Shallow-Tale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$63

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

Trades

132

lifetime

Volume

$810

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 05-17 00:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 49% $-63

Politics

7% — —

Sports

3% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$40	119	0	+119	Down	+$25	05-06 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$38	33	13	+20	Up	+$4	05-06 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$32	56	56	+0	Down	$-28	05-07 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$26	17	17	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$25	48	0	+48	Up	+$23	05-06 23:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	04-23 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$22	25	22	+3	Up	+$0	05-06 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$22	50	48	+2	open	—	04-24 21:09
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-22 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$21	19	18	+1	open	—	04-24 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	4	$21	47	47	+0	Down	$-1	05-06 23:38
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	3	$21	32	31	+2	open	—	04-20 07:21
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$20	21	21	+0	open	—	04-23 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$20	36	0	+36	Down	$-20	05-07 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$20	34	0	+34	Down	$-20	05-07 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$20	30	0	+30	Down	$-20	05-06 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$20	24	0	+24	Up	+$4	05-07 01:13
btc updown 5m 1776905400	5	$20	30	20	+10	open	—	04-23 00:54
btc updown 5m 1776905700	4	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	04-23 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$20	46	0	+46	Down	$-20	05-07 00:04
btc updown 5m 1776897000	2	$19	28	26	+2	open	—	04-22 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	4	$17	18	0	+18	Up	+$1	05-10 17:58
btc updown 5m 1776906300	4	$16	20	10	+10	open	—	04-23 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$16	24	0	+24	Up	+$8	05-07 00:11
btc updown 5m 1776903900	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-23 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$12	36	36	+0	open	—	05-17 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$11	13	0	+13	Up	+$2	05-06 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$11	64	0	+64	Down	+$3	05-06 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 22:26
btc updown 5m 1776953700	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-23 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 00:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	36	18¢	$7	0x86247d…
05-17 00:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe729fb…
05-10 17:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3273cc…
05-10 17:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0d7887…
05-10 17:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xb9fdc2…
05-10 17:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4c80fb…
05-08 00:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x4d05a8…
05-08 00:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x205700…
05-08 00:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xfcd6a0…
05-08 00:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4ea098…
05-07 23:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe4c2ce…
05-07 23:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc90590…
05-07 23:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x33eed2…
05-07 23:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xbd517d…
05-07 23:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc99b4b…
05-07 23:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x23f3f7…
05-07 23:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xea65a3…
05-07 23:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf761e7…
05-07 23:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x539437…
05-07 23:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5c4d00…
05-07 12:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x617c2c…
05-07 01:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xe8ccfb…
05-07 00:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x48bf4c…
05-07 00:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	56	3¢	$2	0x6d7816…
05-07 00:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x61d213…
05-07 00:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0xd01c58…
05-07 00:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x240871…
05-07 00:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5076f1…
05-07 00:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0xedd49c…
05-06 23:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x9ccb18…
05-06 23:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xb7180f…
05-06 23:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x46c3c0…
05-06 23:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	22	52¢	$11	0xc2f181…
05-06 23:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x1f4823…
05-06 23:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xe802d9…
05-06 23:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x732958…
05-06 23:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	36	28¢	$10	0xa9f4b2…
05-06 23:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xf370a1…
05-06 23:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x8b1736…
05-06 23:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x32765f…
05-06 22:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x985144…
05-06 22:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x38eb97…
05-06 22:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x2cfbbd…
05-06 22:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf77883…
05-06 22:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xbce272…
05-06 22:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xefd8e2…
05-06 15:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x125d0b…
05-06 15:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0x4fc8e8…
05-06 15:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x5be06c…
05-06 15:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x08295d…
05-06 15:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa8aa06…
05-06 15:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0x057e07…
05-06 15:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x9838c5…
05-06 15:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe42e60…
05-06 15:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x8a872a…
05-06 14:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x85ec21…
05-06 14:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xd92db3…
05-06 14:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xff7df3…
05-06 14:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc4113d…
05-06 14:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x7b7bc9…
05-06 14:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x327459…
05-06 14:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x7e233d…
05-06 14:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x0d0200…
05-06 14:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x1a8b9a…
05-06 14:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x446e49…
05-06 14:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xa682e9…
04-28 10:45:44	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd8dbf7…
04-28 09:29:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x43e63f…
04-24 21:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x789768…
04-24 21:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x452c3b…
04-24 21:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x11eb9d…
04-24 21:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xa0f97a…
04-24 21:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x848227…
04-24 21:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x623e52…
04-24 20:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd0caf0…
04-23 14:22:04	bitcoin up or down on april 23 2026	Up	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x3dac0f…
04-23 14:17:08	btc updown 5m 1776953700	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x39be7c…
04-23 02:05:34	bitcoin up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xdd80e5…
04-23 02:05:22	bitcoin up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x98e6e4…
04-23 01:40:56	bitcoin up or down on april 23 2026	Up	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0xc01194…
04-23 01:34:30	bitcoin up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x9b86aa…
04-23 01:25:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x47f72f…
04-23 01:22:04	btc updown 5m 1776907200	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xbbcee9…
04-23 01:16:20	btc updown 5m 1776906900	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x60409b…
04-23 01:11:28	btc updown 5m 1776906600	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf8c603…
04-23 01:11:28	btc updown 5m 1776906600	Up	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xc1c6d7…
04-23 01:11:28	btc updown 5m 1776906600	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xba2b30…
04-23 01:11:28	btc updown 5m 1776906600	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xac534a…
04-23 01:11:28	btc updown 5m 1776906600	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6221e1…
04-23 01:07:30	btc updown 5m 1776906300	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x3d2af9…
04-23 01:06:12	btc updown 5m 1776906300	Down	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xf080ab…
04-23 01:05:46	btc updown 5m 1776906300	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb116cb…
04-23 01:05:46	btc updown 5m 1776906300	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x61a49f…
04-23 01:00:30	btc updown 5m 1776906000	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xd53a03…
04-23 01:00:00	btc updown 5m 1776905700	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xfde1e6…
04-23 00:59:04	btc updown 5m 1776905700	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc7f550…
04-23 00:57:48	btc updown 5m 1776905700	Down	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x2722bf…
04-23 00:56:50	btc updown 5m 1776905700	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x6dfb00…
04-23 00:54:52	btc updown 5m 1776905400	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x5918e7…
04-23 00:51:50	btc updown 5m 1776905400	Up	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x253f20…