Luminous-Manatee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$134

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$306

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-09 01:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 17% $-83

Sports

17% 0% $-51

Other

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	2	$50	110	+110	Spurs	$-50	05-09 01:31
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$30	60	+60	Down	$-30	05-08 16:00
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 23corhigher	1	$20	68	+68	open	—	04-23 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$15	53	+53	open	—	05-02 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$10	41	+41	open	—	04-28 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$10	21	+21	open	—	05-02 20:50
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$10	42	+42	Up	$-10	05-08 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$10	21	+21	Down	$-10	05-05 02:29
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$10	24	+24	Down	$-10	05-08 23:30
highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 57forbelow	1	$10	59	+59	open	—	04-21 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$10	45	+45	open	—	04-28 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$10	30	+30	open	—	05-02 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$10	513	+513	open	—	04-27 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$10	25	+25	open	—	05-02 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$5	31	+31	open	—	04-28 23:53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	04-27 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$5	20	+20	open	—	04-28 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	04-28 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	04-28 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$5	12	+12	open	—	04-28 23:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 29?	1	$5	42	+42	open	—	04-27 22:50
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 29?	1	$5	23	+23	open	—	04-27 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$5	16	+16	Up	$-5	05-08 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$5	19	+19	open	—	04-28 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$5	12	+12	Up	$-5	05-05 02:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$5	12	+12	Up	$-5	05-08 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$5	11	+11	Down	$-5	05-06 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$5	18	+18	Up	$-5	05-07 02:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Down	$-3	05-07 02:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 01:31:40	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x34818c…
05-09 01:29:51	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x382612…
05-09 01:28:13	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7c2c28…
05-08 23:30:36	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	43¢	$10	0x8c759a…
05-08 16:00:00	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xa46787…
05-08 15:59:13	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xa6961a…
05-08 15:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x614a22…
05-08 13:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xed3c90…
05-07 02:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x8e6414…
05-07 02:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa1c33c…
05-06 15:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xdffce1…
05-05 02:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6c3e9d…
05-05 02:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x4aaeb0…
05-05 02:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xbf8f62…
05-05 02:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x83e416…
05-05 02:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf40a41…
05-02 21:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x228185…
05-02 21:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xaa151b…
05-02 21:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf968c3…
05-02 21:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0afea6…
05-02 21:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x537cfc…
05-02 20:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe95637…
05-02 20:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x44745a…
05-02 20:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x0f3c9e…
05-02 20:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe83497…
05-02 20:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbb6249…
05-02 20:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfebdc2…
05-02 20:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x410c1c…
05-02 20:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xff719e…
05-02 20:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xcefa26…
05-02 20:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x98b68c…
04-28 23:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0xf70588…
04-28 23:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x6d6add…
04-28 23:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xc8c9fc…
04-28 23:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9fb1bb…
04-28 23:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x514b4e…
04-28 23:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb7f0fb…
04-28 23:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd74e8e…
04-28 23:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf09c5a…
04-28 23:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x35010e…
04-28 23:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xdb3a75…
04-27 23:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x57ce01…
04-27 23:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x4f6c25…
04-27 23:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0xf0a47e…
04-27 22:52:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe91cc7…
04-27 22:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xdd7028…
04-23 00:54:38	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 23corhigher	Yes	BUY	68	29¢	$20	0x39f4f9…
04-21 21:32:52	highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 57forbelow	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x98fca9…