Fearless-Defense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.0%

Resolved

228

Trades

2,302

lifetime

Volume

$8.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 05-08 16:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 89% $-21

Other

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 192 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1769557500	4	$53	59	10	+49	open	—	01-27 23:54
sol updown 15m 1774998000	4	$44	57	57	+0	open	—	03-31 23:13
btc updown 15m 1769545800	4	$40	56	0	+56	open	—	01-27 20:35
btc updown 5m 1775199000	4	$36	36	36	+0	open	—	04-03 06:54
btc updown 15m 1769547600	4	$33	40	16	+24	open	—	01-27 21:13
xrp updown 5m 1774993200	2	$30	28	26	+1	open	—	03-31 21:44
btc updown 15m 1769612400	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	01-28 15:11
eth updown 5m 1776607200	5	$26	21	21	+0	open	—	04-19 14:03
btc updown 15m 1769534100	2	$26	28	0	+28	open	—	01-27 17:25
xrp updown 5m 1775097300	2	$23	91	0	+91	open	—	04-02 02:38
btc updown 15m 1769510700	1	$23	40	0	+40	open	—	01-27 10:46
highest temperature in seoul on january 17 2c	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	01-16 16:26
btc updown 15m 1769548500	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	01-27 21:20
btc updown 15m 1769533200	3	$20	22	10	+12	open	—	01-27 17:06
xrp updown 15m 1775223900	2	$19	51	0	+51	open	—	04-03 13:58
btc updown 15m 1769526000	2	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	01-27 15:10
sol updown 5m 1774994700	4	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	03-31 22:07
btc updown 5m 1775242500	2	$17	33	32	+2	open	—	04-03 18:59
btc updown 15m 1769380200	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	01-25 22:37
btc updown 15m 1769509800	2	$15	40	40	+0	open	—	01-27 10:39
xrp updown 5m 1775162100	2	$15	60	0	+60	open	—	04-02 20:36
eth updown 5m 1775181000	1	$15	62	0	+62	open	—	04-03 01:53
sol updown 5m 1774973100	1	$15	62	0	+62	open	—	03-31 16:07
highest temperature in london on january 19 12corhigher	2	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	01-18 14:00
sol updown 5m 1775143500	1	$15	60	0	+60	open	—	04-02 15:28
eth updown 5m 1775153700	3	$15	60	0	+60	open	—	04-02 18:17
btc updown 15m 1775052000	1	$15	50	0	+50	open	—	04-01 14:11
eth updown 5m 1775103900	2	$15	54	0	+54	open	—	04-02 04:28
eth updown 15m 1775043900	2	$15	54	0	+54	open	—	04-01 11:56
xrp updown 5m 1775210400	4	$15	58	0	+58	open	—	04-03 10:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 16:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x9282e5…
05-07 18:19:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x82e158…
05-07 18:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd7d389…
05-07 18:12:35	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd6be3a…
05-07 18:08:14	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x03b236…
05-07 18:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x4285b6…
05-07 18:03:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x451be8…
05-07 18:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd56812…
05-07 18:02:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5ed593…
05-07 17:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x59cc0c…
05-07 17:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0ede89…
05-07 17:39:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x0af0c5…
05-07 17:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xc99cce…
05-07 17:38:10	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x07f6d1…
05-07 17:33:18	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbe3213…
05-07 17:28:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3e6ae1…
05-07 17:13:09	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x731f05…
05-07 17:08:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x716917…
05-07 17:07:55	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xef5d95…
05-07 17:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1fc82e…
05-07 17:03:03	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf0bef3…
05-07 16:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xce9ede…
05-07 16:52:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe0f0e5…
05-07 16:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5e3e7d…
05-07 16:44:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x966319…
05-07 16:37:48	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0x0bc173…
05-07 16:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x5938c6…
05-07 16:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x9b9f4b…
05-07 16:27:39	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd131d3…
05-07 16:13:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x61a56d…
05-07 16:08:50	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4321f8…
05-07 16:08:04	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf22732…
05-07 15:58:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5c2e0c…
05-07 15:52:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x2a5cf3…
05-07 15:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2ab609…
05-07 15:48:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xec0c9f…
05-07 15:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4533cd…
05-07 15:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9aea6e…
05-07 15:37:53	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7c7fa7…
05-07 15:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf83874…
05-07 15:29:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3564ae…
05-07 15:28:37	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x25d141…
05-07 15:24:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6503f5…
05-07 15:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xc278d5…
05-07 15:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe9588f…
05-07 15:12:48	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5fde6d…
05-07 15:08:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xaa8c18…
05-07 14:58:10	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8e9acb…
05-07 14:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1f0ba1…
05-07 14:53:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8b544d…
05-07 14:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2a25c3…
05-07 14:52:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5a7bd0…
05-07 14:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x458461…
05-07 14:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x31d426…
05-07 11:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0xe98ffe…
05-07 11:10:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc91d1d…
05-07 10:26:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x1ca742…
05-07 10:18:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9b2023…
05-07 09:56:40	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa82fd6…
05-07 09:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x2649f8…
05-07 08:49:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xff6f1c…
05-07 08:49:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x724c4b…
05-07 07:49:18	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$5	0xdbffd4…
05-07 07:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe99875…
05-07 05:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf2ae50…
05-07 05:27:06	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x9b6032…
05-07 05:24:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2f3d5c…
05-07 05:10:48	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xb82b65…
05-07 04:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd6a40c…
05-07 04:34:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0xb82404…
05-07 04:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xb81474…
05-06 21:09:59	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf6dd67…
05-06 21:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x79a5e0…
05-06 20:57:51	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf14a9d…
05-06 20:38:21	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd870a6…
05-06 20:23:18	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xc31320…
05-06 20:14:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x44355f…
05-06 20:10:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x15c660…
05-06 20:08:25	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x077c99…
05-06 19:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xa17a2c…
05-06 19:55:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa20441…
05-06 19:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf71b58…
05-06 19:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x8c44c3…
05-06 19:10:52	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xfe710a…
05-06 18:48:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xff221e…
05-06 18:43:43	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0495c1…
05-06 18:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x1cda22…
05-06 18:27:46	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc92b7a…
05-06 18:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3d20ea…
05-06 18:04:07	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4af4a8…
05-06 17:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x36d822…
05-06 17:13:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x323500…
05-06 16:58:54	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf79204…
05-06 16:38:23	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x77e806…
05-06 16:10:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd06f74…
05-06 16:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xae5110…
05-06 15:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb14f58…
05-06 15:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x7ad4bb…
05-06 15:41:20	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x3e70e3…
05-06 15:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x585c90…