Average-Star — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

Trades

205

lifetime

Volume

$146

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 05-16 14:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

47% 100% +$0

Other

38% 0% $-0

Sports

10% — —

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	74	$37	55	55	+0	open	—	02-12 21:10
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	33	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	03-04 18:52
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$8	4	3	+1	open	—	05-01 00:34
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	15	$7	64	56	+8	open	—	04-25 12:55
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	4	$7	3	3	+0	open	—	02-28 21:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	17	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	02-18 11:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-09 17:11
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-05 23:17
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-28 00:22
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	3	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-16 21:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	05-09 18:39
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)	3	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-26 00:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-03 01:55
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-02 14:35
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-26 21:07
ufc nat los 2026 03 21	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-21 19:36
ufc mar vin9 2026 02 07 totals 2pt5	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	02-08 04:00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 13:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 21:21
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	6	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	05-02 13:08
nba cha hou 2026 02 05 spread home 4pt5	1	$1	110	0	+110	open	—	02-06 05:03
btc updown 5m 1770864600	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	02-12 02:53
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-16 14:15
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-25 19:42
UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-25 23:23
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-25 18:17
lal gir bar 2026 02 16 bar	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-16 21:52
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-21 15:59
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 16	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-17 01:38
chess klagno amuzyc 2026 04 11 r11 draw	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-12 03:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 14:15:17	Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7206bc…
05-09 18:39:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x38f148…
05-09 18:34:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x171a03…
05-09 18:30:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x25545d…
05-02 13:08:56	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x2b6f2f…
05-02 13:08:48	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xda080f…
05-02 13:01:38	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x1f21c4…
05-02 12:53:00	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x9c143c…
05-02 12:51:42	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x0670f3…
05-02 12:19:44	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xff2d3f…
05-01 00:34:00	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5f647e…
04-30 22:00:40	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xbd2aaf…
04-28 01:55:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x230ba6…
04-28 01:55:24	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9fb5da…
04-28 01:55:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x801589…
04-26 00:28:28	UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)	Eric McConico	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc51604…
04-26 00:27:52	UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)	Eric McConico	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8f81bf…
04-26 00:26:58	UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)	Eric McConico	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f95b8…
04-25 23:23:10	UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Michelle Montague	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0d2581…
04-25 18:17:14	Manchester City FC leading at halftime?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x83f862…
04-25 12:55:10	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x92139d…
04-25 12:54:56	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x626c00…
04-25 12:54:40	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x7066ad…
04-25 12:54:22	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0x24b23d…
04-25 12:54:10	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x252fd6…
04-25 12:54:08	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xf1058d…
04-25 12:54:06	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0xf3b564…
04-25 12:53:50	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x794d98…
04-25 12:53:48	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x873076…
04-25 12:53:44	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x732472…
04-25 12:53:38	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x5b5c29…
04-25 12:53:34	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x84d3f4…
04-25 12:52:30	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x2ca0b3…
04-25 12:52:24	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x179405…
04-25 12:52:24	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x0fab0c…
04-21 15:59:40	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x990388…
04-17 21:21:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x08b37a…
04-17 16:03:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaac65b…
04-16 21:54:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x54341f…
04-16 21:54:14	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8426ad…
04-16 21:54:04	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf10373…
04-12 03:04:11	chess klagno amuzyc 2026 04 11 r11 draw	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2607d0…
04-11 23:04:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xea98b6…
04-09 17:11:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc6f01a…
04-09 17:10:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa3c28d…
04-09 17:10:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xed91e6…
04-09 17:10:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5b51cc…
04-05 23:17:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x267ac7…
04-05 23:16:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2d2326…
04-05 23:13:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6c5de5…
04-05 23:13:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd718d4…
04-02 14:35:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa25479…
03-28 08:21:51	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfcd3dc…
03-28 05:25:21	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe5af21…
03-26 21:07:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd3800a…
03-26 21:07:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb4596c…
03-21 20:07:09	ufc mar86 fel11 2026 03 21	Mario Pinto	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9804c8…
03-21 19:36:43	ufc nat los 2026 03 21	Nathaniel Wood	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfa944e…
03-21 19:36:41	ufc nat los 2026 03 21	Nathaniel Wood	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd33ef3…
03-21 18:11:43	ufc lou2 bra24 2026 03 21 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf535d0…
03-17 01:38:25	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 16	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x19fabe…
03-10 13:45:25	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x804ccd…
03-10 13:05:53	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcb2167…
03-08 01:59:33	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 7 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb63ebd…
03-04 18:52:25	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xeaec77…
03-04 18:52:09	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf89849…
03-04 18:51:47	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf0af93…
03-04 18:47:33	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x39e385…
03-04 18:40:13	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x450b87…
03-04 18:39:59	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3568ca…
03-04 18:39:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb5f4f4…
03-04 18:39:43	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcd2d35…
03-04 18:39:41	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x629289…
03-04 18:39:41	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4a3500…
03-04 18:39:31	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5b7bc5…
03-04 18:39:25	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x22cdad…
03-04 18:39:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe13483…
03-04 18:39:15	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3b3fad…
03-04 18:39:11	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfa743c…
03-04 18:39:11	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4f5b3d…
03-04 18:39:05	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf39d20…
03-04 18:39:03	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfda885…
03-04 18:39:01	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf091f9…
03-04 18:39:01	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9aa482…
03-04 18:38:55	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5318c0…
03-04 18:38:51	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2ee3d5…
03-04 18:38:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe85aaf…
03-04 18:32:35	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5ebfb5…
03-04 18:26:25	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7043f8…
03-03 01:55:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x086abf…
03-03 01:54:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf1d36a…
03-03 01:51:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6bb073…
03-02 17:21:09	will bitcoin reach 70k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe8b5ea…
02-28 21:11:19	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x100879…
02-28 11:59:41	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa7d705…
02-28 11:59:29	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfa8b27…
02-28 11:59:07	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcc3aaf…
02-28 00:22:13	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbc82fb…
02-27 22:33:37	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf44e37…
02-27 22:33:33	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0e9229…