Robust-Problem — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$357

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-11 03:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% $-12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$36	19	19	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	7	$22	22	17	+6	Up	+$2	05-09 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	3	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-02 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-02 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	05-10 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-02 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	4	$17	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-02 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$15	21	0	+21	Down	$-15	05-11 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$12	11	6	+5	open	—	05-02 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	4	$12	22	6	+16	Down	$-6	05-08 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$12	15	0	+15	Up	+$3	05-10 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$11	106	6	+100	Down	+$1	05-08 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-02 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-02 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	3	$9	12	5	+7	Up	$-5	05-11 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$7	37	4	+33	Down	+$1	05-08 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$6	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	05-02 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-02 08:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 00:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-09 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$4	6	2	+4	open	—	05-02 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$3	4	1	+2	Up	$-1	05-11 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$3	6	1	+5	Down	$-1	05-09 09:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 03:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x15ceaa…
05-11 03:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9f7e86…
05-11 03:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x81890b…
05-11 03:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xa86938…
05-11 03:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xb2c632…
05-11 03:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x0a3ce9…
05-11 03:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7f27c4…
05-11 03:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x3ba3ab…
05-11 02:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x94348a…
05-11 02:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xff7418…
05-11 02:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xc3f4eb…
05-11 02:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x2a6457…
05-11 02:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$2	0x11c29b…
05-11 02:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe32e21…
05-10 20:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3f0928…
05-10 19:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc912e4…
05-10 19:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4d2ec6…
05-10 19:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4232f5…
05-10 19:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xbd2af8…
05-10 19:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbe2019…
05-10 19:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x41c3d8…
05-10 19:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x66dced…
05-10 19:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x88b5bc…
05-10 19:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xec64d8…
05-10 19:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x68dcf3…
05-09 22:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xfe2cea…
05-09 22:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xed065f…
05-09 22:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x8be9a8…
05-09 22:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xffda66…
05-09 22:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xda86ac…
05-09 22:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x023553…
05-09 22:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdd4b2b…
05-09 22:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xde4695…
05-09 22:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0xd4584f…
05-09 22:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb7c806…
05-09 22:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdf73e9…
05-09 09:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x575bea…
05-09 09:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x83cd86…
05-09 09:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb808cf…
05-09 09:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc73a70…
05-09 09:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x1eed60…
05-09 09:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2387c9…
05-09 09:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb8c61a…
05-09 09:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xda7855…
05-09 09:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcc78e4…
05-09 05:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6be229…
05-09 05:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5bd735…
05-09 00:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd55c3f…
05-09 00:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbecc2f…
05-09 00:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf05c2c…
05-09 00:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x914e21…
05-09 00:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe333c0…
05-09 00:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x312782…
05-09 00:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xf956ca…
05-09 00:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x811800…
05-08 23:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4c8da4…
05-08 23:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xa501f4…
05-08 23:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x516d8a…
05-08 23:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x701b0f…
05-08 23:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb10316…
05-08 19:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd1aea3…
05-08 19:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x9599b8…
05-08 19:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe2da0f…
05-08 19:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x34e2c8…
05-08 19:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x4fcaff…
05-08 19:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x7aab5c…
05-08 19:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9e5e48…
05-08 19:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2f5d38…
05-08 19:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x3405fd…
05-08 18:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8f3c3a…
05-08 18:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x3eb87e…
05-08 18:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x506996…
05-02 08:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc01843…
05-02 08:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x69417c…
05-02 08:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf2e884…
05-02 08:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf1e252…
05-02 08:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x270ef8…
05-02 08:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xab3460…
05-02 08:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x53549e…
05-02 08:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xc15d2b…
05-02 08:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x940b46…
05-02 08:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x6c0287…
05-02 08:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x08e23e…
05-02 08:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x102975…
05-02 08:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xf74f1a…
05-02 08:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xb159ee…
05-02 08:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfff45b…
05-02 08:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xac6066…
05-02 08:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x6c8709…
05-02 08:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0xdcd8b7…
05-02 08:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x73bbde…
05-02 08:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa91fe0…
05-02 07:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcbacd4…
05-02 07:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa104fc…
05-02 07:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa247c2…
05-02 07:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x18df64…