a87…
04-15 21:15:48	claude 4pt7 released by april 24 251	No	BUY	132	7¢	$10	0x594ef3…
04-15 20:50:42	claude 4pt7 released by april 24 251	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xbed37f…
04-15 20:50:42	claude 4pt7 released by april 24 251	No	BUY	607	7¢	$44	0x0ac174…
04-15 20:50:04	Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	No	BUY	213	2¢	$4	0x125765…
04-15 19:34:10	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	113	42¢	$47	0xb0c426…
04-15 19:28:14	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	87	42¢	$37	0x7277a3…
04-15 16:15:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x994157…
04-14 18:47:00	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	233	93¢	$217	0x2e8f6c…
04-13 02:15:41	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0xce7bd6…
04-12 18:05:17	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xb938c2…
04-12 18:05:05	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xdad0c4…
04-12 18:04:59	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x3abe0f…
04-12 18:04:45	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	22	66¢	$15	0xb9fcd5…
04-12 17:02:31	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x0f0fd2…
04-12 16:13:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	506	81¢	$410	0xc45dc0…
04-12 16:12:57	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	399	85¢	$339	0x72a8e8…
04-12 15:37:47	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	No	BUY	93	60¢	$56	0x276bf3…
04-12 15:33:33	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	No	BUY	92	60¢	$55	0x514553…
04-12 14:45:37	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	45	58¢	$26	0xe7719f…
04-12 14:31:13	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0xdb9c4a…
04-12 14:22:17	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	No	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x466092…
04-12 14:17:47	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x347043…
04-12 14:17:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	158	14¢	$22	0x381702…
04-12 14:14:51	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x424a20…
04-12 14:14:49	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	39	36¢	$14	0xdef504…
04-12 14:14:41	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	60	36¢	$22	0x28c57d…
04-12 13:26:49	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x082d31…
04-12 13:26:43	will tisza win 120 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xb6899c…
04-12 13:20:11	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x5cb713…
04-12 13:20:09	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x85be8d…
04-12 13:20:09	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	58	61¢	$35	0x035352…
04-12 13:19:17	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x003de2…
04-12 13:18:43	will tisza win 120 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	92	26¢	$24	0x8aecaf…
04-12 11:00:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	506	79¢	$400	0x07bdff…
04-12 11:00:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	700	21¢	$147	0xaca984…
04-12 08:15:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,242	84¢	$1,043	0x474f70…
04-11 01:27:55	Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	24	84¢	$20	0x5e2789…
04-10 18:39:29	Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x6aa2ed…
04-10 18:01:21	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	BUY	267	27¢	$72	0x9bd35f…
04-10 13:45:57	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	BUY	133	27¢	$36	0x8eef47…
04-10 13:00:03	Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	119	84¢	$100	0xec902d…
04-10 12:58:31	Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	138	84¢	$116	0xafeeb2…
04-10 11:51:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,242	80¢	$994	0x737383…
04-10 11:47:41	Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	66	84¢	$55	0x82e440…
04-10 07:16:15	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	300	84¢	$252	0x29b320…
04-09 20:42:51	GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,600	6¢	$96	0xe3bb12…
04-09 20:38:09	GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf9185f…
04-08 18:44:39	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0xda0b91…
04-08 18:43:49	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xfd6733…
04-08 18:43:47	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	66¢	$198	0xda1042…
04-07 19:51:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	395	17¢	$67	0x532c82…
04-07 19:39:41	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xeca854…
04-07 19:38:21	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	35¢	$45	0xc1971b…
04-07 19:21:09	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	35¢	$19	0x52bcad…
04-07 19:17:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x975b5b…
04-07 16:20:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	1,479	93¢	$1,380	0xf07ce4…
04-07 12:24:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1,200	87¢	$1,044	0xc2c918…
04-07 12:07:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	399	85¢	$339	0xcb7fb8…
04-07 12:04:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	304	83¢	$253	0x61e472…
04-07 12:04:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	96	83¢	$79	0x92a28e…
04-07 11:15:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	114	93¢	$106	0x259a46…
04-07 11:13:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	31	93¢	$29	0x750734…
04-07 10:59:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	1,195	80¢	$956	0xa4f7d6…
04-06 19:45:35	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,035	78¢	$808	0x5952c9…